Aces High Bulletin Board

General Forums => The O' Club => Topic started by: Shuckins on September 21, 2005, 11:24:39 PM

Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Shuckins on September 21, 2005, 11:24:39 PM
...Nagin is on his way to help supervise the evacuation.
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: B17Skull12 on September 21, 2005, 11:47:00 PM
that city will be lucky to not be wiped of the face of this planet.....

again.
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Ripsnort on September 22, 2005, 10:41:58 AM
I predict it will turn N-NW just a tad before making landfall, with the high destuctive winds missing Galveston directly.
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: midnight Target on September 22, 2005, 10:49:17 AM
Quote
Originally posted by Ripsnort
I predict it will turn N-NW just a tad before making landfall, with the high destuctive winds missing Galveston directly.


Going out on a limb?

(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1805W_sm2+gif/145647W_sm.gif)
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Ripsnort on September 22, 2005, 11:01:57 AM
They must have updated that this morning...the track was slightly south of Galveston yesterday on Wundergrounds website.  I just based my guess viewing the satellite tracking of the last 24 hours.Maybe I should have been a metermaid? ;)
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Dnil on September 22, 2005, 11:06:29 AM
I think its hitting tx/la border now.  Problem is we have another problem brewing, people stuck on freeways.  Its getting ugly on the road folks.  Its getting near 100 degrees and people stuck all over.  And now looks like storm wont even do much damage here.  Media has to be loving this.
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Iceman24 on September 22, 2005, 11:08:46 AM
the main difference here is that Galveston does not sit 20' or however many feet deep below ground. And Galveston's coast was actually built correctly. They will have a few problems I'm sure but nothing along the lines of a Katrina
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Creton on September 22, 2005, 11:53:37 AM
Do you live near Hurst  Iceman24?I frequently go there to see some friends.About a 4 hr. drive from where I live.

JB12
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Iceman24 on September 22, 2005, 12:56:01 PM
I live in Burleson, about 10 minutes south of fort worth, Hurst is about 15-20 minutes from where I live... so yeah I live pretty close to Hurst. You said your about 4 hours away, where u live at JB12 ?
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Creton on September 22, 2005, 01:09:59 PM
Just outside Ft. Smith Ar.,little town called Roland.


JB12
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Makarov9 on September 22, 2005, 01:18:31 PM
(http://lucianne.com/routine/images/09-22-05.jpg)
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Iceman24 on September 22, 2005, 01:30:46 PM
LMFO thats excellent, nice post bud.... Can anyone see any differances in the two pics lol. One state evacuated BEFORE the storm hits and the other waits until AFTER the storm hits to leave. LOL
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Iceman24 on September 22, 2005, 01:58:13 PM
Iv'e been watching the news all day about this cane in houston, they have changed the strength, and its path about 10 different times in the past 2 days... I don't think they really have a clue what its going to do.... If I were in New Orleans I would watch out again, it looks like it might hang a small right turn and come up right thru there again
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Jackal1 on September 22, 2005, 02:09:44 PM
Quote
Originally posted by Iceman24
the main difference here is that Galveston does not sit 20' or however many feet deep below ground. And Galveston's coast was actually built correctly. They will have a few problems I'm sure but nothing along the lines of a Katrina


"
Storm surge could top seawall and flood city

BY SCOTT STREATER

Knight Ridder Newspapers

FORT WORTH, Texas - (KRT) - Galveston's massive seawall offers little protection to the thousands of Texas homes and businesses sitting behind it if Hurricane Rita slams into the barrier island.

If Rita makes landfall as a Category 5 storm, it could produce a storm surge at least as high as 22 feet, which would easily overtop Galveston's 17-foot-high, 10-mile-long seawall, experts say.

Perhaps worse, the back of the island isn't protected by the seawall and sits at a much lower elevation, meaning that it would flood as the Gulf of Mexico rises.

"It will inundate the entire city," said Don Van Nieuwenhuise, a geologist at the University of Houston. "The whole island will be under water."
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: BluKitty on September 22, 2005, 02:52:49 PM
Quote
Originally posted by Iceman24
LMFO thats excellent, nice post bud.... Can anyone see any differances in the two pics lol. One state evacuated BEFORE the storm hits and the other waits until AFTER the storm hits to leave. LOL


Well lessons 'learned' to a point (like we didn't know better before?) ... but NO is a mid-sized CITY ... Galveston is a small TOWN

And Galveston doesn't have a huge population of poor. So apples and oranges.

But yes, a picture is worth a thousand words.

I wonder how Corpus and Rockport, and towns like Victora are doing?
I heard Victora was evacuating, I'd guess  Rockport is?.... Is Corpus?  It's supposed to go more North and East, so maybe they aren't as worried?
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Iceman24 on September 22, 2005, 03:28:01 PM
If Rita makes landfall as a Category 5 storm, it could produce a storm surge at least as high as 22 feet, which would easily overtop Galveston's 17-foot-high, 10-mile-long seawall, experts say.

Wow I never heard anything about that... 22' high whoa !!
I hope it doesn't get that big or they could be in trouble.
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: sling322 on September 22, 2005, 04:53:27 PM
Predictions calling for it to drop possibly to a large cat 3 by landfall....and it keeps shifting East.  Good for Houston area, bad for New Orleans.
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: Masherbrum on September 22, 2005, 10:10:05 PM
Quote
Originally posted by Iceman24
If Rita makes landfall as a Category 5 storm, it could produce a storm surge at least as high as 22 feet, which would easily overtop Galveston's 17-foot-high, 10-mile-long seawall, experts say.

Wow I never heard anything about that... 22' high whoa !!
I hope it doesn't get that big or they could be in trouble.


Category 5's are rare.  But yes, 22-28 ft surges.  Mankind will never harness that, never.  People just need to move inland, the sooner, the better.

Karaya
Title: Not to Fear Galveston...
Post by: sling322 on September 23, 2005, 01:16:06 AM
Quote
Originally posted by BluKitty
Well lessons 'learned' to a point (like we didn't know better before?) ... but NO is a mid-sized CITY ... Galveston is a small TOWN

And Galveston doesn't have a huge population of poor. So apples and oranges.

But yes, a picture is worth a thousand words.

I wonder how Corpus and Rockport, and towns like Victora are doing?
I heard Victora was evacuating, I'd guess  Rockport is?.... Is Corpus?  It's supposed to go more North and East, so maybe they aren't as worried?



Spoken by someone who has never been to Galveston, I assume.  They have evacuated over 316,000 people from Galveston county at this point.  That doesnt include the other coastal counties that surround it or the inland areas south of Houston proper that were under mandatory evacuations.  There is also a large population of elderly and hospital bound folks in Galveston which makes this evacuation that much more tricky.  Calling it a small town is a bit presumptuous of you.  

As far as the news is saying here, most coastal counties have called for evacuations as far south as Matagorda.  Corpus is under a hurricane watch not a hurricane warning and I think there is a tropical storm watch that extends all the way to the Rio Grande river.  

Predictions are putting it in pretty much right over Port Arthur at this point with the possibility of it dropping down to as small as a cat 3 by the time it makes landfall.  They are also watching it very closely as it seems that it may shift even farther to the east.  Another thing they are keeping an eye on is the fact that it has the potential to stall after it makes landfall....only question is where its going to stall.  Different models have it doing different things ranging from stalling just north of Houston and then getting pushed back southwest by a low pressure system moving across TX all the way to stalling out over extreme NE TX and dumping 20-some inches of rain up there.