Aces High Bulletin Board

General Forums => The O' Club => Topic started by: Curval on October 16, 2014, 06:58:56 AM

Title: Wish us luck
Post by: Curval on October 16, 2014, 06:58:56 AM
(http://i1196.photobucket.com/albums/aa409/Christopher_Morris/gonzalo_zps939aefd8.jpg)

We took a beating this past Sunday from what has reported to have been a Tropical Storm but which certainly did hurricane level damage.  In our now weakened state we have this monster bearing down on us. 

The Cat numbers on the picture are actually wrong, the National Hurricane Center has it at Category 4 now.  It is tracking right on top of us...almost as if TS Fay dragged it.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
800 AM AST THU OCT 16 2014

...GONZALO MOVING NORTHWARD AS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 68.7W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED
BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST.  GONZALO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR
9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR BERMUDA ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GONZALO IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR
HURRICANES...AND ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR WITH GONZALO TODAY.  SLOW
WEAKENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT GONZALO IS EXPECTED
TO BE A DANGEROUS HURRICANE WHEN IT MOVES NEAR BERMUDA.  STEADY
WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN BY LATE FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

Shold be a very interesting weekend....again.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: GScholz on October 16, 2014, 07:06:25 AM
Stay safe  :uhoh
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Scherf on October 16, 2014, 08:05:33 AM
Yow, kinda puts my Sydney rain map in a different perspective...

Hope things don't get too bad
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Swoop on October 16, 2014, 08:26:42 AM
See?  If you moved to a real country you wouldn't have these problems....

Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Traveler on October 16, 2014, 08:58:34 AM
Get out now.  Spend the weekend in the US.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: SilverZ06 on October 16, 2014, 10:39:58 AM
Get out now.  Spend the weekend in the US.
best advise. Get to the main land and go back after it has passed. Dont become a statistic.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: wpeters on October 16, 2014, 10:57:24 AM
Get out now.  Spend the weekend in the US.

+1
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Maverick on October 16, 2014, 11:58:16 AM
I agree. Close up the house for storm and beat feet to the mainland. No reason to sit out a hurricane if you have the option especially after being beat up by a prior storm.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: mbailey on October 16, 2014, 03:35:12 PM
I just built a big bar in my finished basement.......and i love Bagpipe music   :aok.......If ya wanted to visit Pennsylvania...nows the time.

Seriously..stay safe....ive been in alot of hurricane ravaged areas...Mother nature can be a real witch.

I have wonderful memories of Bermuda, when i was there the only thing more beautiful was my new bride......fingers crossed it goes one way or the other


Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Swoop on October 16, 2014, 04:58:55 PM
He'll be fine, stop humouring him.  He's just going for the 'poor me, I live in a tropical paradise' sympathy vote.  Er....wait. :headscratch:
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Arlo on October 16, 2014, 05:08:41 PM
Good luck ..... in tropical paradise. (There - have both covered, Swoop.)
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: SEraider on October 16, 2014, 06:07:37 PM
Ouch, the price you pay in warm climates.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: caldera on October 16, 2014, 06:12:51 PM
Bermuda, huh?  Don't you mean "wish us more luck"?
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: mechanic on October 16, 2014, 06:21:46 PM
Bermuda, huh?  Don't you mean "wish us more luck"?
 

:lol


Damn, that is a small island when you look at that air current. Stay safe man.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: DREDIOCK on October 17, 2014, 04:23:40 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwx2ce_AyOE
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Slash27 on October 17, 2014, 08:59:22 PM
Stay safe Curval.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Swoop on October 17, 2014, 11:53:01 PM
Alright, it's passing, supposed to be down to 50 knot winds now.  Answer this burning question then Curv:  You still alive?

Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: MrGeezer on October 19, 2014, 03:07:40 PM
Thoughts & prayers for folks in Bermuda, who have already had ENOUGH already..  :pray
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Curval on October 20, 2014, 08:10:46 AM
Hi All

We made it through with no injuries or significant damage.

A transformer blew up on a side street next to the house during the height of the storm and we had a 4th July situation for a few seconds but luckily the pole nor anything around it caught fire for long.

We are still without power but I called our utility this morning and reported what happened and the woman was like "On Cobbs Hill?  Really?  We've been looking for that pole.  Your neighbors will be thanking you soon."  They have been telling everyone NOT to call in because the lines are swamped but they have alot of people back on now so they are grateful to hear this sort of thing.  I suspect the whole area is going to back on soon.  They couldn't turn everyone on until they identified and secured the blown transformers.

We have a generator going so the basics are all covered.  Shower (albeit cold) and cold fridge.  Normally an ac unit would be key but this storm happened so late in the season that it is nice and cool, particularly at night.

