Just look at it on the face:
The axis is fielding:
a tanked 109, an early/midwar, 7mm equipped 190, and the 190A-8 which unless in the hands of pilots with alot of experience, might as well be a target drone, and even in the best of hands is woefully out matched and offers no offensive option, other than head on...which is hardly offensive.
EDIT: Now that is it on the face. Variables like tactics, circumstance, individual pilot abilities, luck and the way the battle unfolds will all play into the way the night goes of course, but looking at just the match-up, it's really not even a fight, with that many 16's deployable.