Indicators the military is planning something.

[Eagler]

So what will the upcoming black swan event look like..

Eagler

[rabbidrabbit]

So what will the upcoming black swan event look like..

Eagler

Isn't the definition of a black swan an unforeseen event?

[Eagler]

Isn't the definition of a black swan an unforeseen event?

Yes except for those executing it...

Eagler

[AKIron]

I don't know about swans but my bet is we will send the ayatollah to his just rewards before long.

[rabbidrabbit]

Messaging from today

President Donald Trump on U.S.-Iran talks, which is expected to take place next week: "Either we will make a deal or we will have to do something very tough like last time." https://t.co/1Q3gvzwN4s pic.twitter.com/wSq4iv37CS

Open Source Intel  (@Osint613) February 10, 2026

Get the feeling this will stretch out some more but something will probably happen because Iran is hard balling.

[icepac]

Followed by hard bailing.

[CptTrips]

Followed by hard bailing.

I thought your were going to say hard-boiling. 

[rabbidrabbit]

Followed by hard bailing.

Maybe, maybe not.  It's hard to say at this point.  The problem here is Iran is hardballing no on every line item the Trump is saying needs to happen to prevent strikes so at some point that reality is going to come to a head.  Whether the dice are rolled on a risky military campaign to help overthrow the regime that may or may not happen or Trump tacos is hard to call at this point if you are objective.  I personally think it's about 70/30 in favor of action in the next few weeks/month at this point.

[Eagler]

It would only take the right photo from the island and war would start immediately imo..

I think it's more an ace in the hole than caring about the Iranians at this point...same with Ukraine..

Pray for peace✌🏻

Eagler

[rabbidrabbit]

It would only take the right photo from the island and war would start immediately imo..

I think it's more an ace in the hole than caring about the Iranians at this point...same with Ukraine..

Pray for peace✌🏻

Eagler

That's a very jaded thought process that is being pushed by some narratives. 

[Eagler]

That's a very jaded thought process that is being pushed by some narratives.

Truth isn't always pleasant nor noble...

Eagler

[rabbidrabbit]

Truth isn't always pleasant nor noble...

Eagler

This seems a lot more like opinion than truth.  Truth is observable.  This is an opinion that lies far over on the scale.

[Eagler]

This seems a lot more like opinion than truth.  Truth is observable.  This is an opinion that lies far over on the scale.

Guess I lost my naivety awhile ago...

Truth is what you are told it is these days...sometimes we are told not to believe our own eyes and ears..

I use to be, look up the patriotic noise I was making in 2001/2002 here in this bbs in support of Iraq and Afghanistan wars..back when we could discuss our differences without the whiners...

Not so much after 20 years of war for nothing...please don't bring up ole Bin, pretty sure we could have popped him much sooner if we really wanted to..

Eagler

[rabbidrabbit]

Guess I lost my naivety awhile ago...

Truth is what you are told it is these days...sometimes we are told not to believe our own eyes and ears..

I use to be, look up the patriotic noise I was making in 2001/2002 here in this bbs in support of Iraq and Afghanistan wars..back when we could discuss our differences without the whiners...

Not so much after 20 years of war for nothing...please don't bring up ole Bin, pretty sure we could have popped him much sooner if we really wanted to..

Eagler

There is a difference between being red pilled and black pilled and it's not hard to become so disaffected that convenient counter establishment narratives become believable even though they are deliberately put forth to polarize people.  All I'm saying is truth is truth and always apply ones critical thought process to all information.  Things are true because they are observably true not because we want them to be true.  Once you get pulled into the path of polarization things get increasingly detached from observable truth and things that happen get continually wrapped into deliberately polarizing false narratives.

I'm pretty sure we are very close in our distrust in the things you mentioned.  That does not mean those other narrative are actually the truth.

By all means, you are welcome to believe whatever you want but just be aware that billions of dollars a year are spent to influence everyone and one of the most common ways is to use the justified distrust of one narrative to feed other false narratives as being the actual truth.

[rabbidrabbit]

NEW: US appears willing to tolerate Iranian nuclear enrichment within clearly set boundaries, Turkey’s Fidan says in an interview with FT.

This would be a game changer since Trump had insisted on zero enrichment so far pic.twitter.com/3XSxbO58Oc

Ragip Soylu  (@ragipsoylu) February 12, 2026
Iran’s President said the country is ready to open its nuclear sites for “any verification” to prove it is not building nuclear weapons, amid ongoing talks to avoid possible US military action. pic.twitter.com/45VH2mDLXX

Clash Report  (@clashreport) February 12, 2026