What we are still lacking is any hard evidence one way or the other - we just have opinions (including mine). Now it would be nice of some of those warbird owners would line them up and allow them to be shot at from behind with a variety of weapons, but somehow...
The next best thing would be to find a shot-down wreck with evidence of 'grazing shots' and try the 'rod' test I suggested earlier - if the bullet was NOT deflected, the rod should be in contact with the groove all the way; if the bullet WAS deflected, the middle of the groove would be slightly deeper.
There would seem to be four variables at work:
1. The power of the projectile; the heavier and faster-moving it is, the harder it will be to deflect.
2. The shape of the projectile; a very tapered nose (like a .50 bullet) would actually encourage deflection as it would make it more likely that the body of the projectile, quite far down from the tip, would strike first. This surface would be almost parallel with the surface it was hitting. Blunt-nosed cannon shells would be less likely to deflect.
3. The construction of the target; how thick is the alloy skin? What if the bullet strikes the skin at a point where it is supported by a rib or other structural member?
4. The angle of the strike.
I have read nothing in this thread to change my opinion that in the right circumstances, deflection would have been possible. However, I doubt that we're going to be able to prove it either way.
Tony Williams