Did you take into account the 67,000+ census workers. i haven't seen any improvements in the amount of jobs available in my Area, bet if you did a search alot of those jobs will be with the government, as far as there forecasts well those are just numbers and what part of the country do they reflect? summer jobs are coming up who couldn't forecast that, whats to be determined is how many, besides the low paying summer jobs, summers over jobless rate will increase again, how much ? who knows that yet, i bet the "forecasters" do, if they forecast anything like our weather, they don't know as much as they think they do