Krusty why are you trying so hard to justify your sloppy homework? You don’t get extra credit for that
. Moot, Noir – flee my friends, flee before you get sucked into a black hole of intellectual oblivion! Apparently some are convinced we’ve moved the argument from the “wrongness” of the FM to the “wrongness” of the charts. Fine, we’ll play by those rules for now.
The argument is the AH charts are wrong because they don’t represent what the weight of the aircraft would probably be in-game.
Here’s the thing. It doesn’t matter what the probability of a given weight is. The performance of a plane in-game is based EXACTLY on its EXACT weight at that EXACT moment in time! The probability of it being that weight at that time doesn’t change the fact the plane is at that weight.
Here’s an imperfect but simple analogy. Kobe Bryant plays basketball. In his last 5 games he scored: 20, 25, 24, 31, & 27 points. He averages 25.2 points/game. The fact that on average he scores 25.2 pts/game doesn’t determine what he actually scores in-game. His in-game performance is exactly what his performance in that specific game was- 20, 25, 24, 31, & 27 pts!
Now let’s compare Kobe Bryan vs. Dewayne Wade.
On average: Bryant- 25.2 vs. Wade- 25.5 pts/game.
But what did they actually score the 2x's they played this year?
Bryant- 17, 24 pts vs. Wade 18, 20 pts.
What their statistical scoring average is doesn’t change what they actually scored in those specific games.
Should I go on? Trust me, it gets even worse from here. There’s even more to dismantle in the house of cards if we pursue it.
