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General Forums => Aircraft and Vehicles => Topic started by: macleod01 on May 06, 2008, 05:31:26 PM

Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: macleod01 on May 06, 2008, 05:31:26 PM
Now that I didnt know! I was under the impresion it WAS up and running in a few days
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Tilt on May 06, 2008, 06:08:18 PM
The Royal Navy has always held the opinion that just a couple of cruisers let loose amongst the Whermacht invasion barges would have scuppered any invasion attempt.

Not only did the LW fail to achieve air superiority over the channel and SE England. It also failed to close the Royal Navy channel ports. All of which (including Portsmouth) were fully functional throughout WWII even if the bulk of the fleet was held safely out of range of most of the LW
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: TUXC on May 06, 2008, 06:08:33 PM
Even if they had air superiority, the Germans were ill-equipped to carry out or support an amphibious assault of that magnitude. Look at the massive invasions in 1944-1945 like Normandy, Iwo Jima, and Okinawa and then imagine them attempted with what Germany had available near the English Channel in late 1940.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Tilt on May 06, 2008, 06:29:37 PM
When the Luftwaffe launched their first attack on a radar station they managed to knock it out for weeks but at a very heavy cost in aircraft.

IIRC Ventnor was the only station to be knocked out for more than part of a day..it was back up after 2-3 days. The cost to the LW was heavy as it was taken out  as part of a massive Ju87 cross channel raid also targetting Portsmouth and Southampton. The RAF got amongst the Ju87s whilst they were without any top cover. It was a massacre that led to the JU87 being withdrawn from front line service in the West.

The LW were in termoil re the actual plan.........

Kesselring knew that the airfields had to be totally taken out in SE England.

Goering was convinced his LW could shoot the RAF out of the air.

Hitler thought the whole thing a distraction from his Eastern European ambitions and eventually just wanted London bombed into submission.

All ignored the Radar stations for differing reasons, none fully understood the command and control system as pointed out above.

In actuality GB was out producing Germany in terms of fighter production by June 1941. British net fighter pilot attrition was lower during the BoB whilst fighter losses were broadly matched. GB would win the numbers game regardless of whether losses were high or low across both sides.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Ack-Ack on May 06, 2008, 06:35:23 PM
IIRC Ventnor was the only station to be knocked out for more than part of a day..it was back up after 2-3 days. The cost to the LW was heavy as it was taken out  as part of a massive Ju87 cross channel raid also targetting Portsmouth and Southampton. The RAF got amongst the Ju87s whilst they were without any top cover. It was a massacre that led to the JU87 being withdrawn from front line service in the West.

The LW were in termoil re the actual plan.........

Kesselring knew that the airfields had to be totally taken out in SE England.

Goering was convinced his LW could shoot the RAF out of the air.

Hitler thought the whole thing a distraction from his Eastern European ambitions and eventually just wanted London bombed into submission.

All ignored the Radar stations for differing reasons, none fully understood the command and control system as pointed out above.

In actuality GB was out producing Germany in terms of fighter production by June 1941. British net fighter pilot attrition was lower during the BoB whilst fighter losses were broadly matched. GB would win the numbers game regardless of whether losses were high or low across both sides.

In addition to the fact the RAF could have moved their entire air force to the western and north part of England out of range of the Luftwaffe.  Then if the Germans did invade, the RAF could sortie out of their bases untouched to meet the invasion force.


ack-ack
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: DPQ5 on May 06, 2008, 06:45:36 PM
well sealion probly would not have worked. They might of tryed to invade but probly after a mounth of fighting they probly would of been sent back to the beach. Plus the eastern front was realy draining the german resources. Even thow they were beeting the ruskies at the time it was still very costly
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Ack-Ack on May 06, 2008, 07:50:18 PM
well sealion probly would not have worked. They might of tryed to invade but probly after a mounth of fighting they probly would of been sent back to the beach. Plus the eastern front was realy draining the german resources. Even thow they were beeting the ruskies at the time it was still very costly

The invasion of the Soviet Union took place after the Battle of Britain.


ack-ack
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: E25280 on May 20, 2008, 06:04:40 PM
Despite being a light cruiser it was actually one of the heaviest Cruisers in the RN. I suspect these idiosincracies were caused by The Washington Treaty.

