Originally posted by GRUNHERZ
What does that have to do with your flawed initial argument?
If you're looking for a flawed argument try "Iraqi WMDs pose a real and immediate threat to the US, and we have concrete proof that they have them, so we have to invade" - if it was such a great threat why didn't Hussein use them when the US & the UK invaded? What was he afraid of? His homeland being invaded? And if the proof was so concrete why are the WMDs nowhere to be found?
I digress - in answer to your question: as I see it, no one is going to use WMD to defend somewhere they only just invaded mostly for economic reasons. However they are likely to use WMDs in defence of their homeland.
For example: Would the US protect Iraq from an UN "liberation" with nukes? Highly improbable. Would the US use WMD to protect the US homeland? Yes - indeed it can be argued that the promise of nukes being used is the cornerstone of any credible "nuclear deterrent".
The other point is that the liberation of Kuwait was a UN gig, and most countries supported the Iraqis being kicked out of Kuwait, so if the Iraqis get beaten (a foregone conclusion against a UN coalition that includes a contigent of the world's richest and second largest army), the Iraqi leadership can live with it - they're still in power. Hussein's not really in much of a corner - no need for the WMDs. And he doesn't want to anger anyone past the pre invasion borders. Indeed there's some evidence Hussein only invaded Kuwait after he thought the US wasn't fussed enough to intervene (see the Glaspie-Hussein meeting - although I'm unsure as to the veracity of the transcripts on the 'net).
Net result is that the risk of WMDs being used is very low.
The 2003 Invasion of Iraq on the other hand is not backed by the UN or world opinion, is unprovoked and has as its stated goal the removal and incarceration of the leadership of Iraq. It's corner time for Hussein - and on the opposite side, the US & UK are out on a limb - if WMDs are used, it would be much more palatable to many countries. Besides which, given the goal of the invasion, Hussein has very little to lose if he does use WMDs: he will
definitely lose if he does not use them, but he might possibly outlast the US public's support for the invasion if he does use them in defence of his own turf. WMDs will likely also get rid of a lot of enemy troops and gum up the logisitics side with casualties. He has used exactly these tactics against the numerically superior Iranian army. IMO the risk of WMDs use in an invasion is extremely high - from a US presidential point of view, if you're looking to run again, unacceptably high. An unprovoked invasion that lacks UN or world support and with very high casualties is not going to get you reelected - it's definitely a second term action.
Unless, of course,
you know for a fact that Iraq really doesn't have any WMDs. Then it's a cakewalk - it's a vote-winner because nothing soothes an electorate better than a quick easy victory with all the attendent missile videos, flag-waving, back-slapping and other patriotic nonsense to keep the plebs happy and distract them from the rough economy at home. It also frees up a lot of oil from the hands of an abrasive leadership, to do with as you will - although I'm sure that wouldn't interest the current US leadership who are of course not connected with the oil industry. It opens up a new potential military base near Iran, Syria, Russia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and lessens dependence on the Saudis. It also gets the pressure off Israel (another perceived vote winner and perhaps a bargaining chip for the peace talks). Last, but not least, it boosts the ailing economy with all the munitions expended and the free advertising of US firepower superiority can't exactly hurt the world's largest arms exporter - especially in the world's largest arms market, the Middle East. In fact wars and defence spending seem to be the preferred methods for Republican governments to massively increase public spending to boost the economy whilst continuing to pay lip service to reducing government expenditure - no one ever seems to question a defence budget increase.
To summarise - same players, yes - but entirely different conflicts, with different risk levels.