Author Topic: Time for a devil's advocate...  (Read 1573 times)

Offline Snoopi

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Time for a devil's advocate...
« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2001, 04:36:00 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by popeye:
Here's a no-risk option:  conservation.

Two words: Solar Power.

not viable you say ?
Well I guess all the people who are using it today must be nuts.

For example..A couple built a Solar house on the coast of Maine a couple years ago. http://www.solarhouse.com/main.htm

It suppies more electrical power than they need. The surplus gets "pumped" back into the power grid.
Their heat (air & water) water also comes from the sun.

It cost them 14% more to build than a conventional house and they never get a bill.

The interesting thing is that if everyone's house was built like this (or converted) those with cloudy days could get power from other regions with sunny days. Net result.. the power companies become re-distribution companies and have little need to actually GENERATE power.    :)
At the very least it reduces the need for power plants.

The technology is there now...

EDIT: quote....
"In 1993, the Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) retained Solar Design Associates to provide program definition and technical support to their in-house engineering group for their pioneering solar program.  Following the example SDA set in Gardner, SMUD embarked on an ambitious plan to install PV systems on many hundreds of their customers' buildings each year. In 1995, some 580 kWp of systems were installed on buildings as well as a 263 kWp ground-mounted PV system at a substation. SMUD is leading the country in utility use of PV and plans more than 10 megaWatts of additional PV capacity over the next 5 years.
SMUD customers voted to permanently close their nuclear plant at Rancho Seco. It now
stands idle, surrounded by a sea of photovoltaic modules" http://www.solardesign.com/


Hmmm.. Miko2d i think your thread got re-routed. I think you have valid points.

[ 09-18-2001: Message edited by: Snoopi ]

Offline straffo

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« Reply #16 on: September 19, 2001, 01:22:00 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by blur:


The “insane” are the ones who are aware of all the ramifications in the use of nuclear power and then continue to pursue it.

Are the French insane?

Not sure, using the above criteria insanity would have to be determined on a case by case basis.

I've to admit I'm completly insane ...


But don't generalize all French are not insane  :D

In fact we don't have any alternatives to nuclear power to produce our electricity.
So we do.
Our major problem is Nuclear waste (especially the German one  ;)) so we have done a lot of research on fusion and at this point we don't have been successfull  :(

Btw our nuclear plant are made to be safe even if a plane crash occur (well we hope...).

Offline 1776

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« Reply #17 on: September 19, 2001, 08:03:00 AM »
Hmmmmmmmm, nuclear is unclean and unsafe to many, can't even think of using it .  Use of oil produces pollution.  Drilling for oil on our own lands is enviromentally not feasiable to  most,sadly.  Dependence on OPEC oil is acceptable. This seems to be the position of many in the USA.

Is it possible that we in the USA are willing to give up our way of life to save the enviroment?  If the answer is yes then perhaps our own sanity should be brought into question.

Offline 1776

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« Reply #18 on: September 19, 2001, 08:12:00 AM »
"The interesting thing is that if everyone's house was built like this (or converted) those with cloudy days could get power from other regions with sunny days. Net result.. the power companies become re-distribution companies and have little need to actually GENERATE power.
At the very least it reduces the need for power plants."

So who pays to maintain the "grid"?  How does the power company benefit in all this?  I assume you plan on using their "grid",right?

Alot of unanswered questions.  The end result may be that the costs associated with this type of power generation will bankrupt the end users!!!

Offline -raxx-

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« Reply #19 on: September 19, 2001, 08:48:00 AM »
This topic started on terrorism and has slipped sideways into the French, nuclear power and insanity.  How about we combine them back into one topic again.

The Greenpeace ship "Rainbow Warrior" was sunk with limpet mines on the 9th of June 1985 in Auckland, killing Fernando Pereira, a photographer and sinking the ship.

What Terrorist Organisation  did this?  el Quada? The Shining Path?  The Basques or the IRA? No, it was agents of the French Secret Service, (Major Alain Mafart and Captain Dominique Prieur).

