Author Topic: Games have rules! Imagine if this were tried in Aces High  (Read 1898 times)

Offline beet1e

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Games have rules! Imagine if this were tried in Aces High
« Reply #90 on: November 26, 2002, 01:01:51 PM »
Right \/\/ulfe - I'll get on to Elstree Studios, and get 'em started on a set for a movie that will be called Capitol Hill, and then we'll have a level playing field.

Offline AKS\/\/ulfe

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Games have rules! Imagine if this were tried in Aces High
« Reply #91 on: November 26, 2002, 01:04:37 PM »
Well, the movie will have to be called "Evil Empire" and it will have to be set in 2003... the year when the US begins to invade your small island.

Where Germany failed, we shall succeed!
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Offline tomato

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Games have rules! Imagine if this were tried in Aces High
« Reply #92 on: November 26, 2002, 01:09:27 PM »
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Originally posted by Toad
Doesn't change the fact that for every Englishman killed in a Homicide using firearms there are THREE lying dead from Homicide perpetrated with a sharp instrument.

You're right, it doesn't.  Just as it doesn't change the fact that for every American killed by sharp instruments, there are FIVE lying dead from Homicide by firearms.  ;)

To which causes have the decline in US firearms homicide rates been officially attributed?  


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... criminals, by definition, ignore laws ... So where should the emphasis be placed? On the inanimate objects that are the tools of known felons? Or perhaps on the felons themselves?

The registration/licensing/banning/confiscation mindset merely perpetuates the problem by ignoring the real source of homicide: the criminal.


That's the trouble with stats.  We don't see all the links between the multitudes of possible causes and effects.  So we simplify.  From my own POV, it does seem that where there are guns, there is more crime.  But then some people deduce that because drug usage stats and crime stats tend to keep pace with each other, that one is the cause of the other.  Whereas, other studies have 'shown' that drug-usage and crime merely have the same causes.  The argument here, is find the cause (or set of causes) and tackle that.  

Is the criminal himself really the cause?  Does that mean that the USA has proportionately more criminally-minded people than E&W?  If so, why is that?
« Last Edit: November 26, 2002, 01:19:05 PM by tomato »

Offline Wlfgng

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Games have rules! Imagine if this were tried in Aces High
« Reply #93 on: November 26, 2002, 01:19:42 PM »
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Thrawn - not a racist! (lived with 2 black guys when on assignment in Springfield,IL - not that it proves anything, but I don't think a racist would do that. I'm Caucasian BTW)


you're right.. doesn't prove a thing.


oh and Tomato...
thanks for not having pages of babble/signature, especially in color.

Offline mrfish

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Games have rules! Imagine if this were tried in Aces High
« Reply #94 on: November 26, 2002, 01:46:27 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by tomato
My dispute was with MrFish's assertion that AH is "modeling war pretty well" - I don't think so.  Armies have strategies.  Countries have armies.  Countries have allies.  They work together.  I'm saying that AH does not model this.
Tomato


perhaps you should consider the reference frame?

Offline tomato

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« Reply #95 on: November 26, 2002, 01:52:17 PM »
How does the reference frame change things?

Offline mrfish

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« Reply #96 on: November 26, 2002, 02:22:57 PM »
AH is a war between 3 countries that are staffed part time by gamers in a world where people reincarnate the second they die and there is endless steel for weaponry etc etc.

for a bit-for-bit simulation you'd need a great deal more complexity. AH manages to still catch the competitive nature of war without all the misery. some people fight like cowards some brave some organized some disorganized etc etc

what kind of complex alliances and strategy do you want from a three country flat planet?

besides you're a girl, what do you know about war? why don't you go make daddy some biscuits.

Offline lazs2

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« Reply #97 on: November 26, 2002, 02:44:15 PM »
tomato... I think you know that murder rates are higher per capita in the U.S. and that the U.S. is nothing like england.   You will note that over 40% of all homicides are committed by blacks in this country...  If we were to move all of our blacks to england then england would have a higher per capita murder rate than the U.S.   So....

what to do?   ban blacks?  maybe just make it illegal  for blacks to have firearms?  Or.... maybe just accept that part of the cost for our success is that some people will become disenfrachised and war among themselves for a piece of the pie.   I couldn't care less what solution is used or even... if any is used but.... i certainly do not feel that taking my guns away is going to help that situation.  All it will do is leave me with less options and take away one of my constitutional rights... and for what?  our white murder rate is about the same as yours per capita.   Our white population murders at about the rate yours does.  

