Last time I looked, there was a good thesis on the direct costs to the Brits of the strategic bombing campaign at:
http://ses.library.usyd.edu.au/bitstream/2123/664/2/adt-NU20050104.11440202whole.pdfThe Brits also did a calculation in September 1943 of the comparative costs of the Cookie Mossie vs. the Lanc as below. Lanc bombload I believe represents the load which the contemporary model could carry to Berlin - overload tank in the bomb-bay, IIRC, though I'm willing to be corrected by the local Lanc-fans:
"AVIA 46/116, which is the "Official Historian's type biography of the Mosquito", which says the Lancaster cost 2.8 times as much as the Mossie in terms of standard man-hours (84,000 vs 30,000) - no mention made of ???. This was part of the famous calculation for the Cookie Mossie which went thus:
Mossie: 92 sorties per write-off
Lanc: 28 sorties per write-off
Average Cookie Mossie load (proposed, see below): 4,000 lb
Average Lanc load June & July 1943: 7,450 lb (don't ask me, I'm only the messenger)
Therefore:
Moss/Lanc relative effectiveness =
(92 sorties * 4,000 lb / 30,000 man hours)
_____________________________
_____
(28 sorties * 7,450 lb / 84,000 man hours)
= 12.25 lbs bombs dropped per man hour / 2.48 lbs dropped per man hour
= 4.95
It also notes that the "life load" of one Lanc, given the above life expectancies and weights carried, is less than 60% of that of the Mossie (while costing 3 times as much labour and using twice as many Merlins). It also notes, to use their term, that "crew wastage" in the Lanc is 4 (sic) times higher.
It says the Hallies only had a life expectancy of 20 sorties."
As to the Germans "just" adjusting their force to meet an all-mossie threat, that's in the WouldaCouldaShoulda file, but I don't see much in the history of the LW that indicates an ability to switch / develop types quickly.
At the Australian War Memorial site (I *think* it's
www.awm.gov.au ) one can download the official history of the RAAF. There's a note in there that, in the Spring of 1944, the idea of re-equipping up to 3 Groups in Bomber Command exclusively with Mosquitos was actively debated. I have not found any more information than that - hoping to get a copy of Frankland & Webster Vol II to see if there's anything in there. My *guess* (based on a history of 8 Group) is that the demands of the Transportation Plan, ahead of Overlord, were based on a # of bombs per square yard. Over the short haul, the heavies carried more of these than the mossies, whose numbers could not be doubled / tripled in the time available.