Why was this done?  The Rainbow Warrior was about to lead a flotilla of ships to protest the ongoing nuclear warheads tests at Mururoa Atoll in the South Pacific Ocean.  The French Secret Service thought it would be a good idea to sink the ship and thus stop the protest.

So given the information above do I think  the French are insane?  I don't think any more so than the average American.

I'm just concerned that the US Government is going to embark on a course of action which will produce a whole new generation of fanatics and martyrs without adressing the real problems with their foreign policies.

Anyways I could go on for hours but I have to get up for work in 4 hours and i need the sleep.

Offline Toad

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« Reply #20 on: September 19, 2001, 09:23:00 AM »
I doubt any changes the US made to their foreign policies would stop the terrorist war against the US. This isn't based in reason; it's way beyond that now.
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!

Offline 1776

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« Reply #21 on: September 19, 2001, 09:44:00 AM »
-raxx-, you could say this thread got blur-ed ;)

Offline Snoopi

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« Reply #22 on: September 19, 2001, 11:31:00 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by 1776:
"The interesting thing is that if everyone's house was built like this (or converted) those with cloudy days could get power from other regions with sunny days. Net result.. the power companies become re-distribution companies and have little need to actually GENERATE power.
At the very least it reduces the need for power plants."

So who pays to maintain the "grid"?  How does the power company benefit in all this?  I assume you plan on using their "grid",right?

Alot of unanswered questions.  The end result may be that the costs associated with this type of power generation will bankrupt the end users!!!

The concept of the extra power you generate on "surplus days" being fed back into the grid, thereby reducing or eliminating your power bill is called "net-metering"
This is in place and being used now in 34 states.

Maintaining a grid with little need for expensive plants is also cheaper than the current system.
Everyone currently pays a basic monthly hookup fee that is the same whether you use the power or not. In Maine it is $8.00.
That is meant to pay for the grid itself.
Even if it was higher than that, it would still be cheaper than paying the current bills.

Bankrupt the end users ? How is paying $540 for 1 month(february, Fuel oil) in Maine  vs paying $46 for Solar gonna bankrupt you ?

This is just one way it can work.
The other  system is being self contained.

The solar house in Maine (1 of many) generates more power then it needs, when averaged over th whole year. Some months it needs power from the utility company..other times it produces more power. The end result is it produces MORE than it needs.

To store the excess power is easy.
Then there is no need to be attached to the grid at all.
The problem with this system is that those states that can't generate enough solar power still need nuclear, gas, hydro whatever to fill the gap.
By sharing the power it works much better for everyone.

And best of all...Conservation is not really needed.

Offline miko2d

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« Reply #23 on: September 19, 2001, 09:57:00 PM »
1. Nuclear power is dangerous and harmfull. That is true. If anyone thinks that any other kind of power-generation is not (coal, oil, animal, slaves), he is ignorant.

 2. I've just called Americans cowards and all you can do is discuss power generation...

    :confused:

 miko

[ 09-20-2001: Message edited by: miko2d ]

Offline blur

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« Reply #24 on: September 20, 2001, 07:37:00 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by miko2d:
1. Nuclear power is dangerous and harmfull. That is true. If anyone thinks that any other kind of power-generation is not (coal, oil, animal, slaves), he is an ignorant.

 2. I've just calle Americans covards and all you can do is discuss power generation...

     :confused:

 miko

A thousand pardons sir for highjacking your thread.

In my defense I interpreted your mentioning of America’s failure to manifest a glorious, shiny nuclear powered future as a sort of cowardice. A perhaps too subtle a point I was making was that common sense should sometimes override “bravery”.

The only thing “shining” in a nuclear powered future would be the people.

A positive result of this highjacking is Snoopi’s posts on a solar powered grid. Fascinating. If everything else is being networked why not power?

Let’s see, a government giving subsidies and tax breaks to individuals hooking into an alternate energy grid instead of spending billions on weapons…..

