Luck is definately a factor. One week I cannot kill a thing, the next night im landing kills left and right, and giving some good sticks a moderately tough time killing me! A major factor I find is intuition. There are times when I feel I can stick around, and theres a point, a defined point, where that changes. Regardless of my E state, the number of cons, or their location, I always get this feeling that I should leave, my run is over. EVERY SINGLE TIME I ignore that and stay around, something bad happens, I either auger, collide, or get shot down. I dont know if any of you get this feeling as well, but I have learned to listen to it after losing 5+ 262s right after saying "I think I should leave, but Im gonna try for one more kill", or "I think I might disco".