But dont quote mo on this LOL
If I am not mistaken, the designation of light or heavy cruiser is given based on the size of the main battery, not the displacement of the ship.  Thus you could have a very large ship sporting many 6" guns and still be classified a "light" cruiser while a smaller ship with 8" guns would still be classified as a "heavy."
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Yarbles on May 21, 2008, 05:33:57 AM
Yep seems likely :salute
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Angus on June 05, 2008, 03:50:26 AM
In addition to the fact the RAF could have moved their entire air force to the western and north part of England out of range of the Luftwaffe.  Then if the Germans did invade, the RAF could sortie out of their bases untouched to meet the invasion force.


ack-ack

13th group was completely outside LW range (if you skip the luftflotte in Denmark and Norway, but out of 109 range) and a good amount of both 12th group and some part of 10th group.
11th group bore the brunt of the fight as well as some of the 10th, and later when the LW ventured inland to London, 12th group was finally close enough to join the fight.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Angus on June 05, 2008, 01:50:27 PM
Oh, that actually means that the Fighter Command fought firstly some 2/3 (?) of the LW with 1/1/2 group or so, then fought close to entirely the LW with the brunt of 2 groups. (That is when the LW had collected their western forces and co-ordinated the attacks on London. the raids topping with some 1000+ aircraft).
Yet, the RAF had fighters in Scotland, Yorkshire, Ireland, Cornwall, N-Wales etc etc.
In short, the RAF fought the LW with one arm behind the back.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: spit16nooby on June 05, 2008, 05:59:11 PM
The Brits had plenty of aircraft but a severe lack of pilots.  IIRC each pilot was worth 200,000 dollars or punds can't remember which.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: stephen waldron on June 06, 2008, 02:18:46 AM
    You hear lots of "what if" scenarios about Germany if you're a WWII history buff.  What if Germany had built more submarines ?  What if they had built more planes ?  What if they had not attacked Russia and only fought on one front ?  The truth is, Germany never had enough resources to build MORE of anything without losing a WHOLE LOT of something else.  The whole idea of a ONE front war without Russian involvement is also a fantasy.  Germany would still have had to fight the allies in Africa and Italy had they been stronger and been able to hold the allies at bay.  So it would have been a TWO front war regardless.  Also, by all accounts, The German defense in France on the coast was never really completed.  Again a shortage of resources. 
    Most military historians agree with this assessment.  German production and the military never were up to the task of carrying out Hitlers grandiose plans for conquest.  The outcome of WWII was decided by the overwhelmingly gargantuan industrial capacity of the United States, even before the first shot was fired.  That's not just my opinion.. 
    Only an Atom Bomb could have saved Germany from destruction.  We know now Japan was probably closer to developing one than Germany was.  The Japanese may have even successfuly tested a small yield atomic device on an island off the coast of North Korea during WWII.  If this story turns out to be true, the Japanese were light years ahead of Germany on atomic bomb development..  and apparantly they weren't sharing that particular research with Germany. 
    So if you're speculating about "what if" scenarios and hypothetical outcomes..  Japan seems to be a stronger candidate than Germany.  That's just my opinion.  I could be wrong.  What do you think ?
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Squire on June 06, 2008, 02:50:28 AM
Well, a few things. The Japanese atom bomb thing is bunk, they had no capacity for an industrial undertaking of that magnitude, although I know the story you are reffering to. It belongs in an Indiana Jones movie.

...Secondly, it was also the industrial capacity of the Soviet Union, which was immense, coupled with the USA, Britain and Canada combined, that did in the axis.

Germany had a slim chance of victory in Europe, if they had been able to defeat the Soviets quickly (or on the other hand, not invade at all), whereas Japan had really no hope in a war of attrition vs the USA, in any scenario. 

If Germany did not invade the Soviet Union, they could easily have swept through N.Africa in 1942, there would have been no "two front war" with the Allies. What do you think they would do with all those unused Army Groups, send them home on holiday? Without an invasion of Russia, Germany could have consolidated its gains in Western Europe, and the Med, its invasion of Russia was its undoing from the first weeks. It was a fatal mistake.