Thanks for thoughts and prayers.  I'll post up some stuff when home internet comes back up.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: rabbidrabbit on October 20, 2014, 01:52:45 PM
Good to hear Curval. 
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Swoop on October 20, 2014, 07:41:35 PM
See?  I told ya he'd be fine.  Lotta fuss about nuthin, he's even got his own lah-di-dah posh git generator. 

;)  Glad you're alright mate.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Curval on October 21, 2014, 06:59:54 AM
See?  I told ya he'd be fine.  Lotta fuss about nuthin, he's even got his own lah-di-dah posh git generator. 

;)  Glad you're alright mate.

Hehe

I hear Gonzalo is heading to pay you guys a visit.

Woke up this morning and saw that our street lights were on.  Disconnected the genny and water supply and then threw the mains and the house lit up like a Christmas tree.  We sure had alot of lights on during the start of the hurricane.

All good and pretty much back to normal now. I'll try and post up some pics and vids tonight.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Arlo on October 21, 2014, 05:31:36 PM
I hear Gonzalo is heading to pay you guys a visit.

Gonzalo's headed North-East?

Geez ... first climate change then someone changes the rotation of the planet when I'm sleeping.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Curval on October 22, 2014, 08:34:51 AM
Gonzalo's headed North-East?

Geez ... first climate change then someone changes the rotation of the planet when I'm sleeping.

Swoop is in the UK.  Was visiting a couple of weeks ago.

http://bernews.com/2014/10/gonzalo-remants-affects-uk-three-people-dead/

Three dead with some slighly breezy conditions?  We had hours and hours of hurricane force winds...no deaths or even significant injuries I am aware of.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Swoop on October 22, 2014, 11:32:47 AM
Yeah in Bermuda you're sensible enough not to go out in it.  Over here we've got waaaaaay more stupid people.  Most of em seem to have come from Romania.

Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: SilverZ06 on October 22, 2014, 12:17:26 PM
http://youtu.be/IYbbn71h_bc   :aok
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: MrGeezer on October 22, 2014, 06:24:59 PM
Happy to hear you & yours are OK! :aok
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Curval on October 24, 2014, 06:45:22 AM
Here's a quick video of my son and I going to check on the boat(s) the day after.  We were all told to stay inside and not go anywhere as the crews were out clearing the roads and fixing downed lines but I got fed up eventually and told my son "Let's go".  We stuck to main roads and made a good choice to go on the Harbour side as Middle Road was blocked.  Took the gas cans too, just in case any stations were open, for the generator.  Nothing was.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y-oeH6gCXdI

Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Swoop on October 24, 2014, 08:37:15 AM
So how many other bikers watched the entire video without even glancing away from the road surface in front, thinking how much we wouldn't want to ride our bikes over the detritus of a hurricane with our sons on the back not wearing a full leather suit with built in airbags?

Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: SilverZ06 on October 24, 2014, 08:47:03 AM
So how many other bikers watched the entire video without even glancing away from the road surface in front, thinking how much we wouldn't want to ride our bikes over the detritus of a hurricane with our sons on the back not wearing a full leather suit with built in airbags?



I'm not going to judge him. Would I do it? No, But I'm not going to tell him he can't.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Curval on October 24, 2014, 09:45:33 AM
You'd look really silly riding a 125cc bike with full leathers on when it is 85 degrees out and 80% humidity.....and sweaty too.

 :lol

Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Zoney on October 24, 2014, 10:29:26 AM
Maybe Curval, but you look stupid with all the skin torn off your body and paying $1000.00 a square inch for skin grafts.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Curval on October 24, 2014, 10:46:36 AM
I have had a few accidents on my bike.  Road rash is quite common in accidents here...but we don't have highways and our speed limit is about 35mph.

Road rash or muffler burns are called Bermuda Tatoos.

Nobody wears full leathers here...ever.
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Swoop on October 24, 2014, 11:36:54 AM
Yeah you'd have to be really unlucky to need skin grafts after a low speed spill off a scooter.  However.....I've watched that vid twice now and I still can't tell ya what Bermuda looks like, I simply cannot not keep my eyes glued to the road surface as you're riding along.

You've been here, the road the leads out of the estate gets covered in shed branches and crap from the trees lining it.....I ride along there without daring to blink in case a branch has come down in my path. 
Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Swoop on October 24, 2014, 11:38:26 AM
P.S.  Make Sam spin round in bubblewrap first, the mess will be so much easier than explaining to Lana why your child has gravel rash.

Title: Re: Wish us luck
Post by: Curval on October 24, 2014, 02:51:10 PM
All 3 of my kids have ridden on the back of my bike throughout their lives.  If they didn't they wouldn't get to go anywhere.  When they were really small I had to put them in front of me because they had a habit of falling asleep.  If they were in front I could make sure they stayed awake.

I take Casey to school every morning on the bike these days.  It's right next door to my office.