First off lets address perceptions again. I have heard reports of IL2s getting hit with 2-4 30mm shells and living. I can see maybe surviving 2 hits but I remain doubtful about 3-4 hits from a 30 mm. B17s don't even survive that.
Remember that the fire rate of the 30mm and its drop and accuracy is vastly different than the 13mm also firing and 2 20mm gondolas. Since hit sprite don't show differently for each type of round it is very possible (especially in a turn fight battle) that you were hitting with the 13mm and or 20 mm and not consistently with the 30mm.
But yes, the IL2 is armored and tough, just don't agree that it can withstand 3-4 (this was posted by Sled over on the CM board) hits.
Okay now about gun packages and the claim that it has one of the best gun packages. It has a good package but lets take a look at it and its competitors in the fight.
IL22x23mm 150 rpg
1x12.7mm 150 rpg
2x7.6 mm 750 rpg
110-G22x20 mm 350 - 400 rpg
2x30 mm 135 rpg
1x7.9 mm 750 rpg
190F82x20mm 250 rpg
2x13mm 475 rpg
109G6/G101x30 mm 65 rpg or 1x20mm 150 rpg
2x13 mm 135 rpg
2x20 mm 125 rpg (gondolas)
190D92x20mm 250 rpg
2x13mm 475 rpg
[/list]
The IL2 has a good front end fire power but by no means is it massively superior to the firepower of the LW planes. The 109s would have the most problem with it if they didn't take the gondolas guns. But if they did that is either 1 30mm, 2 20 and 2 13 mm or 3 20 mm and 2 13 mm guns against the IL2.
Remember 32 IL2s were shot down versus 4 LW planes. Even if you double that and say 8 planes were put out of action do to battle damage that is goes from and 8 to 1 to 4 to 1 ratio.
Next lets look at performance (2nd number after / is wep)
IL2246 - 0K
257 - 5K
261 - 10K
244 - 15K
215 - 20K
110 G2312/322 - 0K
331/340 - 5K
344/351 - 10K
354/360 - 15K
362/367 - 20K
362/365 - 25K
190F8[/b[
328/351 - 0K
346/359 - 5K
341/367 - 10K
365/387 - 15K
382/402 - 20K
367/386 - 25K
109G6
318/338 - 0K
342/362 - 5K
359/370 - 10K
369/379 - 15K
381/391 - 20K
382/387 - 25K
[/list]
As you see even the 110 has a 50-100 mph advantage over it depending on the alt and if WEP is on or not. The IL2 can not run or chase. Put 1500 lbs of ordinance on and the situation becomes even worse and the plane loses the little maneuverability it has.
Take off the 1500 lbs and let it squirl about on the deck and it takes some work because of its hide.
In the ROC department it is even worse (2nd number is WEP).
IL21.50 - 0K
1.39 - 5K
1.00 - 10K
0.49 - 15K
110 G22.70/3.04 - 0K
2.62/2.99 - 5K
2.35/2.62 - 10K
2.00/2.25 - 15K
109G63.38/3.98 - 0K
3.66/4.31 - 5K
3.42/3.82 - 10K
3.02/3.42 - 15K
[/list]
The LW planes have twice the climb rate of the IL2 and higher alts it is more 2.5 times more. Even the 110G2 has a significantly better climb rate. Meaning if the LW fighters bounce the IL2s from above or work in the vertical the IL2s simply can track them and have to hope for a lucky shot in a swirling mass of combat. Which is why one squad decided that everyone stays together and turned into a swirling mass and nobody runs. Even still 13 IL2s died for 3 kills.
IL2s unlike the 110s and 190F8s can not dogfight, do intercept missions, or defend a base. Their forward gun package is the match of 190F8 or a 109 but they don't have the speed and ROC to bring them to bear on the target in the same way the the LW planes do. Also you can say they have a better maneuverability than the LW planes .. they are not hurricanes able to turn on a dime.
What they do have going for them is a tough skin. Otherwise the planes are outclassed.
But in comparison to the A20 that is mentioned:
A20Speed
312/317 - 0K
325/325 - 5K
331/336 - 10K
333/333 - 15K
318/318 - 20K
302/302 - 25K
ROC
1.90/2.04 - 0K
1.64/1.64 - 5K
1.39/1.48 - 10K
1.00/1.00 - 15K
6x.50s forward
2x.50s rear
4000 lbs payload.
[/b]
The A20 is a much more capable plane. Its speed gives a much better chance of survival than the IL2 against this plane set. But even still it would have a hard time.
Against A6M5s or A6M2s the A20 is a bear to take down. So you have to also judge who gets a second life in regards to what is going to try to shoot them down.
Finally remember that the fuel burn rate was set at 1.0. Meaning the LW should have been able to fight without taking DTs (none of the Russian planes have DTs). Meaning if the CiC for the LW deciced to do so every plane on the LW side could have taken eggs and rockets and then those not attacking could dump them.
All the plane types for the LW side could do JABO, or air to air work in escorting (well the 110 would not be a great escort) a strike, or protecting a base (once again the 110 would not be great for base defense). The IL2s can not do escort work, base defense work or intercepts.
Meaning that the Russian pilots in them in the initial fighter (T+0 to T+50) had only the pilots not in IL2s to do escort work or base defense. The Russian CiC does not have the option of saying .. IL2s dump eggs and attack the incoming (discovered) 190F8 JABO force. But the LW CiC does have that option .. FW190F8s drop ordinance and defend X or attack that IL2 force.
This is why the IL2 was judged and has been judge worthy of a second life.
As for tactics or they way the battle played out. Exactly, the IL2 forces could have been mauled before hitting target. Meaning they would have to reup in IL2s again to attack. They weren't do to the way the battle played out .. IL2 strikes got within visual site of targets before discovered. Escorts bought them enough time to get eggs off, etc. But if they had been discovered 2 sectors out .. would probably have been different.
As for my numbers .. granted mistake on the events site about the USMC.
Also note that Stream has moved 332nd (11-15) to the LW side for frame 3. Also note that as far as the VVS knows the LW will have some 262s in frame 3.