As for Sealion...I agree with most of the opinions expressed, save you need to take into account the unprepared nature of the British Army in 1940 in the UK. It had few heavy units, and was hampered by a lack of transport, and anti-tank guns. It was nowhere near as formidable a force as the German Army in France in 1944, and any comparison is erroneous.  The Germans on the other hand, were flush with heavy equipment, artillery, AFVs, and a sizable air transportable/para force.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: stephen waldron on June 06, 2008, 06:23:54 AM
  There are a couple of historical problems with your Soviet "What If".  The Soviet production capacity was IMMENSE.. your right about that.  But Hitler didn't have any "choice" about attacking the Soviet Union.  Stalin was already mobilizing that industrial capacity for WAR with Germany.  In point of fact.  The other Allies did very little to save the Soviet Union from Germany.  The Soviets basically fought the Germans on their own.
   Afterwards Stalin was asked what was the greatest contribution made by America during the War ?  Stalin replied "SPAM".  The Soviet troops loved the stuff.  They couldn't get enough of it.  But the Soviet Army would have destroyed the Germans even if they had to eat potatoes.
   You see the German army was obsolete when it invaded Poland.  At the time 45 % of German equipment was horsedrawn.  And just about everybody has seen those pictures of German troops entering France and Holland on bicycles.   Correct me if i'm wrong.. But i don't recall any of the Allies invading a country on bicycles in WWII.
    No.  Even without the BOMB, i think the Japanese "What if" is far more plausible.   I can't think of any single engagement or battle that would have changed the outcome of the war for Germany.  But "What If" our carriers had been sitting in Pearl Harbor on Dec. 7 ?   I think that would've changed the outcome of the WAR for Japan.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Squire on June 06, 2008, 07:43:59 AM
"But Hitler didn't have any "choice" about attacking the Soviet Union"

Yes, he did. The Germans planned on an eventual war with the Soviets, but not in 1941. The Soviets were not about to attack Germany. Read up on the history. There is no source that gives any credence to Stalin wanting a war with Germany in 1941. They too wanted to rearm and prepare, the war came too soon for them too, and they took terrible losses and hardships to eventually stop the Germans. 

"At the time 45 % of German equipment was horsedrawn"

So was everybody elses. Your comparing European armies of 1944-5 with armies of 1941. The USA was the most mechanised (eventually, not in 1941), but most other countries were not. Horse drawn power was SOP for most European armies in the early war years, it was not uncommon at all.

"SPAM", sure, that and Trucks. The most important contribution to the Red Army by the Allies was lend lease transports by the 1000s. Also combat aircraft, radios, and foodstuffs.

"Correct me if i'm wrong.. But i don't recall any of the Allies invading a country on bicycles in WWII."

Actually, we used them at Normandy, and the Germans had a lot more than bycyles, ask any veteran.

"You see the German army was obsolete when it invaded Poland."

Again, compared to who in 1939? the modern Poles? who fielded cavalry regiments? even in 1939 the Poles could not compete with Germany in tanks, a/c, and artillery. It is true that the real strength of the German Army was how it was deployed, using armor en masse, with close air support and artillery, and a proper strategy, as opposed to say having "better" stuff than France or Britain in 1940.

But back to my main point, it was Hitlers decision to invade Russia in 1941, and he absolutely had a choice. He chose badly, opening up a second front with an England still at war with Germany, into a campaign that turned into a 4 year war of attrition against a foe with huge manpower and industrial resources, that also had the wilingness to pay a heavy cost to win. 

As for Japan: How exactly would Japan defeat the USA? invasion? I hardly think they had the transports to do that in 1942. So, the USA builds up its military, even if they lost CVs at Pearl Harbor, and eventually launches a counter attack. Without stopping the USAs industry, they were doomed. They had no ability to bomb the USA, or invade it, so im not sure what they could have done save forestall the inevitable. The war would have gone on longer, probably into 1946, but Japan had no real hope unless the USA sued for terms, but thats a big "what if". Japans military hope the USA would do just that after Pearl Harbor and the fall of the Phillipines, sue for an armistice of some kind, they knew that was the only real hope.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Angus on June 06, 2008, 08:42:01 AM
Quite good IMHO Squire.
The German army was horsedrawn en masse, however it was the swiftest army in the world. It was supported with some superb vehicles, artillery and aircraft as well as a uniquely  close command.
When I was diving in this, I was baffled about how close they actually came to beating the USSR, their undoing being these and some more:
1. Attacking too late.
2. Attacking while at war with the UK.
3. Splitting their attack.
4. Declaring war on the USA (living up to the tripact agreement).
And....maybe by not pulling the japs in against the USSR from the east, thereby splitting the USA out of the game and tying up Zhukov's armies in the east....

