Aces High Bulletin Board

General Forums => The O' Club => Topic started by: -MZ- on November 02, 2004, 03:43:22 PM

Title: Exit Polls
Post by: -MZ- on November 02, 2004, 03:43:22 PM: Major media organizations are withholding their exit poll data until after polls close.

However, Slate is publishing them as soon as they get them.

Their site is very slow today, but they are the only ones I have seen who have it:

www.slate.com (http://www.slate.com)
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Sandman on November 02, 2004, 04:03:42 PM: Thanks for the tip... Slate is getting hammered. Finally got to the page but it's really slow.
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nilsen on November 02, 2004, 04:07:08 PM: running smoothly here from norway

-edit- lol.... Its not any more :D
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Sandman on November 02, 2004, 04:10:20 PM: Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
running smoothly here from norway

Oh great... another drive by shooting from a foreigner. :D
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nilsen on November 02, 2004, 04:11:42 PM: Quote
Originally posted by Sandman
Oh great... another drive by shooting from a foreigner. :D

who are you calling foreigner you foreigner! :)
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Sandman on November 02, 2004, 04:13:52 PM: LOL...

Hey... what's up with the black hat? What's that about?
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: rpm on November 02, 2004, 04:14:29 PM: For the benefit of those having trouble getting to Slate.
Quote
Early Exit
A squeaker!
By Jack Shafer
Updated Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2004, at 12:51 PM PT

The first wave of exit-poll data reaching my desk comes from a variety of sources. In some states the sources disagree about the specific margin by which a candidate leads, but never about which candidate is out in front. Some of the confusion may stem from the mixing of morning exit-poll numbers with early afternoon numbers. With those provisos and the understanding that the early numbers are predictive of nothing without their accompanying computer model, here's what I've heard:

Florida
Kerry 50
Bush 49

Ohio
Kerry 50
Bush 49

Pennsylvania
Kerry 54
Bush 45

Wisconsin
Kerry 51
Bush 46

Michigan
Kerry 51
Bush 47

Minnesota
Kerry 58
Bush 40

Nevada
Kerry 48
Bush 50

New Mexico
Kerry 50
Bush 48

North Carolina
Kerry 49
Bush 51

Colorado
Kerry 46
Bush 53

Other exit-poll results have arrived in more vague form, with Kerry leading Bush in New Hampshire but trailing him in Arizona and Louisiana.
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: TweetyBird on November 02, 2004, 04:18:47 PM: If this holds up, its looking like an early night- 11pm est.
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nilsen on November 02, 2004, 04:18:54 PM: Quote
Originally posted by Sandman
LOL...

Hey... what's up with the black hat? What's that about?

its black????

damn, my eyes must be going old... i thought it was green'ish :D

whats up with my hat you say.... well it represents all i stand for and how i feel about the wood and keyboards in general :)
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: slimm50 on November 02, 2004, 04:24:03 PM: Heh, that exit poll just tells me that most Republicans/ Conservatives have jobs, whereas most Dems/ Libs don't work:p
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: rpm on November 02, 2004, 04:26:40 PM: Quote
Originally posted by slimm50
Heh, that exit poll just tells me that most Republicans/ Conservatives have jobs, whereas most Dems/ Libs don't work:p
So you are saying "stay at home Moms" and people that have night jobs don't work?
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: TweetyBird on November 02, 2004, 04:27:09 PM: Ill let someone else tell you the bad news about late voters.
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Sandman on November 02, 2004, 04:28:34 PM: Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
its black????

damn, my eyes must be going old... i thought it was green'ish :D

whats up with my hat you say.... well it represents all i stand for and how i feel about the wood and keyboards in general :)

I think I'll stop now while I'm only a little confused. ;)
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nilsen on November 02, 2004, 04:32:25 PM: Quote
Originally posted by Sandman
I think I'll stop now while I'm only a little confused. ;)

hehe

The hat thing started after i had a pic of myself wearing one as an avatar. :)

<------ see?

(http://www.alpinsiden.com/erik/F1000007.jpg)
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: DREDIOCK on November 02, 2004, 04:40:56 PM: Curious how exactly exit polls work.
I know they arent the be all endall of the election.

Are they subject also to the same + - 3-4%margin of error?
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Jackal1 on November 02, 2004, 05:01:08 PM: Thought it was hilarious yesterday when I watched a report on 6 different polls. What was so funny was that the +/- margin for error, percentage wise, was exactly the percentage it took to cancel them out and level it to 50/50.
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: slimm50 on November 05, 2004, 10:32:15 AM: Quote
Originally posted by TweetyBird
Ill let someone else tell you the bad news about late voters.

Guys, I was only tweakin ya with that crack about early exit polls, but what's the bad news about late voters?? Oh, wait....... there is no bad news about late voters.:D
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nash on November 05, 2004, 10:59:33 AM: Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
hehe (http://www.alpinsiden.com/erik/F1000007.jpg)

First ya slam into rocks and total yer dad's boat, and now ya beach this here boat in the middle of an intersection.

What kind of a sailor are you?
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: TweetyBird on November 05, 2004, 11:03:26 AM: Yea, Ann Coulter has already informed us the Democrats conspired to skew the exit polls in order to depress the Bush vote :D

I love conspriracy theories - they're so much more fun than reasonalbe explanations (like the polls were just wrong, as they have been wrong in the past).

But who could argue with Ann, she's such a cutie :)
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Steve on November 05, 2004, 11:23:15 AM: Dems got thumped!!

Take it!!!!
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nilsen on November 05, 2004, 11:58:47 AM: LOL Nash :D

True, the place where that perticular boat is mored is norways largets intersection and the uglyest place you will ever find in our country. _Remember this_...... if you EVER come to norway then stay clear of this place. Its called Drammen and you wont find an uglyer place on this planet.

Here you have the boat from another angle:

(http://www.alpinsiden.com/erik/F1000005.jpg)
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Furball on November 05, 2004, 12:08:18 PM: looks like a girls hat :p
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nilsen on November 05, 2004, 01:00:13 PM: Quote
Originally posted by Furball
looks like a girls hat :p

unisex :o
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Furball on November 05, 2004, 01:18:15 PM: Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
unisex :o

(http://www.onpoi.net/ah/pics/users/71_1099681975_nielsen.jpg)
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nilsen on November 05, 2004, 01:36:01 PM: how cute! :)
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Furball on November 05, 2004, 01:41:02 PM: i was tempted to add long blonde hair and lipstick too... but decided not to in case the pervs on here got attracted to you :D
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nilsen on November 05, 2004, 01:54:09 PM: Too late anyway, i had to tweak my spamfilter and blacklist virtually all variations of Lazs.
Title: Exit Polls
Post by: Nilsen on November 05, 2004, 04:58:12 PM: Furball!!!!!!!

I just saw the name you gave the pic :o