Stringer, I think it's a bit different now.
First, there are a lot of non-peaceful Muslims running around the world doing non-peaceful things. Keep that up long enough, people notice. The time may finally come when it is in the world's collective best interest to force change.
Second, the oil/energy situation WILL change in the next 10-15 years. I do believe it. Oh, we'll all still use oil but alternatives are going to be much larger players with a resultant diminishing of ME influence. I think there will be reversals on nuclear power. France and Japan seem to be using it without problems; sooner or later others will mimic their programs. Then there's the cellulosic ethanol technology that continues to improve. Tar sands in Canada, HUGE amounts of oil shale in the US; change is coming.
Lastly, there's the self-destruct button. The Muslims can't even get along with one another.
I think there a good chance for significant change.