even at the worst of about 7 murders per 100,000 mixed white and black.... it's no big deal.... way less chance of being murdered than drowning or any myriad of things... certainly not worth giving up such a vital right as the right to bear arms.    even if it would help... there is no proofthat it would... in fact... with like populations (white U.S. and white U.K.) it makes not a bit of differenc.... both countries have about the same per capita rate with or without guns.   you are asking us to give em up for no good reason.  in fact....  guns in the U.S are used 750,000 to 3,000,000 times a year to prevent crime injury and even death... our crime rate would increase.

stats show that a woman resisting crime with a gun is 4 times less likely to be injured as one who doesn't resist at all.   perhaps the weak and the helpless deserve to be assaulted?  
lazs

Offline tomato

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« Reply #98 on: November 26, 2002, 02:53:17 PM »
MrFish - I reiterate - I wasn't talking about AH, per se.  I simply disagree with your statement that AH is "modeling war pretty well"  As you say, some aspects of war can't be modelled, but I would've thought that strategy would be an important part of fighting any war - particularly a simulated war.  Just as important as shooting targets.

Are you my new daddy?  :)

Offline midnight Target

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« Reply #99 on: November 26, 2002, 02:53:40 PM »
Sorry Lazs, but I gotta say you are being at the very least misleading. There is NO correlation between murder rates and race. It has to do with the economic wellbeing of the group in question.

In other words, shipping our Black population to England would not necessarily raise GB's murder rates unless those Blacks were treated the same there as they have been here.

Offline mrfish

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« Reply #100 on: November 26, 2002, 02:57:21 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by tomato
MrFish - I reiterate - I wasn't talking about AH, per se.  I simply disagree with your statement that AH is "modeling war pretty well"  As you say, some aspects of war can't be modelled, but I would've thought that strategy would be an important part of fighting any war - particularly a simulated war.  Just as important as shooting targets.

Are you my new daddy?  :)


ah i see - well then i guess it comes down to which part of the war experience you play AH for - to me it's the battles, the 'cut to the chase' parts, that's the part i want modelled well not the paperwork.

- oh and touche' ;)

Offline tomato

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« Reply #101 on: November 26, 2002, 02:57:40 PM »
Lazs,
Quote
Originally posted by midnight Target
In other words, shipping our Black population to England would not necessarily raise GB's murder rates unless those Blacks were treated the same there as they have been here.

Wot he said.  :)

Offline tomato

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« Reply #102 on: November 26, 2002, 03:05:18 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by mrfish
to me it's the battles, the 'cut to the chase' parts

Every war needs its cannon-fodder.  Nice of you to volunteer for the job. ;)

Offline Toad

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« Reply #103 on: November 26, 2002, 08:17:48 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by beet1e
But Mr. Toad -  That interpretation is a nonsense,


Au contraire. It is simple fact. For every firearms homicide death in E/W, there are THREE homicide deaths from "sharp instruments."

Yet you seem oblivious to the Home Office pointing out that  "the most common method of killing in 2000/01 was with a sharp instrument." Just like it was in 1997. (And probably most other years as well. I haven't checked.)

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so let's furnish people with guns so that they can shoot each other, and we can improve the stats for sharp objects!


Just the opposite, according to your suggestions for the US. After all, the means to fewer homicide deaths is to remove the inanimate objects used to accomplish the homicide from public reach. You've said essentially that many, many times.

So where's your plea to register/license/ban/confiscate those sharp instruments that are E/W/S "most common method of killing?" After all, that's what you continually suggest we do with our "most common method of killing".

Not going to take your own advice?
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!

Offline Toad

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« Reply #104 on: November 26, 2002, 09:12:35 PM »
Tomato:


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The argument here, is find the cause (or set of causes) and tackle that.

Is the criminal himself really the cause? Does that mean that the USA has proportionately more criminally-minded people than E&W? If so, why is that?


Well, it's clear to any open minded person that the inanimate objects are not a "cause". Inanimate objects are just that. Knives don't jump up and stab anyone anymore than guns pull their own triggers.

Is the criminal the cause? Who else eviscerates the victim? Responsibility and accountability. All of us are responsible for our actions.

