Author Topic: How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?  (Read 705 times)

Offline DrDea

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« on: February 23, 2006, 10:07:09 PM »
I give it a year tops.This time next year they will have demolished it.Its in their base file.:aok
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Offline VOR

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #1 on: February 23, 2006, 10:10:25 PM »
2 weeks.

Offline DrDea

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #2 on: February 23, 2006, 10:12:17 PM »
You may be closer than I.Im trally thinking 6 months at the outside.But definetly within a year.Theirs NO way they can allow that to happen.
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Offline Silat

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Re: How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #3 on: February 23, 2006, 10:31:15 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by DrDea
I give it a year tops.This time next year they will have demolished it.Its in their base file.:aok


I think if it happens it will be ISRAEL instead of ISRIAL. I dont believe ISRIAL has an Air Force:)
+Silat
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Offline wetrat

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Re: Re: How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #4 on: February 23, 2006, 10:48:48 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Silat
I think if it happens it will be ISRAEL instead of ISRIAL. I dont believe ISRIAL has an Air Force:)
I heard they had a cessna with a bomb rack.
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Offline skernsk

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Re: Re: Re: How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #5 on: February 23, 2006, 10:57:04 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by wetrat
I heard they had a cessna with a bomb rack.


LOL!

Offline DrDea

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #6 on: February 23, 2006, 11:19:51 PM »
But extended fuel capacity.:aok


:furious
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Offline Seagoon

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #7 on: February 23, 2006, 11:52:05 PM »
Hi Dr. Dea,

I personally don't believe Israel will try. Unlike the 1981 strike on the Iraqi Osirak reactor, taking out Iran's Nuclear capabilities couldn't be done with a single strike.



The map above shows the four main "above ground" locations for Iran's nuclear program. But they have widely scattered material and resources in order to make the program as difficult as possible to "kill." The Israelis would have to fly further than the Osirak strike, and penetrate a more complex Air Defense Grid. Additionally in '81 they struck Osirak before the reactor became active in order to prevent Nuclear fallout. All of the Iranian sites are currently active, and a strike on them would undoubtedly lead to massive Nuclear contamination similar to Chernobyl. It would in effect be the equivalent of setting off several "dirty bombs" in the country with possible health consequences throughout the region. If Israel made such a strike, it would immediately provoke a regional war - which is probably what Iran wants anyway.

All in all, this is a nightmare that is going to be very difficult for any country to resolve militarily, even the United States. Also, unlike in '81 when they attacked without US approval and faced US censure for the first time in the UN as a result, I don't believe that they will be willing to act without the USA giving the go ahead - which isn't going to happen.

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SEAGOON aka Pastor Andy Webb
"We have no government armed with power capable of contending with human passions unbridled by morality and religion... Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other." - John Adams

Offline xrtoronto

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #8 on: February 23, 2006, 11:57:06 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Seagoon
I personally don't believe Israel will try.


Who do you think will try SEAGOON?
(seems inevitable that someone will)

Offline Seagoon

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #9 on: February 24, 2006, 12:48:14 AM »
You know Toronto, call me nutty, but I'm not so sure anyone will.

Given the difficulty of the operation, only the US could actually carry it out.

It would be a massive undertaking though. First, you'd have to prep the Iranian Air Defense Grid, taking it down all along the most heavily defended stretch, the Western border with Iraq. Then you'd have to launch multiple strikes throughout the country, to include research establishments.

The hits on active reactors and plants would inevitably cause massive collateral damage, and probably several fallout problems for neighboring countries. After which the Iranians would have no recourse but to declare war. They'd also go immediately from being the sabre rattling nutters to the poor underdogs in world (not to mention Middle Eastern) opinion.

I think we want them to think we would be willing to pre-emptively strike in order to bring them back to the table. But I doubt that will happen. We'll eventually get some tepid sanctions going in the UN, but I think they will inevitably eventually become the second power in the "Axis of Evil" with Nuclear Weapons after NK.

Whether they decide to use them to vaporize Tel Aviv (and countless Arabs in the process) will be up to their Mullahs.

- SEAGOON
SEAGOON aka Pastor Andy Webb
"We have no government armed with power capable of contending with human passions unbridled by morality and religion... Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other." - John Adams

Offline xrtoronto

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #10 on: February 24, 2006, 10:49:47 AM »
Seagoon, I agree it would be a massive undertaking. I am hoping there will be some coalition that will be involved in the strike, including Canada.

My only real concern is that Iran already has missles aimed at Israel and as soon as 'we' attack, those missles are going to be fired. I have felt that Iran is just waiting for an 'excuse' to fire missles at Israel.

At any rate, I can't imagine anyone allowing Iran to have nukes with the way they threaten to "wipe another country off the map".

Offline Suave

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #11 on: February 24, 2006, 10:56:12 AM »
Isreal bombed Iraq's nuke plant without a second thought. Can't imagine why they would approach the Iranian nuke problem any less pragmatically.

Offline T0J0

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #12 on: February 24, 2006, 11:07:28 AM »
It would be the Start of WW3.....

Maybe John Titor wasn't making it all up after all...The Civil war has started just as he said, and the war and Nuke exchange between the US and Russia and China would be the result of the Iranian conflict escalating....

Would suck to live in Isreal, that location is doomed, even if they survive a nuke attack the jihadists will behead the entire surviving population.

Offline FuBaR

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Re: Re: How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #13 on: February 24, 2006, 11:09:18 AM »
Quote
Originally posted by Silat
I think if it happens it will be ISRAEL instead of ISRIAL. I dont believe ISRIAL has an Air Force:)

:rofl :rofl   old people spell well.

Offline john9001

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How long till Isrial hits the Iranian nuke plant?
« Reply #14 on: February 24, 2006, 12:22:37 PM »
you people watch too many movies.