Author Topic: Dark Man Cometh???  (Read 154359 times)

Offline Brooke

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1725 on: March 28, 2020, 10:22:45 PM »
The $4.8 trillion (in 2020 dollars) spent on WWII resulted in:

141 aircraft carriers
8 battleships
48 cruisers
349 destroyers
498 escorts
203 submarines
34 million tonnes of merchant ships
35,000 heavy bombers
62,000 light-medium bombers
100,000 fighter planes
2 million trucks
12 million rifles
2.8 million machine guns
2 million sub-machine guns
260,000 artillery guns
88,000 tanks

As well as huge amounts of ammo, bombs, raw materials, fuel, oil, food, supplies, etc.
« Last Edit: March 28, 2020, 11:29:01 PM by Brooke »

Offline guncrasher

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1726 on: March 28, 2020, 11:19:23 PM »
The $4.8 trillion (in 2020 dollars) spent on WWII resulted in:

141 aircraft carriers
8 battleships
48 cruisers
349 destroyers
498 escorts
203 submarines
34 million tonnes of merchant ships
35,000 heavy bombers
62,000 light-medium bombers
100,000 fighter planes
2 million trucks
12 million rifles
2.8 million machine guns
2 million sub-machine guns
260,000 artillery guns
88,000 tanks

As well as huge amounts of raw materials, fuel, oil, food, supplies, etc.

now that is a better analogy.



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Offline AKKuya

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1727 on: March 29, 2020, 12:08:09 AM »
You forgot the Manhattan project.
Chuck Norris can pick oranges from an apple tree and make the best lemonade in the world. Every morning when you wake up, swallow a live toad. Nothing worse can happen to you for the rest of the day. They say money can't buy happiness. I would like the opportunity to find out. Why be serious?

Offline CptTrips

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1728 on: March 29, 2020, 01:55:29 AM »

Just curious...

What was the cost of WWII relative to 1944 GDP  vs this $4tn relative to our $20.58tn GDP today?

It's not the raw dollar amounts that matter, it's how it sits in proportion to your wealth.  Bill Gates Can throw $100k around like beer money.  To me that's a serious sum of money.  We have different levels of wealth.

I suspect WWII was a much larger percentage of the 1944 GDP than this $4tn is to our GDP today. 

But better measure against the GDP at the beginning of 2020 not the end.  ;)

(I'm not necessarily defending the stimulus bill.  I haven't read it.  But numbers must be respected.  ;))



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Offline OldNitro

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1729 on: March 29, 2020, 07:13:36 AM »
Well, how long for the USA death toll to go from 1000 to 2000???
About 2 days, and it's pickin up speed.. Was 2, now 13 cases in our AO..

We're on the Highway to Hell,  :devil

My sons and I were out walking the perimeter, topic of
conversation, what the world will look like when this is over???



« Last Edit: March 29, 2020, 07:41:20 AM by OldNitro »

Offline Brooke

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1730 on: March 29, 2020, 07:55:12 AM »
Just curious...

What was the cost of WWII relative to 1944 GDP  vs this $4tn relative to our $20.58tn GDP today?

My point:  $4 trillion is *a lot* of money.  I was giving some comparisons of other things in 2020 dollars -- which is one completely standard metric in economics.

If you want to compare a list of things as % of GDP, go for it.  That is also a completely standard metric in economics.

You could also compare things as % of median household income, or % of average individual income, or PPP, or lots of other ways -- all of them completely standard and usual, but all of which are measuring somewhat different things (which is why there are all those measurements used, not just one).

For example, % GDP is often used when the focus is on nations and current$ is often used when the focus is on individuals.  A Big Mac today is 2.8e-11% of US GDP but was 5.2e-11% of GDP in 1968.  The nation as an entity is getting a better deal on Big Macs today.  But is the individual getting a better deal on it today?  Today's Big Mac is $5.80 in 2020 dollars, and 1968's Big Mac was $3.64 in 2020 dollars.  Even if we look at median household income, a Big Mac today is 9.2e-5 times household income; and in 1968, it was 6.9e-5 times household income.  Either way, 1968 was a better deal on Big Macs for the individual.

Anyway, $4 trillion is *a lot*.  You and I can use whatever standard metric we want to compare it to other things.

Offline SysError

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Offline morfiend

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1732 on: March 29, 2020, 09:37:03 AM »
And it seems its looking for stupid people, those not observing 6 ft. Might end up being a better world afterall.


