BTW, 200 bombers for an airfield? Nah... for Ploesti oil fields... yes... for an airfield? Not even close.
To be doing sufficient damage to effectively close it? Yes. During the summer of 1944, 47 B-29s raided the Yawata steel works from bases in China; only one plane actually hit the target area, and with only one of its bombs. This single 500 lb general purpose bomb (which hit a powerhouse located 3,700ft from the far more important coke houses that constituted the raid’s aiming point) represented one quarter of one per cent of the 376 bombs dropped over Yawata on that mission.
In the fall of 1944, only seven per cent of all bombs dropped by the Eighth Air Force hit within 1,000ft of their aim point; even a fighter-bomber in a 40 degree dive releasing a bomb at 7,000ft could have a circular error (CEP) of as much as 1,000ft. It took 108 B-17 bombers, crewed by 1,080 airmen, dropping 648 bombs to guarantee a 96 per cent chance of getting just two hits inside a 400 by 500ft German power-generation plant.
Here's some data on the average % of bombs dropped which fell within 1,000 ft (610 m) and 2,000 ft (306 m) of pre-assigned MPI's on visual missions under conditions of good to fair visibility:
Distance: | ---------- 1,000 ft (305 m) ---------- | ---------- 2,000 ft (610 m) ---------- |
Date: | 1st Div. | 2nd Div. | 3rd Div. | 8th AF | 1st Div. | 2nd Div. | 3rd Div. | 8th AF |
| B-17 | B-24 | B-24/B-17 | | B-17 | B-24 | B-24/B-17 | |
Jan-Mar 43 | 18 | - | - | 18 | 36 | - | - | 36 |
Apr-Jun 43 | 13 | - | 11 | 12 | 32 | - | 29 | 30 |
Jul-Sep 43 | 13 | - | 19 | 16 | 31 | - | 48 | 38 |
Oct-Dec 43 | 25 | 32 | 27 | 27 | 46 | 58 | 47 | 48 |
Jan-44 | 34 | 23 | 41 | 35 | 61 | 48 | 60 | 58 |
Feb-44 | 42 | 26 | 46 | 39 | 76 | 49 | 77 | 69 |
Mar-44 | 31 | 20 | 39 | 31 | 64 | 36 | 70 | 58 |
Apr-44 | 34 | 21 | 32 | 29 | 62 | 43 | 58 | 55 |
May-44 | 44 | 34 | 33 | 37 | 68 | 64 | 62 | 65 |
Jun-44 | 49 | 32 | 35 | 40 | 81 | 62 | 65 | 71 |
Jul-44 | 42 | 26 | 44 | 37 | 73 | 56 | 77 | 69 |
Aug-44 | 54 | 36 | 42 | 45 | 84 | 65 | 72 | 65 |
Sep-Oct 44 | 29 | 32 | 46 | 38 | 61 | 56 | 72 | 65 |
Nov-Dec 44 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 54 | 44 | 47 | 48 |
Jan-45 | 29 | 34 | 24 | 29 | 59 | 61 | 56 | 59 |
Feb-45 | 50 | 57 | 40 | 49 | 80 | 81 | 69 | 77 |
Mar-45 | 40 | 45 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 73 | 58 | 69 |
Apr-45 | 64 | 58 | 52 | 59 | 91 | 79 | 80 | 85 |