Originally posted by ghi
I heard talking on CNN today in evening news , about "intercepting capabilities " . Are realy any reliable sistems able to intercept!?
Few months ago i've seen a documentary movie , made by Israel ,about Patriot failure in 1st Golf war. They said, reports on 80-90% hit/ intercept was only propaganda and "comercial" for Raytheon , cuz in reality the hit % was 0 (zer0) .Not a single Scud was shot down by Patriot .
The most intresting conlusion was that the Patriot has chances to intercepts the balistic at /low alt reentry in dense atmosfere, where the Scud were desintegrating, and have unpredictable trajectory at high relative speed
I did't belive , and i checked on internet, and are lot of reports about this, but who knows ,maybe were improved in last 15 years
PAC-2 didn't shoot down any SCUD's because there weren't any SCUD's in Iraq. There were, however Al Hussein's - which were modified from SCUD's, usually by extending the fuel tanks and adding necessities like a natural countermeasure of the missile breaking up upon re-entry creating lots of false targets.
PAC-2 software setup the intercept based on a SCUD profile - but if you look at how PAC-2 was designed from the outset, it was made for cruise missiles, fast movers, and as a last ditch, ballistic missile defense. But the warhead, isn't designed for the latter.
For example:
Lets say you have a warhead filled with tungsten balls which are focused out front like a shotgun - so you have a pattern much like a cone filled with metal. If you have a miss distance of 5 meters, you'll hit a lot, maybe something critical. But what if you double the miss distance - 15 meters? Maybe 50 meters? You'd be lucky if 2 or 3 of the balls even hit the fuselage.
But the PAC-2 software was designed so even a miss distance of 100 meters would be tallied as a probable kill. Clearly this wouldn't have been a kill, but the system as a whole was more deterrent then anything regarding TBM defense. And when they started falling on Tel Aviv, if they hadn't been rolled in and showed as doing something to protect Israel, it doesn't matter if they were effective or not - only the perception of them working was what mattered at the time.
PAC-3, is a hit to kill system - which doesn't rely on any warhead to destroy the RV. You either hit the damn thing or not - no 2 ways about it.
Wolf