Author Topic: Singularity. Is it possible? When?  (Read 2880 times)

Offline moot

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Re: Singularity. Is it possible? When?
« Reply #105 on: March 05, 2011, 05:42:16 PM »
Even if you deny or aren't convinced of the ramp up in many techs' progress leading to a singularity, there's one thing to notice: people do this thing where they'll flip from considering something significantly novel (eg self driving cars, turing-level AI), as if it had some near magic value, to considering that novelty no big deal once it's accomplished or once it becomes routine enough.

A major case of cognitive bias.  You can't judge whether something like the singularity will happen or not if you're given to so much bias.  I think this is one of the major reasons most people reject the idea of a technological singularity.  IMO there are some major changes ahead for Man and a lot of the potential risks could be avoided if only people would recognize biases like this one.     

One of the major challenges will come when AIs beat humans at Turing-like tests.  And yet they'll be "nothing but hunks a junk".  They'll have no "soul".  There's a Japanese religion that considers all things equally "sacred", whether alive or not.  They ought to acclimatize much better, in this respect at least, to such inanimate matter "waking up".
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