Yet, there was more than a year of war before the reality dawned and the Axis started suffering one defeat after the other. And after they started their retreat in the east as well as loosing in the med, as well as being bombed around the clock, well the outcome was pretty clear. This would put us late in 1943? After that, with Hitler in the bridge there was no ground given, in a war that was going to be lost.....

As for Sealion, that also gives one some thoughts.  Imagine if Görings plan would have worked and the RAF had been defeated in a week or so, well, then the chance remains that the Germans could have towed an army across the channel under the curtain of an August night, large enough to get a foothold, and then carried on with the supplies and reinforcements while the LW AND their submarine forces tackled the RN. One thing for sure, had this been tried, it would have been one bloody fight. The RN did sometimes give no ground at all, there are many examples of that, and bear in mind that the LW could not stop operation Dynamo (Dunquerque).
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: stephen waldron on June 06, 2008, 11:57:01 AM
    Stalin had no intention of destroying Germany before Germany invaded ?  What history have you been reading ?  The core precept of Communist Ideology is the destruction of ALL OTHER FORMS OF GOVERNMENT !  Period !  No exception for National Socialism.  And the persecution of Communists didn't begin with Germany's invasion either.  Hitler despised Communists only slightly less than he hated Jews.  The Soviet and National Socialism were natural enemies.  The pact between Hitler and Stalin was nothing more than a RUSE, while both sides prepared to destroy the other.  Any WWII historian will tell you that is a fact.
    When asked what the greatest menace was posed by Germany during WWII, Winston Churchill replied.. "The U-Boat Menace".   But the advent of SONAR would soon render this "Greatest Menace" totally obsolete.  Just take a look at the casualty rate in the U-Boat Service.  It was hideous.  Making the Kamikaze and Bonsai attacks of the Japanese seem almost rational in comparison.
    Suggesting Germany could have invaded America and won the Second World War is hysterically funny.  At least Japan HAD a NAVY.  The Germans were "puddle pirates" by comparison.  But Japanese military fashion sense did lag way behind the Germans.  I'll give you that much.  But everything else you're saying sounds like historical revisionism to me. 
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Krusty on June 06, 2008, 01:02:29 PM
While I don't agree with stephen there on all point, he's right about the peace treaty between Hitler and Stalin.

The treaty was only a way of buying time, to better build up a better attack. Both sides had this in mind. Keep in mind the speed with which the Soviet Union produced some of the BEST planes in the war. They realized they were hopelessly outclassed by Western equipment. The majority of aircraft in the Soviet arsenal were biplanes when Germany invaded.

However, this really goes back quite a long way before WW2, before Hitler, and before Stalin. For one example, look at Poland, and parts of Eastern Europe.

The idea that the Russians (then Soviets) would attack was not hard to fathom, and in fact every decent military planner would have seen it coming.

I think Hitler wanted to strike while he could, before the Soviet might was mobilized. A hard, fast, decisive attack was the best tactic against a numerically superior but technically inferior foe.

