Well, my estimate was porked by further UN prevarication. The point being that nothing has changed between March 2 and now. Just Chirac saying he didn't favour war "today", when what he really meant was that he did not favour war at any time. There was no way that Chirac could single handedly stop a war, but by causing further delays it means that our boys will now have to fight in hotter, less comfortable conditions.
When the war started, in 1991, the allied action began very soon after expiry of the deadline. Assuming that the same thing happens this time, it could be 8pm Eastern tomorrow night. But - perhaps the allies will favour starting when it's completely dark, whereas Iraq has a full moon at night just now.
Baghdad weather - latest