Clearly, the US generates more homicides than E/W/S. OTOH, E/W/S are ahead of the US in many (if not most) other violent crime categories.

Why is that? I surely don't know. Do you?

The societies, their histories and their mores are vastly different. To some extent that causes a "apples to oranges" situation. We tend to view these two societies as somewhat similar but I don't really believe that to be the case.

In any event, since all agree the US has a higher homicide rate, the questions that pop up are:

"Why?" and "What to do about it?"

I don't know why. As you pointed out, there are a myriad of factors that influence the mindset and actions of any society. I don't think any one here on this BBS has even tried to explain that situation, nor offer any cogent analysis of why it is so. We all just seem to accept it as fact. Beyond that, no one would question that E/W/S is a very different society than the US.

So we come to "what to do?"

Some, like Beetle, propose licensing/registration/banning/confiscation of firearms. Unfortunately for that approach, there are some obvious inconsistencies.

1. The two countries that have tried it E/W/S and Australia have had (at very best) indifferent results. One can argue the details of non-standardized statistics but one cannot argue that by ANY accounting there has been little change when comparing pre and post-ban homicide rates in both nations. Some say homicides went up a bit. Some say they went down a bit. No one makes the case that there was a MAJOR, statistically significant change. The official Australian reports even point out that the ban has had no provable effect.

Further, the US has experienced much larger drops in its firearms homicide rates during the same periods WITHOUT any of the draconian measures imposed by E/W/S and Australia.

So why embark on a costly, onerous to law-abiding citizens program that hasn't significantly changed the homicide rate where it's been used? Especially since rates have dropped faster here in the US where it HASN'T been used?

2. As I mentioned, there's an FBI report that points out that the overwhelming majority of US homicides are committed by known felons.  It seems obivious that felons have little regard for the laws, so legal restrictions on firearms would probably have little if any effect. Another supposition supported by what happened in E/W/S and Australia.

On a positive note, three programs that directly address the root cause of firearms homicides... the criminal..... have had great success in reducing homicide rates.

Project Exile

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Most importantly, these efforts appear to be stemming the tide of violence, with homicides for the period November 1997 through July 1998, running more than 65% below the same period one year ago.


Much better than the ambivalent results posted in E/W/S and Australia, no?

Operation Ceasefire - Philadelphia

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Since January 1999, the federally funded Operation Cease Fire program has hauled more than 300 of Philadelphia’s most egregious gun offenders off the streets and into federal court....

Philadelphia’s rates of shootings and killings have been dropping steadily since Cease Fire’s launch 15 months ago.


Once again results that are clearly positive. (Interesting article btw; I suggest reviewing all of it.)

Boston - Operation Cease Fire

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Operation Cease Fire

This program is a problem-solving approach to tackle youth firearm violence with a wide range of partners. Compliance meetings are used in detected hot spots where officials meet with gang members who are told to cease the violence or face serious consequences (e.g., federal prosecution).

Operation Night Light ensures gang-involved youth comply with the terms of probation orders. In addition, the U.S. Attorney's Office, in close collaboration with state and local officials, has broken several weapons trafficking operations and gained stiff federal sentences for key gang leaders.

Statistics reveal the impact: 1997 homicide victimization among those 24 years of age and younger has fallen 70% from the means of the years 1991-1995; and among juveniles, firearm homicides were down 90% in 1997 compared to 1990.



Once again, rather stellar results from addressing the true cause of firearms homicide..... the criminals. Especially when compared to the basically unchanged firearms homicides in E/W/S & Australia after trying to place the blame on inanimate objects.

And so it is with Beetle. He'll defend his pointless, unsuccessful program ad infinitum, blaming guns for the problem. He'll proudly ignore the other inanimate items, sharp instruments, that are used in three times as many homicides as guns in E/W/S. One would think, for consistency, that if he'd ban guns to save one life, he'd realize the much larger potential of saving lives that banning "sharp instruments" would offer.

I suspect the true case is that he knows it wouldn't work... just as the gun ban doesn't work.

So, to close this lengthy piece, why bother with a program that doesn't work?

Especially when there are programs that DO work and do not infringe on the rights of law abiding citizens?

It isn't the inamimate objects; it's the criminals wielding them.

Until THAT is addressed, you'll see basically no change in rates.
« Last Edit: November 26, 2002, 09:17:58 PM by Toad »
If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude than the animated contest of freedom, go from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains sit lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen!