We dodge a bullet....more like hail

[oakranger]

Had some series of thunderstorms in my area.  We just got lucky by 15 miles as it started to head south.  Storm producing tornado and freaking large hail.  Biggest that was found, SEVEN INCH WIDE!!!

http://www.kansas.com/2010/09/15/1495523/photos-from-wednesdays-storms.html

[Killer91]

I saw the storms on radar. Their was some impressive looking storms... on radar anyways. Glad that missed you.

[oakranger]

I saw the storms on radar. Their was some impressive looking storms... on radar anyways. Glad that missed you.

Kansas storms are always impressive....that goes the same for the rest of the Great Plains states.  So much energy, unpredictable, one little puff will absorbed so much power in a few short hours that you can watch it grow. 

As the higher elevation cloud leave of the storm was over my area, i recognized a certain cloud formation that indicates vary strong winds that will produced large hail.  sure enough it did it. 

[Jayhawk]

I was walking on campus when lightning struck somewhere here in town.  The thunder cracked in front of me and rolled over my head.  Pretty sweet, but I went double-time down that hill. 

[oakranger]

I was walking on campus when lightning struck somewhere here in town.  The thunder cracked in front of me and rolled over my head.  Pretty sweet, but I went double-time down that hill. 

The closes i have been to a lighting......i could feel the energy build up seconds before the strike and hear the static before the thunder.  I was luck that i was inside the house looking out the window rather then standing outside. 

[Curval]

BIG storm coming our way.

Igor...muhahahhahaahaha

[Killer91]

Kansas storms are always impressive....that goes the same for the rest of the Great Plains states.  So much energy, unpredictable, one little puff will absorbed so much power in a few short hours that you can watch it grow. 

As the higher elevation cloud leave of the storm was over my area, i recognized a certain cloud formation that indicates vary strong winds that will produced large hail.  sure enough it did it. 

True that. I wish I lived up there. I'd be chasing every storm I could get to 

I live about 60 miles north of Ft Worth and we really don't get to much severe weather here. Occasionally we'll get a severe storm that will roll through but nothing like up there in Kansas or the Texas panhandle for that matter.

[Curval]

You are welcome to come down here and stay a few days.  No need to chase anything....it'll come right at ya.

Cat 4...sustained winds of 140mph.  And...it is gonna last a heck of a long time:

http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/hurricane-igor-size-comparison_2010-09-15

Latest from NHC:

AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IGOR IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...BUT IGOR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A LARGE AND POWERFUL
HURRICANE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES...445 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.

Come on down!

[Killer91]

You are welcome to come down here and stay a few days.  No need to chase anything....it'll come right at ya.

Cat 4...sustained winds of 140mph.  And...it is gonna last a heck of a long time:

http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/hurricane-igor-size-comparison_2010-09-15

Latest from NHC:

AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IGOR IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...BUT IGOR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A LARGE AND POWERFUL
HURRICANE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES...445 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.

Come on down!

That is one beast of a storm. Where exactly is down here though? Bermuda? lol

Sure has been an active year. Got 2 hurricanes in the Atlantic and 1 in the gulf right now.

[Curval]

"Where exactly is down here though? Bermuda? lol"

Yup.

It won't be a picnic but what we have we'll share.


Igor May Isolate Bermuda for Days
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist

Sep 16, 2010; 11:00 AM ET
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Power outages from Hurricane Igor's forecast winds could isolate Bermuda for days in the wake of the looming powerful storm.
Hurricane Igor could be another Hurricane Fabian in the making for Bermuda, given the forecast track and strength of the system looming in the Atlantic.

During September 2003, Category 3 Hurricane Fabian struck Bermuda with 120-mph sustained winds, gusts of 164 mph, and monstrous seas of over 30 feet. Four people died in Bermuda as a result of Fabian.

However, while Igor moved swiftly through Bermuda, Igor may travel much more slowly. As a result, AccuWeather.com Hurricane Expert Joe Bastardi is concerned the islands may be in for a "several-day siege of damaging winds and waves."

Assuming Igor continues on its forecast path taking it well within 50 miles of the islands, the nation may be slammed with a Category 2 or 3 hurricane, causing power outages, shipwrecks, property damage, and beach erosion.

While many structures on the islands are small fortresses, made of stone with foundations into bedrock, and will weather the hurricane much better than structures built on the barrier islands of the U.S., lives will be in peril, and the damage may be significant.

Bastardi is concerned the islands may be cut off for a time in the worst-case scenario, without electricity for refrigeration and fresh water for days.

The effects from the large hurricane will progressively worsen in Bermuda waters throughout the weekend, even though the center of Igor may not pass until late Sunday or early Monday.

Igor was experiencing some shear and perhaps eye wall replacement Thursday morning, but maintained steady Category 4 status as of 8:00 a.m. EDT.

However, as Igor continues on a path to the northwest, then north, shear will increase and waters will become progressively cooler, leading to some weakening of the system this weekend and beyond.

How quickly this happens and the exact path of Igor will determine the effects on Bermuda.

Even so, because Igor is such a large hurricane, even a miss by more than 50 miles could still mean damaging winds, and dangerous seas and surf in the region for days.

[Killer91]

i do believe your in for one heck of a ride in Bermuda. It may not be as intense as it was but it's massive size is amazing.


From Weather Underground:

Igor
The Hurricane Hunters just arrived in Hurricane Igor, and found that the inner 23-mile wide eyewall had collapsed. Igor now has a huge 92-mile wide eye, thanks to this eyewall replacement cycle. As is usually the case in eyewall replacement cycles, the peak winds of the hurricane have decreased, but hurricane force winds are now spread out over a larger area. Top winds at the surface as seen by the SFMR instrument were Category 1 strength, 82 mph, though the aircraft did see 130 mph winds at 10,000 feet, which suggests the surface winds should be of Category 3 strength, 115 mph. These stronger winds are apparently not mixing down to the surface in the usual fashion. A sonde dropped in the eye at 11:20am AST recorded a central pressure of 945 mb, about 6 mb higher than what NHC was estimating in their 11am AST advisory. Though conditions for intensification will remain favorable through Sunday afternoon, with moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots and warm water temperatures of 28.5°C, we can expect only slow intensification of Igor. With such a huge eye, it will take Igor considerable time for it to bring the winds in this new eyewall back to Category 3 strength, and it will be difficult for the hurricane to be stronger than a high-end Category 2 storm with 110 mph winds when it makes its closest pass by Bermuda Sunday night.




Hope its not as bad as they say its gonna be. Good luck man and stay safe.

[Curval]

I think we'll be okay.  It had me worried for a while but if the winds stay below Cat 2 it will only end up being what amounts to a really long winter storm.