What I find most disturbing about the entire political arena right now, is how everyone (at least it seems that way) has forgotten the history of the middle east.
The problems for the United States in that part of the world started right after WWII when the big oil strike was made. We propped us governements not on their morality but on what they could do for us. In 53 IIRC we propped up the Shah in Iran and that lasted some 25 years there abouts. He was ruthless to his people but we looked the other way because we were getting what we wanted. During this same time we helped the UN with the formation of the state of Israel. Many other little things went on during this time period as well. Hind sight being 20/20 maybe we screwed the pooch on some things back then but the reality is that we are here now.
Skip forward to today and we have the situation in Iraq. Tons of people are calling Iraq a mistake, and that we shouldn't have gone in.
Whatever....doesn't matter now, we are there and the situation has changed. Now what is the current situation?? To many people in the US the only thing they see is this: 3000 dead GI's, 20,000+ wounded GI's, no WMD's, fighting a war for big oil companies, 500,000+ Iraqi civilians killed.
Now while all that may be true, lets look at the bigger picture. Forget about the past and why we are there and who's to blame, doesn't matter, look at the picture right now and what may lay in the future.
Iran, the largest power broker in the area is fueling the insurgents in Iraq. It's a fact, everyone knows it, and they haven't denied it. The only logical reason for them to do this is so that in the future they can take over Iraq. Many people in the US say, who cares?? Well we should. Iran is NO friend of the US. Never will be. It's a fact so deal with it.
Now if the US were to pull out of Iraq several things will happen. Maybe not right away but within 5-10 years. Iran will take over Iraq. The governments will merge into a new government rulled and controlled by the Mullahs in Tehran. That one country would then control almost 1/2 of the oil in the persian gulf and have the largest population and military in the region. Once Iran has consolidated their gains in Iraq they WILL move against Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, and all the other small gulf states. Who would be able to stop them at that point?
OK if this were to happen what would the rest of the world do? What could we do? Short answer...nothing. With a governmnet such as Irans in control of a huge portion of the worlds oil supply they could cripple any economy on the planet in short order if they so choose to. Now there is the crowd out there that will say, we should invest in allternative forms of energy so we don't have to rely on oil. Nice theory but not very realistic here in the real world.
Now lets take a look at Israel. If everything were to happen like I described above, what is Isreal going to do? Well they will pump up their military more than it already is. They'll have to. Once the US has left Iraq and the rest of the region, they will be alone and isolated. Now if Iran and Iraq merge and then start to take over the other gulf states Israel is going to be looking for enemies everywhere because they will be surrounded. The US will have NO credibility with Israel. It will only take one major attack into Israel, which will happen, and they WILL go nuclear.
If Isreal were to toss a nuke into Iran or Iraq what do you think will happen to us here in the US? We become instant targets for retaliation. Why?? Because we gave Israel the nukes.
Too many people in this country think getting out of Iraq is the right thing to do. Well I have to disagree with those people. These are the same people that are quick to place blame on Bush, like to talk about all the lies that were told, and constantly live in the past. None of that matters anymore. We are there and we need to stay or we will be in a world of hurt in the next 10 years.
You may think I'm crazy and full of BS. That's fine but remember this thread 10 years after we leave Iraq and then tell me if I was wrong.