  So how does it work if you are over 6ft tall?  do you have to leave 12ft space?

  Be safe,wash your hands and face.


    :salute

Offline icepac

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1733 on: March 29, 2020, 09:38:25 AM »

Offline OldNitro

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1734 on: March 29, 2020, 09:55:48 AM »
Another interesting way to compare the Kung Flu, vs WW2..
In approximate numbers..

Kung Flu
US 2000+ Dead..
World wide ????

Tarawa
US 1000 Dead..
2100 Wounded..
IJ 4500 Dead..

D/Day
US 2000 Dead..
UK 2000 Dead..

Offline CptTrips

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1735 on: March 29, 2020, 10:17:10 AM »
Anyway, $4 trillion is *a lot*.  You and I can use whatever standard metric we want to compare it to other things.


Yes, I get it.  It's a lot of money.

Current GDP and the beginning of the year was $20tn.  Goldman Sachs is predicting a 24% drop in Q2 alone.  That's a lot of money too. 

It's times like these that we should whip out the credit card and throw money around.  Like we did in WWII.  There are times when you shouldn't try and nickle and dime things.  Times like this.  This is the big one.  This is the Big Kahuna. 

My problem is that they keep throwing money around when times are good and the economy cooking.  That's when you should pay off the credit card.  (e.g. I agreed with the bailouts in 2008, but by 2012 they should have been turning off the spigot and paying things down.)

But to suggest you shouldn't utilize all your assets in an emergency, would just be cutting off your nose to spite your face.

On the bright side, I suspect that before this thing is over, our national debt and the Fed money printing will be the last worries on your mind.  ;)
« Last Edit: March 29, 2020, 11:01:33 AM by CptTrips »
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Offline CptTrips

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1736 on: March 29, 2020, 10:24:16 AM »
Another interesting way to compare the Kung Flu, vs WW2..
In approximate numbers..

Kung Flu
US 2000+ Dead..
World wide ????

Tarawa
US 1000 Dead..
2100 Wounded..
IJ 4500 Dead..

D/Day
US 2000 Dead..
UK 2000 Dead..


Another comparison for scale....

There are perfectly reasonable estimates that if we don't get a handle on this, it could result in a death count greater than the total combat deaths the US has suffered in every military conflict since the Revolutionary war combined. 

Maybe twice as many.  Even the CDC's own models had a worse case upper bound of 1.2m. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_military_casualties_of_war

I don't think we'll get to that.  The country is slowly shaking off the "It's just the Flu, Bruh!" mentality and taking this seriously.  Well, except for Shuffler.

« Last Edit: March 29, 2020, 10:44:35 AM by CptTrips »
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Offline OldNitro

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1737 on: March 29, 2020, 11:13:33 AM »
Trips

Quite right about the total deaths of US wars vs Kung Flu projections..
Listening to Talk Radio, I'm not very optimistic, a lot of chest beaters out there..
I don't think they WANT to accept what is happening, like they are in a denial bubble..
Some in the "Patriot Media" aren't helping matters either.. Virus doesn't hear USA USA USA..

See the video of the Amazon delivery guy, intentionally spitting on a Package???
My Nephew the UPS worker, said they have 2 people tested positive for Kung Flu..
Many have been sick but are still working.. This is NOT GOOD,  :confused:

"secret spreaders" is the polite name for em.. I just call em 2 legged Plague Rats..
Even way out here, they are just bringing it right to us!

Other things we noticed..
We haven't received any regular mail in 3 days, haven't seen the USPS truck..
And the semi daily Sheriff's cruiser that would drive up the valley road,
and turn around at the Forest Service gate, and then go back down..
Haven't seen him in a week either..

Gettin kinda Twilight Zone around here..

« Last Edit: March 29, 2020, 11:22:29 AM by OldNitro »

Offline DREDIOCK

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1738 on: March 29, 2020, 12:17:34 PM »
« Last Edit: March 29, 2020, 12:21:32 PM by DREDIOCK »
Death is no easy answer
For those who wish to know
Ask those who have been before you
What fate the future holds
It ain't pretty

Offline icepac

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Re: Dark Man Cometh???
« Reply #1739 on: March 29, 2020, 02:29:01 PM »
12,000 new cases in usa in 5 hours.

200 deaths during that same time period.
« Last Edit: March 29, 2020, 02:30:58 PM by icepac »