Had hitler stopped at the shores of France, set up a fortress of Europe, and starved Britain to death, he would have had MUCH better chances against the Eastern Front. More resources to pump into it.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Angus on June 06, 2008, 06:50:45 PM
Well, he tried the starving off Britain, and was at it at full power even as soon as in the BoB.
(Odd fact of history, on the 10th of may Hitler rolled into the lowlands only to get his day's report spoiled by the news of the British capturing Iceland on the same day, muhahahaha).
Anyway, the U-boats were all over already in 1940, and early on they had their "happy" period. Any historian will confirm that one to you mr. Waldron....as well as Hitler tried his best to bend Britain after his proposal for a truce....that includes all arms. (3)
As for the USSR  planning to invade W-Europe, - well, - I even started a thread aboput that...ages ago.
It is not yet completely established, but it has been published and written about. Out of memory, I have the TV series called "The cold war" (BBC?) as well as a book with the title "operation Iceberg" (again, out of memory, - handle me with care ;))
Now, both parties were opportunitists. Hitler did operate as a socialist for some time. And Hitler & Stalin were feeding each other while Britain fought Hitler...For operation Sealion Hitler would have been mostly running on Russian oil!
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Kweassa on June 07, 2008, 10:24:34 AM
Quote
Stalin had no intention of destroying Germany before Germany invaded ?  What history have you been reading ?  The core precept of Communist Ideology is the destruction of ALL OTHER FORMS OF GOVERNMENT !  Period !  No exception for National Socialism.

 Unfortunately, people don't start out wars on ideology alone.

 The reality of modern warfare after the Great War, which defined as "total-war", dictates that any nation going into war is to commit every socio-economical resource it can muster, into a series of battles that will inevitably determine the very existence of the warring nations as an independant state. You don't go waging wars against someone because you don't like his politics, as if it was some sort of a hate crime.

 Besides, the very basic communist theories during Stalin's years define the World War as an "Imperialist War" in the first place - meaning that the Soviets thought that the very dynamics behind the war were capitalistic and imperialistic urges - which would in turn, suggest that communists should stay out of it[/i] while the capitalist nations fight each other and weaken themselves. Lenin and the Bolsheivks, during the days and months prior to the October Revolution, themselves noted the Great War as an imperialist war, and thus tried to convince most revolutionaries into taking a "revolutionary defeatism" attitude - in which they suggested every step must be taken to ensure the loss and defeat of the Russian Empire, so it would distance itself from the western allies and step away from the great mess of the WWI. Failing to do so, brought out the October Revolution in Russia, and forced a most grueling terms to the new Soviet government in the form of the Brest-Litovsk Treaty. Such lessons were not forgotten during Stalin's reign.

 Your contention that Stalin tried to attack Germany first, simply because they were communist, is dysmal.  The full mobilization of the Red Army, even under the 'baptism of fire' from Barbarossa, and with most excellent and resourceful leaders like Zhukov, still took almost two years to complete. Only after 1943 did the Red Army finally become what pioneering Soviet military leaders like Marshall Tukhachevsky, before the Great Officer Purge, ever dreamt of. Stalin himself went out of contact in disbelief and grimace, with the General staff, when Barbarossa started. You think someone who was already prepared and expecting a war with the Germans, would show an attitude like that?

Quote
And the persecution of Communists didn't begin with Germany's invasion either.  Hitler despised Communists only slightly less than he hated Jews.  The Soviet and National Socialism were natural enemies.  The pact between Hitler and Stalin was nothing more than a RUSE, while both sides prepared to destroy the other.  Any WWII historian will tell you that is a fact.

 Which historian?

 I know for certain none of the modern-day historians dealing with the German-Soviet war ever says anything remotely close to what you suggest. What have you been reading? 1950's material?


Quote
When asked what the greatest menace was posed by Germany during WWII, Winston Churchill replied.. "The U-Boat Menace".   But the advent of SONAR would soon render this "Greatest Menace" totally obsolete.  Just take a look at the casualty rate in the U-Boat Service.  It was hideous.  Making the Kamikaze and Bonsai attacks of the Japanese seem almost rational in comparison.

 That's "Banzai", not "Bonsai". How would you feel if someone called the Japanese attack on December 7th, "Attack on Dull Harbor" instead of "Attack on Pearl Harbor"?


Quote
Suggesting Germany could have invaded America and won the Second World War is hysterically funny.  At least Japan HAD a NAVY.  The Germans were "puddle pirates" by comparison.  But Japanese military fashion sense did lag way behind the Germans.  I'll give you that much.  But everything else you're saying sounds like historical revisionism to me.

 Revisionism has its worths.

 For some reason, after the fall of the Soviet Union and experiencing the triumphalism of conservatism during the 1990s, there seems to have grown a strange sentiment in America which seems to denounce anything that has the word "revisionism" as if its some sort of a hippy history.

