What concerns me is the perception by the average US citizen is that a war with Afghanistan is a viable option. Is Pakistan the only US ally in the area? Why is George W is using a particularly nasty strong arm tactic on the Pakistani's.
Half a dozen countries share a border with Afghanistan, (which is land locked so a seaborne assault is difficult). Pakistan, Iran, China, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan.
Iran shares a border with Afghanistan and diplomatic relations deteriorated when the Taliban killed 10 Iranian diplomats and left the bodies out hanging for a couple of days. The Iranians are predominantly Shiite Muslims and don't get on well with Afghani Sunni Muslims. Naturally they would be the best country to ask. BUT the US supported Iraq in the Iran/Iraq war 20 years ago and the Iranians are still pissed.
China and the US have been getting on famously since their pilot ran into the US radio spy plane. Probably shouldn't ask them either despite the fact that Sunni fanatics have managed to set off bombs in Beijing!
The former Soviet republics of Turkmenistan, (90% Muslim), Uzbekistan, (88% Sunni Muslim) and Tajikistan, (80% Sunni Muslim), aren't particulalrly aligned towards the US and added on top of that they have the US as the Cold War opposition under the Soviet banner. Can't really ask them either.
Pakistan is the least pissed at the US but has several good reasons not to be actively involved in open warfare with Afghanistan. Two thirds of the country is made up of Sunni Muslims many of whom fought with the Taliban against the Soviets. The other third is composed of moderate Shi'a Muslims, Hindus and Christians. It's suffering from the same drought that has hit Afghanistan and in involved in a nuclear race with India. The government was rolled over in a coup in 1999 and the current president is a figurehead with the Chief Executive/Prime Minister/Generalissimo due to end his term next year.
With Iran and Afghanistan on one side and India on the other the Pakistani's are being squeezed by the US into a decison that is driven by politics rather than reason. The American people want results NOW. The solutions will take decades if not the remainder of the century to fix. The Pakistan leaders are well aware of potential solutions and don't wish to have a war shatter their already fragile economy. The Pakistani Prime Minister is caught between a rock and a hard place risking ostracism from the Western world if he doesn't co-operate and internal warfare if he does. If a US military presence is established in Pakistan then there is an extreme risk that the US could find itself propping up a government which is unpopular with its populace if a civil war should break out, (sounds like Vietnam doesn't it?).
I have noticed over the last week that George W's rhetoric has been directed at the Domestic market while Colin Powell has been showing a more reasonable, (but still resolute), focus on the international community. Perhaps there is a velvet glove in front of the iron fist.
Spotcha in the Air,
P.S. Most of the information above was supplied by the CIA World Factbook
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/index.html