Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Chris79 on October 04, 2016, 03:26:01 PM
The latest Euro, UKMET, NAVGEM, and GFDL are showing landfall between Ft Lauderdale and Ft Pierce. While the GFS, CMC, and HWRF are keeping the cyclone just off shore. One thing I have noticed during the past few days is a steady migration westward of the hurricane models so I suspect Florida may get smacked around a bit.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: SIM on October 04, 2016, 03:52:56 PM
Gearing up all over again. Travel teams are being prepped for a late week departure.
This is shaping up to be a busy season..........
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Widewing on October 04, 2016, 06:40:00 PM
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: EskimoJoe on October 04, 2016, 07:14:58 PM
I liked it better when storms were only named after life-ruining wenches.
Stay safe, don't surf in the storm.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: ghi on October 04, 2016, 07:33:48 PM
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: FBDragon on October 05, 2016, 10:24:36 AM
Yup, I live in Daytona Beach, as of the latest update--- WE"RE SCREWED!!!! I don't know if we'll have a home left after this one. My mobile home is 25 years old so I don't think it's gonna withstand a cat4 hurricane!!!! :bhead :bhead :bhead :pray :pray :pray :pray
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Randy1 on October 05, 2016, 10:46:19 AM
Yup, I live in Daytona Beach, as of the latest update--- WE"RE SCREWED!!!! I don't know if we'll have a home left after this one. My mobile home is 25 years old so I don't think it's gonna withstand a cat4 hurricane!!!! :bhead :bhead :bhead :pray :pray :pray :pray
Normally by now the models start showing some agreement but the last run they are spreading apart. Where it is going is getting in that best WAG category.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: NatCigg on October 05, 2016, 12:30:18 PM
this morning the gfs showed it being blocked by high pressure, retrograding back across Florida. the model shows a similar situation now. interesting storm this is.
looks like its going to wash around the Caribbean eating all the warm water energy it can, like pacman. :cool:
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: FBDragon on October 06, 2016, 10:03:49 AM
Well it's gotten REAL for us, no joke 135mph winds by tomorrow, we are under a mandatory evacuation now!! We're leaving in just a few minutes!!!!!!
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Randy1 on October 06, 2016, 12:10:24 PM
Gearing up all over again. Travel teams are being prepped for a late week departure.
This is shaping up to be a busy season..........
Same here....Leaving Monday for Atlanta as a staging area...will be down there Monday night.
Stay safe FBDragon. Ive been to a lot of areas like this, you are more important than anything you own. Fingers crossed you and your home are ok
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: potsNpans on October 06, 2016, 02:34:16 PM
Waiting it out in the Palm Beach area, hopefully it continues steering N. FBDragon I hope you fair well and this thing meanders into the east Atlantic.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Chris79 on October 06, 2016, 02:35:20 PM
Got my beer, liquor, and coke......making the weed run now and will pick up chips and salsa......maybe a couple cans of "booty sweat" energy drink.
I'm pretty sure i didn't overlook anything.
Good thinking. Gotta keep the mind sharp in case you need to make split second decisions in an emergency.
Title: Good luck in the hurricane
Post by: JimmyC on October 07, 2016, 01:14:10 AM
Thoughts are with you guys and your families about to be hit by the hurricane...be safe.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: -ammo- on October 07, 2016, 08:16:35 AM
Check out this really cool website - https://www.windytv.com/?28.531,-80.852,6
Praying for those affected.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Rich46yo on October 07, 2016, 08:28:56 AM
Closest I came to one was out running one while running up the east coast enroute to NewFoundLand for a moose hunt. It was close enough believe me. All the Hotels were booked and the only thing to do was to keep on trucking in horrendous downpours. It was bloody terrible.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: icepac on October 07, 2016, 11:33:44 AM
Holding up a 4x8 sheet of plywood with one hand while drilling and bolting that first hole was brutal until i got out a few cinderblocks to stack under the windows to hold the plywood.
The biggest lesson is that tapcon bolts are superninja hard and will eat cheap chinese shizzle sockets almost instantly.
Luckily, I had some snap-on and mac tools sockets.
Bring at least 5 of each socket size since some will fall to the ground never to be seen again.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: NatCigg on October 07, 2016, 01:15:28 PM
is 100 mph wind all that it is cracked up to be?
did the liquor and coke help?
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: scott66 on October 07, 2016, 01:39:59 PM
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: SIM on October 07, 2016, 07:02:33 PM
Am in Florence,SC waiting for Matthew to arrive. Our crews were brought in this afternoon in anticipation of large and widespread outages.Our assembly area is a mass of electric utility trucks of all sorts. We are in hurry up and wait mode at this point as we watch the weather forecasts. It looks as if tonight will be wet, and the fun will begin tomorrow around mid-day. We cant operate our buckets in wind faster than 25mph, and climbing in that wind is just as dangerous. Its going to be interesting at the very least........