 A most tragic, unintelligent, and barbaric line of sentiments if I ever saw one. I'd suggest people actually buy and read books, and try to understand what brings out 'historical revisionism' and how the opinions, and the logic behind it change over the years, before they try ridiculing something they have no clue about whatsoever. As it is, people are making idiots out of themselves, and dismayingly, seem to be proud about it.

 
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Kweassa on June 07, 2008, 11:07:02 AM
Quote
Well, he tried the starving off Britain, and was at it at full power even as soon as in the BoB.

 Indeed.

 The infamous "Directive No.21. Operation Barbarossa" issued by Hitler himself, clearly states;

Quote
The Air Force will have to make available for the support of the Army in the Eastern Campaign forces of adequate strength to ensure a rapid termination of land action and to give the East German territories maximum protection against enemy air raids. This making of the main effort in the east must not be carried to a point at which we can no longer adequately protect the totality of our battle and our armament zones against enemy air attacks, nor must the offensive against England, and in particular against England's supply routes, suffer in consequence.

 This, coupled with Tilt's earlier comments:

Quote
Hitler thought the whole thing a distraction from his Eastern European ambitions and eventually just wanted London bombed into submission.

 ... brings out an interesting question as to what the real intention behind Barbarossa were.

 Hitler's Directive No.21 is quiet clear, and strategically sound, in pointing out certain conditions were to be met to achieve total victory over the Soviets. Amazingly, despite the historical success of the German military 'blitz' for a whole year after Barbarossa started in June of 1941, it turns out that none of the major obectives and conditions Hitler set with Directive 21 were ever actually met.

 The Northern armygroup failed to take Leningrad (Leningrad survived for the entirety of the war), and consequentially the Center armygroup failed to cooperate with the Northern group in driving to Moscow. The very warnings and dangers the Directive has cautioned about the Luftwaffe in the Eastern Front, were realized during 1942. The prime objective of Barbarossa, which was to form a Volga-Archangel line, to sever the Soviets from their important industrial provinces, were ultimately foiled, due to the Soviets' amazing evacuation of industry to Siberia.

 But the most important of all, the very beginning of Directive 21 states;

Quote
The armed forces of Germany must be prepared, even before the conclusion of the war with England, to defeat Soviet Russia in one rapid campaign ('Operation Barbarossa').

 This more or less implies that Hitler clearly thought the war against England would take a lot longer than even one against USSR. Hitler's ambitions in the Eastern Front was certainly big, but still, he seems to have thought that the Eastern Front campaign would as swiftly end as the offensive of Ardennes. The Eastern Front offensive, particularly the intended final destination of the Southern armygroup - the Caucasus, Grozny, and Baku, all rich in oil - seems to imply that Hitler was preparing a very-long standoff against the UK, in which oil reserves would become critically important in case 'unreliable' Stalin would become uncooperative in exporting fuel sources.

 This is made clear in that the final parts of Directive 21 mentions;

Quote
It is important that all Commanders-in-Chiefs make it plain that the taking of necessary measures in connection with this directive is being done as a precaution against the possibility of the Russians adopting an attitude towards us other than what it has been up to now.

 Hitler viewed Stalin as an 'unreliable', and possibly 'potentially hostile' ally.

 So it would seem that Hitler decided Operation Seeloewe would never be realized without some kind of long-term preparation, and decided to claim major Soviet provinces with high industrial capacity and oil reserves, before Stalin ever got the chance to become hostile towards the Third Reich.

 It was basically a "pre-emptive strike" of WW2, intended to end quickly, with rich rewards. At least, initially it seems Hitler viewed the Eastern Front as lasting shorter than the Front against England - until the Soviets refused to cave in, and things started to get out of hand.


[Edit]
ps) The word 'pre-emptive strike' used above is not in conjunction as the same wording 'pre-emptive strike' used by, for instance, Viktor Suvorov, who views Barbarossa was a 'pre-emptive' strike against a realized Soviet threat against Germany, in which he views the mobilization of the Soviet armies in the border regions as being offensive, rather than defensive, in nature. The 'pre-emptive strike' as I have mentioned, is more of a psychological one, in which Hitler either misinterpreted the 'Soviet threat', or through paranoia, decided to attack first in case the USSR would become hostile. 

