I think we all know Bush's feelings regarding overseas deployment of the US armed forces.
Condoleezza Rice, chief foreign policy adviser [for the Bush campaign] said, under a Bush administration, the United States would tell its Nato allies that it would not perform a peacekeeping role in the Balkans any more.
Let us now look at a subject that might come back to the fore. The National Missile Defence (NMD) and Theatre Missile Defence (TMD) systems are aimed at defending the US against in-coming missiles. This involves using radar stations in Greenland and Europe (as well as satellites) as an Early Warning system linked to missile batteries in the US.
Clinton's postponement of the development of NMD for a year was criticised by Bush, who wants an expansion of the system.
Which is all fine and dandy except for a few details:
- It is a far from proven technology, and has failed several test launches.
- It would raise tensions between the West and China and Russia
- Perhaps the most important from my point of view: two US military installations in Yorkshire in the northern part of England; Fylingdales and Menwith Hill could be critical to the missile defence systems's success.
This system will in no way protect Britain (and indeed make it a target for pre-emptive strikes to disable NMD). So what do we get out of the deal?
Very little it seems. It is entirely possible that Bush will pull out US forces in the Balkans, and that the NMD program goes ahead with British governmental approval (not wanting to rock the 'special' relationship, which is special because only one side values it). I'm guessing that any formal approval of the system will come after the General Election next May, when the Labour government is safely installed for another parliament. This issue could really rock the boat over here, if Bush pushes the program forward (and thus goes against Clinton's postponement), before the General Election.
Would this be a case of Bush (and the American people) having their cake and eating it?
[This message has been edited by Dowding (edited 12-14-2000).]