« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4   Go Down

Author Topic: Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"  (Read 1099 times)

Offline Hortlund

  • Platinum Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 4690
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2004, 05:59:26 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
no


Yes, becuase when you reach  a certain limit of probability, it is no longer physically possible to achieve it. Google on it.
Logged

Offline Nilsen

  • Plutonium Member
  • *******
  • Posts: 18108
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #16 on: September 18, 2004, 06:05:46 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Hortlund
Yes, becuase when you reach  a certain limit of probability, it is no longer physically possible to achieve it. Google on it.


I see your point but i still dont agree. If the lottery is not discontinued, the numbers will eventually be picked by the machine. I guess you mean that the numbers doesnt have to get picked within a persons liftime and then you are correct.
Logged

Offline Hortlund

  • Platinum Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 4690
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #17 on: September 18, 2004, 06:07:09 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
If the lottery is not discontinued, the numbers will eventually be picked by the machine.


No, that statement is simply not true. Even if the lottery continued indefinitively.
Logged

Offline Nilsen

  • Plutonium Member
  • *******
  • Posts: 18108
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #18 on: September 18, 2004, 06:10:57 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Hortlund
No, that statement is simply not true. Even if the lottery continued indefinitively.


yes it will eventually get picked
Logged

Offline Hortlund

  • Platinum Member
  • ******
  • Posts: 4690
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #19 on: September 18, 2004, 06:12:05 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
yes it will eventually get picked


google on it. The statement is simply not true because there is no memory in random numbers.
Logged

Offline Tuomio

  • Nickel Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 523
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #20 on: September 18, 2004, 06:44:31 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Hortlund
google on it. The statement is simply not true because there is no memory in random numbers.


If you change the numbers after every draw, it is as probable to win as if you'd keep the same numbers constantly. But there is 99.999999..% chance that you win in lottery if you have indefinite amount of time to play it.
Logged

Offline Ripsnort

  • Radioactive Member
  • *******
  • Posts: 27260
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #21 on: September 18, 2004, 07:03:50 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Sandman
The entire verse as posted isn't mentioned at Snopes, but some of it is.

Some more here and here.

Regardless, I have no faith in the "prophecy" of Nostradamus on anything else either.


Wha...? You don't believe the phophet Ripsnortian when he said "and in the year of re-election, the Seattle Seahawks will go 11-5."
Logged

Offline DREDIOCK

  • Plutonium Member
  • *******
  • Posts: 17775
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #22 on: September 18, 2004, 10:20:07 AM »
Farce or not.
It is at the very least interesting.

I have a prediction.

I predict tomorrow when you all wake up and look out side
There will be weather:)
Logged
Death is no easy answer
For those who wish to know
Ask those who have been before you
What fate the future holds
It ain't pretty

Offline SLO

  • Gold Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2548
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #23 on: September 18, 2004, 01:15:56 PM »
I'd like to challenge Ripsnortians viewing....

sayin.....


"NAY, my crome dome machismo girly man, thy Hawks will faulter and look like a bunch of cheap tight fitting jockey Sheep Herders"


you can but concur, says so in my bowl of rice from which I make my predictions
Logged

Offline Angus

  • Plutonium Member
  • *******
  • Posts: 10057
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #24 on: September 18, 2004, 01:20:12 PM »
From Hortlund:
"google on it. The statement is simply not true because there is no memory in random numbers."

I  tend to disagree with you about randomness.

You see, if the dice(s) is/are thrown often enough, eventually you will get all numbers in the possible range. just a question of time.

However, that IMHO does not with Nostradamus'es words about the 20th century.
He mentions the 20th century a lot.

Any of you , try to make a computer program, based on the RND function, to make prophets about the 16th to the 20th century.....
Logged
It was very interesting to carry out the flight trials at Rechlin with the Spitfire and the Hurricane. Both types are very simple to fly compared to our aircraft, and childishly easy to take-off and land. (Werner Mölders)

Offline Holden McGroin

  • Plutonium Member
  • *******
  • Posts: 8591
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #25 on: September 18, 2004, 01:38:54 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Angus
You see, if the dice(s) is/are thrown often enough, eventually you will get all numbers in the possible range. just a question of time.


So you roll the dice 452,632 times and astonishingly, you have never rolled snake eyes.  On the next roll, your odds of rolling snake eyes are still 1:36, no different from any of the other rolls.

Though the odds of rolling dice a half a million times and never rolling snake eyes is extremely small, the odds of each roll independantly remain the same, 1:36.  It never changes.
Logged
Holden McGroin LLC makes every effort to provide accurate and complete information. Since humor, irony, and keen insight may be foreign to some readers, no warranty, expressed or implied is offered. Re-writing this disclaimer cost me big bucks at the lawyer’s office!

Offline Sandman

  • Plutonium Member
  • *******
  • Posts: 17620
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #26 on: September 18, 2004, 02:32:14 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Hortlund
Yes, becuase when you reach  a certain limit of probability, it is no longer physically possible to achieve it. Google on it.


Hmmm... been awhile since I studied statistics and probability, but I'm guessing that you're referencing some limit theorem that I don't recall.

Maybe DMF knows.
Logged
sand

Offline J_A_B

  • Gold Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3012
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #27 on: September 18, 2004, 03:17:11 PM »
Nostradamus is like a sixteenth-century Miss Cleo.

Take something that will obviously happen (like...say....a fire in a big city), dress it up in vague cyptic-sounding speech, and BAM, half the people (the gullible half) instantly think of you as some sort of psychic.


I'm still waiting on one of these self-proclaimed clairvoyants to correctly predict the big lottery for me two or three weeks in a row.  



J_A_B
Logged

Offline ASTAC

  • Silver Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1654
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #28 on: September 18, 2004, 03:22:22 PM »
In the year 1999, high above Macross Island in the South Pacific, a phenominal event ocurred in the skies which altered the course of human history
Logged
That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety

Offline Tuomio

  • Nickel Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 523
Nostradamus "In The Year 1999"
« Reply #29 on: September 18, 2004, 04:43:43 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Holden McGroin
the odds of each roll independantly remain the same, 1:36.  It never changes.


Which is not what the initial example was about. If my chances of scoring in basketball is 50% and i get 3 throws, my chances of succeeding atleast once is 87.5%.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4   Go Up
« previous next »