I know I must be on crack!

Miko2d, I return your highjacked thread back to you.

I’ve been called many things but I’m no terrorist!   ;)

[ 09-20-2001: Message edited by: blur ]

Offline -raxx-

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« Reply #25 on: September 20, 2001, 08:02:00 AM »
Toad,

Foreign policy can change.  The difficulty is taking the time to make it work.  Would you have predicted 20 years ago that the United Soviet Socialist Republic would fragment into democracy and the Berlin wall would be smashed down?  Yet slowly this has happened.

The main obstacle to changing US policy is the fickle political winds that our elected representatives sail with.

As a good example in the 1980's the Irish Republican Army recieved a lot of funding from US citizens and this was largely ignored by the US politicians and law enforcement agencies.  Last week all the elected representatives in the US Congress bar one, voted to declare war on terrorism.

These are the same people who supported foreign policy to send either money, weapons or provide training to Manuel Noriega, (againt the Communist rebels), Saddam Hussein, (against Iran) and the Afgan Rebels, (against the USSR).  Talk about backing the wrong horse!

At the moment the lack of sensitiviy the US President is showing towards Pakistan is just another example of the cultural imperialism that draws disdain for the US from the Middle East and around the world.  George W has turned Pakistan's support for an anti-terrorism coalition into support for an attack on Afghanistan if the Taliban don't give up Osama bin Laden.  If the US attacks Afghanistan then Pakistan risks civil war.  Not a good thing for a nation that has only recently developed atomic weapons.

I sincerely hope that this situation can be resolved by non-confrontational means.  It just isn't helped when you have one idiot spouting off that suspects are to be taken "dead or alive" and the other side is willing to kill and die for their misguided beliefs.

Offline Toad

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« Reply #26 on: September 20, 2001, 08:17:00 AM »
Nonetheless, the Islamic radicals NEED a "Great Satan". It is their raison d'etre.

No matter what the US did, they would still find it insufficient. The "jihad" would continue.

Nice spin on Pakistan. We didn't "turn their support" into anything. We asked to use their airspace right up front; anyone who couldn't figure out WHY we wanted it... sheesh.

Their President had two choices... allow or deny use of the airspace. Either way, Pakistan could still remain part of the "anti-terrorism coalition". There's lots of countries that have already said they REALLY, REALLY support us... but can't help in any material way. Scan the newsites; the info is there.

Here's the deal... Yah, LOTS of people support an "anti-terrorism" coalition. They just don't want to DO anything about it or be involved in any meaningful way.

Because if they do get involved, if they do support the US in a material way... they become targets for these nutcases too. Irrespective of THEIR foreign policy towards anyone, if they help the US, they become part of the "Great Satan".

In the end, we'll go this mostly alone, with lots of well wishers watching on TV. I never expected anything else.
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!

Offline -raxx-

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« Reply #27 on: September 21, 2001, 09:19:00 AM »
What concerns me is the perception by the average US citizen is that a war with Afghanistan is a viable option.  Is Pakistan the only US ally in the area?  Why is George W is using a particularly nasty strong arm tactic on the Pakistani's.

Half a dozen countries share a border with Afghanistan, (which is land locked so a seaborne assault is difficult).  Pakistan, Iran, China, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan.

Iran shares a border with Afghanistan and diplomatic relations deteriorated when the Taliban killed 10 Iranian diplomats and left the bodies out hanging for a couple of days.  The Iranians are predominantly Shiite Muslims and don't get on well with Afghani Sunni Muslims.  Naturally they would be the best country to ask.  BUT the US supported Iraq in the Iran/Iraq war 20 years ago and the Iranians are still pissed.

China and the US have been getting on famously since their pilot ran into the US radio spy plane.  Probably shouldn't ask them either despite the fact that Sunni fanatics have managed to set off bombs in Beijing!