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Randy1 on October 08, 2016, 06:39:13 AM
We are 90 miles in from the GA cost. We got nearly 7" of rain but we needed the rain very badly. Our land is flat so that much rain is not a big deal. Wind got close to 45 mph. News is reporting mass power outages east of us getting much worse the closer you get the coast.
Storm surge damage on the coast is not known yet waiting on sunrise
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: GScholz on October 08, 2016, 09:43:27 AM
At least someone's enjoying the weather over there...
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: FBDragon on October 08, 2016, 03:41:37 PM
I'm here in Daytona Beach, we went to a buddy of mines house, this made number 4 for me to go through. Our place just got minor damage but a lot of the other houses here got hit pretty hard!!! :cheers: :salute
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: SIM on October 09, 2016, 10:15:23 PM
Still in Florence.....
We have roughly 500,000 customers out in the Carolinas. The damage in some areas is very visible, in others there seems to be nothing wrong.
Its going to be a long week.....
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: SIM on October 10, 2016, 07:46:54 PM
Am wrapping up another 16 hour day thanks to Matthew. Spent the day in a very rural area near Sumter SC.
The work is progressing pretty well considering the amount of damage. Fresh crews are arriving from all over the nation to help with the restoration effort. Ive seen trucks from Maryland, Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Ohio, and even a group from Canada. The outages numbered over 660000 at their peak. Right now they are just short of 300K here in the Carolinas.
If anyone has plans to travel thru eastern North Carolina or South Carolina, I would advise them to seriously consider their route and planned stops. Accomadations are being scooped up for all the utility workers. I would be highly surprised if there are any rooms available......
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Shuffler on October 10, 2016, 08:03:25 PM
Am wrapping up another 16 hour day thanks to Matthew. Spent the day in a very rural area near Sumter SC.
The work is progressing pretty well considering the amount of damage. Fresh crews are arriving from all over the nation to help with the restoration effort. Ive seen trucks from Maryland, Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Ohio, and even a group from Canada. The outages numbered over 660000 at their peak. Right now they are just short of 300K here in the Carolinas.
If anyone has plans to travel thru eastern North Carolina or South Carolina, I would advise them to seriously consider their route and planned stops. Accomadations are being scooped up for all the utility workers. I would be highly surprised if there are any rooms available......
I thought yall slept in cocoons on the poles
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Curval on October 11, 2016, 02:17:34 PM
Meanwhile another hurricane has blown up in the Atlantic and will come right over the top of this little island on Thursday.
Reports say the slow moving Cat 2 storm will provide 24 hours of hurricane winds.
Closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs (3 days) is forecast to be within 25 nm of (or directly over) the Island, 11 am Thu, Oct 13, 2016.
The whole island is only 21 miles long.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: NatCigg on October 11, 2016, 05:16:41 PM
Nicole got a little more organized. GFS forecast show the low deepening the next few days. depending where the eye goes will help to plan wind and storm surge direction...I guess being a small island the storm surge would be everywhere. :headscratch:
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Meatwad on October 11, 2016, 05:49:22 PM
Hurricane Matthew and Nicole are both named after my wife and son :aok
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Curval on October 12, 2016, 05:26:22 AM
Nicole got a little more organized. GFS forecast show the low deepening the next few days. depending where the eye goes will help to plan wind and storm surge direction...I guess being a small island the storm surge would be everywhere. :headscratch:
Yea, it is, but luckily for us we don't live on a flat island. This place is a big hunk of volcanic rock and a storm surge would have to be about 100 ft. to get anywhere near my place.
It is already blowing a hooley here. I think we will be shutting the office earlier than expected today.
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Curval on October 12, 2016, 05:33:47 AM
Check this out, I flew home yesterday and took a video of the plane landing from my window seat that I posted on our hotel's Instagram page. The Weather Channel sent me a message asking if they could use the footage and I said "Help yourself". Later on in the evening I went to Weather.com and this was there (Edgehill Manor is our little hotel):
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: mbailey on October 13, 2016, 06:03:43 AM
Be safe Curval, check in when you can
Title: Re: Matthew
Post by: Curval on October 13, 2016, 06:12:34 AM
Thanks.
Woke up this morning and first thing I did was check the NHC site:
BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 AM AST THU OCT 13 2016
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE NICOLE AIMED AT BERMUDA... Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Nicole is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although a gradual weakening is forecast, Nicole is expected to be at major hurricane strength when it moves near Bermuda later today.
Just kind of in shock that this grew so big so fast.