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Author Topic: Exit Polls  (Read 739 times)

Offline -MZ-

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Exit Polls
« on: November 02, 2004, 03:43:22 PM »
Major media organizations are withholding their exit poll data until after polls close.

However, Slate is publishing them as soon as they get them.

Their site is very slow today, but they are the only ones I have seen who have it:

www.slate.com
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Offline Sandman

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Exit Polls
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2004, 04:03:42 PM »
Thanks for the tip... Slate is getting hammered. Finally got to the page but it's really slow.
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sand

Offline Nilsen

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Exit Polls
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2004, 04:07:08 PM »
running smoothly here from norway

-edit- lol.... Its not any more :D
« Last Edit: November 02, 2004, 04:10:53 PM by Nilsen »
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Offline Sandman

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Exit Polls
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2004, 04:10:20 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
running smoothly here from norway


Oh great... another drive by shooting from a foreigner. :D
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sand

Offline Nilsen

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Exit Polls
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2004, 04:11:42 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Sandman
Oh great... another drive by shooting from a foreigner. :D


who are you calling foreigner you foreigner! :)
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Offline Sandman

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Exit Polls
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2004, 04:13:52 PM »
LOL...


Hey... what's up with the black hat? What's that about?
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sand

Offline rpm

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Exit Polls
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2004, 04:14:29 PM »
For the benefit of those having trouble getting to Slate.
Quote
Early Exit
A squeaker!
By Jack Shafer
Updated Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2004, at 12:51 PM PT


The first wave of exit-poll data reaching my desk comes from a variety of sources. In some states the sources disagree about the specific margin by which a candidate leads, but never about which candidate is out in front. Some of the confusion may stem from the mixing of morning exit-poll numbers with early afternoon numbers. With those provisos and the understanding that the early numbers are predictive of nothing without their accompanying computer model, here's what I've heard:

Florida
Kerry  50
Bush   49

Ohio
Kerry  50
Bush   49

Pennsylvania
Kerry 54
Bush 45

Wisconsin
Kerry 51
Bush 46

Michigan
Kerry  51
Bush   47

Minnesota
Kerry  58
Bush   40

Nevada
Kerry  48
Bush   50

New Mexico
Kerry  50
Bush   48

North Carolina
Kerry  49
Bush   51

Colorado
Kerry  46
Bush   53

Other exit-poll results have arrived in more vague form, with Kerry leading Bush in New Hampshire but trailing him in Arizona and Louisiana.
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Offline TweetyBird

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Exit Polls
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2004, 04:18:47 PM »
If this holds up, its looking like an early night- 11pm est.
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Offline Nilsen

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Exit Polls
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2004, 04:18:54 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Sandman
LOL...


Hey... what's up with the black hat? What's that about?


its black????

damn, my eyes must be going old... i thought it was green'ish :D

whats up with my hat you say.... well it represents all i stand for and how i feel about the wood and keyboards in general :)
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Offline slimm50

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Exit Polls
« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2004, 04:24:03 PM »
Heh, that exit poll just tells me that most Republicans/ Conservatives have jobs, whereas most Dems/ Libs don't work:p
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Offline rpm

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Exit Polls
« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2004, 04:26:40 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by slimm50
Heh, that exit poll just tells me that most Republicans/ Conservatives have jobs, whereas most Dems/ Libs don't work:p
So you are saying "stay at home Moms" and people that have night jobs don't work?
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Offline TweetyBird

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Exit Polls
« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2004, 04:27:09 PM »
Ill let someone else tell you the bad news about late voters.
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Offline Sandman

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Exit Polls
« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2004, 04:28:34 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Nilsen
its black????

damn, my eyes must be going old... i thought it was green'ish :D

whats up with my hat you say.... well it represents all i stand for and how i feel about the wood and keyboards in general :)


I think I'll stop now while I'm only a little confused. ;)
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sand

Offline Nilsen

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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2004, 04:32:25 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Sandman
I think I'll stop now while I'm only a little confused. ;)


hehe

The hat thing started after i had a pic of myself wearing one as an avatar. :)

<------ see?

« Last Edit: November 02, 2004, 04:35:50 PM by Nilsen »
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Offline DREDIOCK

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Exit Polls
« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2004, 04:40:56 PM »
Curious how exactly exit polls work.
I know they arent the be all endall of the election.

Are they subject also to the same  + -  3-4%margin of error?
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