America On Line (AOL) has some the largest and most current polls anywhere, and its Presidential Straw Poll, with 245,464 votes so far from every state and DC, shows Bush ahead of Kerry and Nader by a considerable margin.
The poll, cleared at the beginning of each month to reflect the most current opinions, was last cleared Oct. 1. Don't know whether AOL will do a one-day November clearance before the election.
The October straw poll shows the following so far:
Electoral Votes
Bush 474 (270 needed to win), all states except 6 and DC
Kerry 64, 6 states (ME, VT, NY, MA, RI, CT) and DC
Nader 0
Popular Vote
Bush 55%,
Kerry 44%,
Nader 1%