Hi Butch,
>Nope that was for the 75% dispersion
Thanks for the correction! That does of course have a serious impact on my example!
I'll double all dispersion figures (including the German ones, after re-reading your post in the old thread) and re-run my example:
The MK108 will still hit accurately out to 500 m, but be virtually useless beyond.
The wing-mounted Brownings set to 250 m convergence will be a ineffective at 100 m if the pilot aims at the target fuselage because of convergence. (Easy to fix by kicking rudder, of course.) At 200 m, maybe 40% of the fire will be on target, at 250 m it's 80%, and at 300 m it's only 30%. (Note the way the hit ratio peaks at convergence range!) At 400 m, the horizontal stabilizer will be showered and there might be a few random hits on the fuselage. At 500 m and beyond, hit chances are very small.
With the nose-mounted Brownings, out to 200 m, the fire will hit virtually without a miss. At 300 m, the hit ratio will drop to maybe 80%, at 700 m it will only be about 20%. At 800 m, trajectory drop will roughly halve the hit chances, and at 1000 m they will be maybe 5% or less.
So the three example batteries still show the problems I orginally described, but the conclusions are a bit different.
For the Me 109, not much has changed because its dispersion is rather small.
The P-47 is limited in its range primarily by the divergence of its fire, and dispersion means that its fire loses effectiveness rapidly at long range. Firing at beyond 500 m probably won't be worth it, though it's still possible to envelop the target in tracers for tactical effect and score a handful of hits with a long burst.
The P-38's battery still is the best for long-range shooting, and a thee-second burst at that range might yield a fair chance of bringing an enemy fighter down. (The probability will, say, double if the Hispano cannon I neglected in my above consideration is added to the battery.)
So the P-38 is a real long-range killer if there ever was one! I stick to that comment ;-)
Regards,
Henning (HoHun)