Author Topic: Smarty Jones....  (Read 462 times)

Offline airbumba

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Smarty Jones....
« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2004, 08:06:28 PM »
Smarty would have to fall asleep to lose such a length lead in only a 5/16th extra.

...only thing to worry bout is the fact that #10 ran sideways for the first turn, still not over it's loading problems, and came to the inside rail from 3 slots out in the last turn. If Smarty don't get the slot quick enough, and that beast runs inside down the stretch, could be somethin to see.
I used to be a fatalist,
but that part of me died.

Offline Red Tail 444

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Smarty Jones....
« Reply #16 on: May 18, 2004, 03:50:28 PM »
might be an advantage for the monster to run a little wide, get those legs streched out...but if smarty turns on the gas like he did last week, all this talk aint gonna amount to a hill o beans :)

Offline Otto

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Smarty Jones....
« Reply #17 on: May 18, 2004, 06:08:01 PM »
Saur,

    As long as you don't bet your lifesavings you should do OK.   But, remember, the 'smart' money will not be on 'Smarty'.  The reason for that is most likely the odds on him will be so unfavorable that you'll be wagering $2.00 to win .10 cents.   A lot of gamblers will see all that money in the pool and bet on another horse knowing that a 'bump' at the start, a thrown shoe, a 'clip', a 'block' and much more, will put him out of the race.  

   Mind you, I think he's going to win ;)  But it's a statistical fact, that over a season at any track, 'favorite's do not win enough times to 'cover' their odds.


  My strategy is:

1) A fast horse  (Beyer Speed Ratings)

2) He wants to win (His position in the last three races improves)

3) At least 3:1 odds.


Smarty has a 'lock' on the first two but he'll never come close to the third :)

Good luck, and have fun.