Rox you have to use specifics, not just "the technology to get a big enough solid rocket booster there on the short haul, and get the crew home on either the long or short hauls just isn't there yet." What's "big enough" and "short"?
The DeltaIV-H can put 17,600 lbs into Trans Mars Injection, or 10,000 to the surface, time of flight 6 months. That's one DIVH. Shoot a few payloads into LEO and you can assemble a pretty good payload to Mars. You can just as well send a few cargo loads on their own the slowpoke way, ahead of time. Zubrin probably covered these possibilities in depth.
The AresV (or VI or whatever they end up settling on) will be even bigger.
The ISS to Mars? You've been drinking the bad reporting koolaid..
Mav,
I'm not sure what you're pointing out. First you say all of that is unfeasible, then you say we should do it (moon>mars, rocks asap).. Well yeah, we should do it and if the tech isn't there, we'll make it. I doubt it's as revolutionary as you make it sound. I haven't read about those specificaly, but I'm pretty sure it's simpler to get to freespace rocks than mars. I'm pretty sure the developments needed for mining are sluggish so far, only because of a lack of funding. I doubt it's anywhere as opaque as getting fusion to work profitably.
I don't think there's any reason to pit the two against each other.
Moot: (and it sure is nice to have a civil, reasonable exchange with you, and I appreciate it, I'm not joking, thank you).
Maybe it's the mother-language difference...please let me explain. Please bear with me.
The United States does not currently have a rocket system that is big enough to carry a crew of 2 or 3 to Mars via the "short route" and come back via the "long route"
if necessary. There are only certain times of the year where a take off time scheduled to arrive at the shortest possible route. It still takes a good 6 months to get there on the shortest route possible and 9 to 10 months on the longer route. The Ares V/VI series wouldn't be adequite either. The technology I refer to does not exist yet or we'd be there already.
By the time it takes a spacecraft (by current our current technology standpoint = liquid fueled) to get to Mars via the shortest possible route (distance) due to the different orbits that the Earth and Mars have, coming home by the exact same short route may not be possible. Earth and Mars have orbits that are more egg shaped at times than perfect circles around the Sun. You also need to time your take off and return to avoid getting anywhere near the Sun.
I'm talking scientific logistics here:
1) Fuel to get to Mars via the shortest possible route
2) Enough area onboard to carry enough water or a water/urine filtration system to get them there & back
3) Enough area onboard to carry enough food or food producing systems to get them there and back
4) Enough fuel and a big enough spacecraft to carry it to take them home via the shortest route possible.
What you mention above, shooting off "slow poke" supplies in advance in Low Earth Orbit might be a good idea. Why not just use the ISS? It's not colmpleted yet but that is one of the ISS objectives. The ISS is a good start as a relay station for a Mars expedition.
Saturn V technology depended on the fact that the mother-vehicle is able to maintain it's E while orbiting the planet while the men and exploration vehicle are on the planet's surface. Once the men and exploration craft have rendezvoused with the mother-vessel, they would have to do a controlled burn for the return at precise time to return to Earth. For Mars you's have to do that and then return to earth. With solid/liquid fuel technology we're talinking one HUGE honkin' arsed sized mother-vehicle.
I never said ISS to Mars...and no one but a moron would. The ISS is currently being built in stages to provide a long-term Earth orbiting space station that would essentially be a gigantic scientific SkyLab. It was/is never intended to be a transplanetary space vehicle, it was originally intended to be a very large modular space science laboratory and have docking facilities for both manned and (future) drone spacecraft. It has been, however, considered a possible future relay station for space exploration vehicles, i.e.: blast off from Earth---go to the ISS--get into pre-assembled craft from there and then depart there for other planets.
The problem still exists for the big four: Oxygen, water, food, and fuel.
It has been often debated by scientists if a solid/liquid fueled rocket/space shuttle could dock with thei ISS, deliver it's crew and supplies, and then depart for mars in a pre-assembled--pre-supplied space vehicle that was
NUCLEAR powered...eliminating the need for liquid fueled engines and speeding up the travel time over liquid fueled rockets. Also cutting down substancially on the amount of water, oxygen and fuel a common liquid fueled rocket would require.
Their working on the problem now. A nuclear powered spacecraft is, so far, a "pipe dream". America's best scientific minds are on the soloution...and yes, we are being very conservative about it.
Anyone who says that space aliens came to earth and spilled their guts on all their technological secrets to "secret US services" is more than a tad goofy. If they had, we'd already have a base on Mars.
Thank you for your time.
ROX