Author Topic: A 50 year mortgage..  (Read 3787 times)

Offline AKIron

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #210 on: November 23, 2025, 10:36:02 AM »
Idaho was and is susceptible to the whims of California. We saw prices drop and prices soar in our 16 years there.
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Offline AKIron

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #211 on: November 23, 2025, 10:38:47 AM »
Here we put salt on Margaritas, not sidewalks.

Offline CptTrips

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #212 on: November 23, 2025, 10:52:04 AM »
Maybe in places like California where real estate can be many times the cost of something similar in another state. Prices are not going to drop like that across Texas or other states where prices are more reasonable. Fluctuations and cycles will continue of course.

Realestate is mostly local.  But all housing has been over inflated over 15 years from it's historical average due to loose money policy.

Some maybe only drop 30%.  ;)

DFW wasn't to too overly inflated.  Compared to Austin.  Austin is in the process of cratering right now.



« Last Edit: November 23, 2025, 10:56:44 AM by CptTrips »
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Offline CptTrips

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #213 on: November 23, 2025, 10:54:49 AM »
Tell me when car prices are going to be cut in half.

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/new-car-prices-soar-historic-high-buyers-face-mounting-sticker-shock

Prices are already starting to move.
Cars on lot depreciate faster than houses.  Let them rust.
By next year when the layoffs really start to spike, they won't be able to give them away.

Quote
Yes, US car sales have declined recently, falling significantly in October 2025. This slowdown is driven by factors like the expiration of federal EV tax credits, continued high vehicle prices and monthly payments, and an uncertain economic outlook. While sales dipped in October, they had experienced a rush of demand earlier in the year, partly in response to tariffs, which created a temporary surge. 

Housing sales have been historically suppressed most of 2025 as well.  Both housing and car sales got a minor bump in Oct when the Fed lowered, but they are not expected to lower again this year now so that will prove short lived.

Right now transactions are in a deadlock condition. 
Buyers are looking at conditions and saying, "No way I'm paying that.  I'll get it half price later."
Sellers are thinking, "No way I'm lowering my price.  You know how much I paid? I refuse to believe I've been that screwed over!!!"

At some point someone has to give.  I think it is going to be a buyers market. 

Especially when the boomers lose their retirement next year in the crash and need to downsize to eat.  You can't eat a house.




« Last Edit: November 23, 2025, 11:06:23 AM by CptTrips »
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Offline AKIron

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #214 on: November 23, 2025, 11:09:34 AM »
When the government stays out of where it doesn't belong there will be naturally occurring adjustments. I would not expect a long term reduction in real estate prices.
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Offline CptTrips

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #215 on: November 23, 2025, 11:14:53 AM »
When the government stays out of where it doesn't belong there will be naturally occurring adjustments. I would not expect a long term reduction in real estate prices.

I expect a return to the historic mean.

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Offline AKIron

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #216 on: November 23, 2025, 11:37:17 AM »
How do we recover from a national debt of 38 trillion?
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Offline CptTrips

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #217 on: November 23, 2025, 11:40:56 AM »
How do we recover from a national debt of 38 trillion?

Who says you do?  ;)
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Offline AKIron

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #218 on: November 23, 2025, 11:50:08 AM »
Who says you do?  ;)

That kind of growing debt ensures continuing inflation. Real estate will remain tied to that inflation. Periodic adjustments or not. There was and always will be a price for borrowing from the future.
« Last Edit: November 23, 2025, 11:51:57 AM by AKIron »
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Offline Eagler

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #219 on: November 23, 2025, 12:37:43 PM »
Lowering rates and firing up the printers for another round of QE insures more inflation...

This rinse and repeat sounds more like a death rattle every cycle now..

Eagler
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Offline AKKuya

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #220 on: November 23, 2025, 02:21:15 PM »
How do we recover from a national debt of 38 trillion?

Asteroid mining.
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Offline Captain Virgil Hilts

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Re: A 50 year mortgage..
« Reply #221 on: November 23, 2025, 10:11:00 PM »
Lowering rates and firing up the printers for another round of QE insures more inflation...

This rinse and repeat sounds more like a death rattle every cycle now..

Eagler

Borrowing, spending, and printing cause inflation.

The fed is an unConstitutional central bank, which artificially, and arbitrarily sets the prime interest rate, regardless of the market, the Founding Fathers warned against that. End the fed, and allow the market to set interest rates. There's no valid reason to allow one person, who has no skin in the game, to arbitrarily set the prime interest rate based on his opinion, and his political leanings.
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