 The 'pre-emptive strike against realized miliatry threat' theory, as that of Suvorov and those who share his views, are largely discredited nowadays.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: E25280 on June 07, 2008, 12:13:23 PM
The June/July issue of World War Two Magazine has an interesting article about Western donated equipment to the Soviet Union in 1941, not from the US, but from the UK.  It makes the point that small quantities of aid at cruicial times can have a disproportionate impact.

For example, I am sure everyone can agree that in the grand context of WWII, 90 tanks doesn't amount to a hill of beans.  But what if those 90 tanks were a significant portion of available armor at the time?

Quote
According to research done by a team of Soviet historians, the Soviet Union lost a staggering 20,500 tanks from June 22 to December 31, 1941.  At the end of November 1941, only 670 Soviet tanks were available to defend Moscow . . . Only 205 of these tanks were heavy or medium types . . .

. . . According to Biriukov's service diary, the first 20 British tanks arrived at the Soviet tank training school in Kazan on October 28, 1941, at which time a further 120 tanks were unloaded at the port of Archangel . . .

The tanks reached the front lines with extraordinary speed.  Extrapolating from available statistics, researchers estimate that British-supplied tanks made up 30 to 40 percent of the entire heavy and medium tank strength of Soviet forces before Moscow at the beginning of December 1941, and certainly made up a significant proportion of tanks available as reinforcements at this critical point in the fighting.  By the end of 1941, Britain had delivered 466 tanks out of the 750 promised.

The British Military Mission to Moscow noted that by December 9, about ninety British tanks had already been in action with Soviet forces . . . In fact, the British intercepted German communications indicating that German forces had first come in contact with British tanks on the Eastern front on November 26, 1941.

The article goes on to explain that British provided Hurricanes and Tomahawks provided 15% of the strength of the Soviet 6th Fighter Air Corp defending Moscow by January 1942.  Tomahawks also provided the air cover for the supply convoys crossing frozen lake Lagoda to Lenningrad.  The British also provided a large number of metal cutting and machine tools that assisted the Soviets in reconstructing their war industry after the evacuation of their factories east of the Urals.

In essence, British aid was making a difference during the Soviet Union's "darkest hour".  Did it make all the difference, staving off Soviet defeat?  "Tipping points" are always arguable, but the fact the contribution was significant is not.

Even generalizing to WWII as a whole, the Soviet Economy was as close to 100% devoted to fighting the war as any could be.  Every item provided to the Soviets was an item they did not have to produce, freeing resources to devote elsewhere.  The Soviets could build more tanks because they did not have to build as many trucks.  The Soviets could field more soldiers and factory workers because they needed fewer farmers.  They could build effective airplanes because of the aluminum provided to them, otherwise they would have had to rely on lesser designs with the materials they did have available.  Is the Soviet Union defeated in the absence of Western Aid?  Probably not.  Is there a relatively mobile, well equipped, well fed Soviet Army crashing into Germany in Spring 1945?  Also probably not.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Bodhi on June 07, 2008, 06:24:32 PM
It seems to me, that had Hitler imposed more of a mandate for sub-surface warfare in the waters off Norway and the far north atlantic to prevent supplies reaching the Soviets in the first place, the invasion would have had far better results.

It is a here nor there though, it never happened as did not the proper application and direction of force in the initial parts of Barbarossa.  Instead, the Germans went after so thought strategic assets that turned out to be not so strategic to begin with.
Title: Re: Operation Sealion
Post by: Angus on June 08, 2008, 06:46:57 AM
Many good points here IMHO, and hats off for you Kweassa  :aok
Here:
"The armed forces of Germany must be prepared, even before the conclusion of the war with England, to defeat Soviet Russia in one rapid campaign ('Operation Barbarossa').

 This more or less implies that Hitler clearly thought the war against England would take a lot longer than even one against USSR."

Hence Hitler's hopes to make peace with Britain.....

As for the arms, tools and supplies to the USSR during their darkest hour, bear in mind that the German parachute army was history, half the LW (and notably transport and bombers) were tied up elsewhere, and there both land combat and occupation was tying up quite a force.
I think I have the numbers, - must look, but roughly estimated, Hitler's Barbarossa was only half-strength because of the was with the British....