Aces High Bulletin Board
General Forums => The O' Club => Topic started by: Sikboy on October 08, 2002, 08:42:05 AM
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In my opinion, the single biggest problem in understanding international relations, is sorting out truth from fiction, and keeping the two apart.
When you look at this from a distance, it's pretty obvious. If we knew for a fact how people would react, and everyone knew for a fact how we would react, there would not be no need for diplomats, no need for treaties. There wouldn't be arms races that didn't result in wars. Everything would be right there, laid out in front of you. But it's not. Instead, the world of diplomacy is not only clouded, but fluid. Things that were not true yesterday are true today. People you counted on this morning will betray you tonight. And this is true of all nations in all of the world. I'm neither condeming, nor aquiting any nation when it comes to their conduct of foreign policy when it comes to this basic understanding.
I think the United States is bluffing. I do not believe that the United States has the intention to invade Iraq. Rather, I believe that the US knows that only the credible threat of invasion will force Hussein to allow UN inspectors to grant full unconditional access to his WMD facilities.
The problem though, is that if the US is able to get broad based international support for this effort, it can go from a threat to a reality at light speed. Things are clouded and fluid, we never fully understand what either side is up to, or where they are going. To be accurate, I can only base my analysis on known actions, and by the time they can confrim or refute my belief, it's already too late. It's very frustrating.
-Sikboy
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When you say "bluffing", do you mean that they have no intention of going in there if they do not get unlimited access?
Bluff:"To mislead or frighten by a false, bold front."
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it's about who you trust and believe more
this admin & our military minds
or
Iraq
or
France/Russia
or
the media
or
Dashole and his cling-ons
or
Europe libs
hmm, hard choice for me there :rolleyes:
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I believe that they are counting on it not coming to that.
-Sikboy
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Well, I posted some months ago that I believe that they are hoping that it will not come to that, so they speak of war to prevent it, so I think we're thinking alike. However, I also think they're (We're) ready to back up our words too.
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Originally posted by Eagler
it's about who you trust and believe more
Actually Eagler, my point was that it isn't about who you trust, because things are rarely as they seem.
I think the US Government is lying
(bluffing) right now, and I happen to agree with thier approach.
I don't trust them, but I think I understand and agree with their policy. In my case trust has nothing to do with it.
-Sikboy
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Teddy Roosevelt had it right with his "Big Stick" policy. :mad:
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Originally posted by gofaster
Teddy Roosevelt had it right with his "Big Stick" policy. :mad:
Roosevelt sounds like a good example. Did we really want to help out "Panamanians" or did we want to build a canal in Northern Columbia? :)
-Sikboy
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Originally posted by Sikboy
Roosevelt sounds like a good example. Did we really want to help out "Panamanians" or did we want to build a canal in Northern Columbia? :)
-Sikboy
Both, obviously.... ;)