The former Soviet republics of Turkmenistan, (90% Muslim), Uzbekistan, (88% Sunni Muslim) and Tajikistan, (80% Sunni Muslim), aren't particulalrly aligned towards the US and added on top of that they have the US as the Cold War opposition under the Soviet banner.  Can't really ask them either.

Pakistan is the least pissed at the US but has several good reasons not to be actively involved in open warfare with Afghanistan.  Two thirds of the country is made up of Sunni Muslims many of whom fought with the Taliban against the Soviets.  The other third is composed of moderate Shi'a Muslims, Hindus and Christians.  It's suffering from the same drought that has hit Afghanistan and in involved in a nuclear race with India.  The government was rolled over in a coup in 1999 and the current president is a figurehead with the Chief Executive/Prime Minister/Generalissimo due to end his term next year.

With Iran and Afghanistan on one side and India on the other the Pakistani's are being squeezed by the US into a decison that is driven by politics rather than reason.  The American people want results NOW.  The solutions will take decades if not the remainder of the century to fix.  The Pakistan leaders are well aware of potential solutions and don't wish to have a war shatter their already fragile economy.  The Pakistani Prime Minister is caught between a rock and a hard place risking ostracism from the Western world if he doesn't co-operate and internal warfare if he does.  If a US military presence is established in Pakistan then there is an extreme risk that the US could find itself propping up a government which is unpopular with its populace if a civil war should break out, (sounds like Vietnam doesn't it?).  

I have noticed over the last week that George W's rhetoric has been directed at the Domestic market while Colin Powell has been showing a more reasonable, (but still resolute), focus on the international community.  Perhaps there is a velvet glove in front of the iron fist.

Spotcha in the Air,

P.S. Most of the information above was supplied by the CIA World Factbook http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/index.html

Offline batdog

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« Reply #28 on: September 21, 2001, 10:18:00 AM »
Raxx I think your missing it. You seem to fail to miss the entire situation. You spout off at the mouth about American policy and such and show alot of ignorance about the whole picture.
 During the cold war be established a policy that our enemy's enemy is our friend. Yes, we supported some pretty lousy indiv's but the alternative was allowing communism to spread... and dont fool yourself it would of in certain areas. Central America was particualy vunerable due to its instablity and economic woes. The last thing the US wanted was a host of pro soviet nations on its border. Our policy was to provide training and some support. Our economy was much better able to handle this than the Soviets. The combination of a massive miltary buildup and supporting nations like Cuba eventualy drained the mighty Soviet Union. Our Star Wars program I think was the camel that broke the back... it lead to more pressure on a miltary/economy that simply wasnt going to take the strain. Thus the WALL came down. The cold war was won by economics more or less..

 Our policy in the middle east is simple in regards to say the PLO and such. We support nations we feel are stable and have ties of meaning w/us. The oil reserves are a big part of our policy there... they are vital to western civilization at this moment. We support Isreal because THEY are reliable. We do not support indiv's like Arafat because we see him as a unknown factor w/many strong anti-american qualities... basicly he's more of a threat.

 The Pak government has strong ties w/the Taliban. They also have nuclear weapons... what sort of potiental problem do you see there? If we DO NOT pressure the Pak gov to go w/us then what? Perhaps the Taliban's will bleed over...perhaps not.

 If you look at the world community its NOT just BUSH who's talking tough. You have some VERY liberal,moderate governments out there who are supporting him and the US. WHY? Well because its ethier deal w/this now or wait for an attack that brings say 100k deaths perhaps?
 
 I think the US will also look at it foriegn policy and start to look for solutions to the breeding grounds of this type of fanatic BUT the host nations of these indiv's will have to cooperate with us.

 xBAT
Of course, I only see what he posts here and what he does in the MA.  I know virtually nothing about the man.  I think its important for people to realize that we don't really know squat about each other.... definately not enough to use words like "hate".

AKDejaVu

Offline -raxx-

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« Reply #29 on: September 21, 2001, 06:17:00 PM »
[duplicate post deleted]

[ 09-21-2001: Message edited by: -raxx- ]