Author Topic: College football 2019  (Read 62189 times)

Offline Hajo

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #510 on: August 14, 2020, 11:46:04 AM »
The Horizon League just cancelled all fall sports.  Not a power 5 league but shows us where this is eventually going to end up.
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Offline Shuffler

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Offline Eagler

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #513 on: August 14, 2020, 01:04:23 PM »
Again with all the numbers being skewed now - no one knows the mortality rate as no one knows the true infection rate - see stories on younger adults who test +  for anti bodies and didnt even know they were sick or had a runny nose for a week.

That is not counting deaths by others causes of infected ppl charged as covid deaths for one rea$on or another

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Offline Arlo

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #514 on: August 14, 2020, 01:22:08 PM »
That is not counting deaths by others causes of infected ppl charged as covid deaths for one rea$on or another

It's called 'complicated by.'

Offline Shuffler

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #515 on: August 14, 2020, 01:53:55 PM »
Again with all the numbers being skewed now - no one knows the mortality rate as no one knows the true infection rate - see stories on younger adults who test +  for anti bodies and didnt even know they were sick or had a runny nose for a week.

That is not counting deaths by others causes of infected ppl charged as covid deaths for one rea$on or another

Eagler

Older folks just having colds or nothing at all too. Some folks in their 80s and 90s or older deal with it just fine. It is hit or miss.
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Offline Brooke

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #516 on: August 14, 2020, 03:03:35 PM »
The above IFR is for a person in general.

IFR is highly age dependent.

Here are deaths by age, showing how strong the age dependence is:



If IFR had that same change with age, then IFR for people aged 34 and under would be 0.0023%-0.0053%.

Offline NatCigg

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #517 on: August 14, 2020, 05:20:33 PM »
The above IFR is for a person in general.

IFR is highly age dependent.

Here are deaths by age, showing how strong the age dependence is:

(Image removed from quote.)

If IFR had that same change with age, then IFR for people aged 34 and under would be 0.0023%-0.0053%.

so, only ten players will die?  thats not bad.  :bolt:

Offline MiloMorai

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #518 on: August 14, 2020, 05:40:34 PM »
so, only ten players will die?  thats not bad.  :bolt:

How many did they infect?

Offline NatCigg

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #519 on: August 14, 2020, 05:45:04 PM »
the stats assume everyone gets sick.

reality does not match stats well.  each individual will have a outcome we can not predict.  but probably, only 1/1000 will die.

Offline Nefarious

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #520 on: August 14, 2020, 05:46:12 PM »
There must also be a flyable computer available for Nefarious to do FSO. So he doesn't keep talking about it for eight and a half hours on Friday night!

Offline Shuffler

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #521 on: August 14, 2020, 06:23:18 PM »
so, only ten players will die?  thats not bad.  :bolt:

Less than 1.
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Offline RotBaron

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #522 on: August 15, 2020, 06:47:08 AM »
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/05/05/covid-19-fact-check-coronavirus-mortality-rate-misleading/3019503001/

This article contradicts itself at the end and admits we don’t know the true numbers, can’t even put an + or - error margin on it.

Did say with 98.5%~ survival rate that it’s 10x more lethal than influenza! Where did they get that number...again.
They're casting their bait over there, see?

Offline RotBaron

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #523 on: August 15, 2020, 06:49:00 AM »
Brooke, what is IFR?


My search shows instrument flight rules, which would apply to Aces High quite well...
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Offline perdue3

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Re: College football 2019
« Reply #524 on: August 15, 2020, 08:38:59 AM »
They should all cancel because of differing state procedures and policies.
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