Author Topic: How am I shooting?  (Read 5050 times)

Offline Lusche

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How am I shooting?
« on: July 17, 2007, 08:47:45 PM »
Or: A little statistical folly...

We all know that we do have to take all player stats in this game with some caution. For example Fighter Hit% is not only a result of skill and controller, but also depending on plane choice and playing style - buff busting increases your hit percentage.

That being said, I was curious about the overall distribution of hit percentages. By examining the rank numbers you could roughly estimate the average player having a hit % of about 3%-4%, but that wasn't  accurate enough for me.

Method:
To get a sufficient number of random players, I went into a LW arena a few weeks ago and took a snapshot of the pilot roster. Then I waited until after the end of the tour before recording each pilot's final score. Players who did never fly a fighter sortie were eliminated. After all, this sample comprised 359 players seems to be about 5% of all players flying fighter sorties in that tour.

Result:



The median of all players Hit % was found to be 3.44%
Note the huge drop off at 6% - This seems to be indeed a big threshold concerning shooting skills. Once you get to 10% and above, there is not much variation anymore.


Based on that thresholds, I took the liberty of arbitrarily grouping the player into four categories:

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Offline Husky01

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« Reply #1 on: July 17, 2007, 08:50:13 PM »
Woot I'm in the superb category
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Offline Treize69

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« Reply #2 on: July 17, 2007, 08:52:38 PM »
I dunno whuich is more disturbing- the fact that I'm a "superb" shot, or the fact that you put the time and effort into compiling that.

Nice study, wtg :D
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Offline Oogly50

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« Reply #3 on: July 17, 2007, 08:53:07 PM »
:eek:   You must've worked pretty hard...  

Don't know what to say, I think I understand...  but I'm not quite sure...


Nice work.  :D  Though I don't see why I needed to know this... was fun to look at all the pretty colors of that second graph :rolleyes:
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Offline Lusche

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« Reply #4 on: July 17, 2007, 08:58:20 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Treize69
I dunno whuich is more disturbing- the fact that I'm a "superb" shot, or the fact that you put the time and effort into compiling that.


Oh, having repeatedly the maps I don't like to fly on in both LW arenas at the same time did help... ;)
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Offline E25280

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« Reply #5 on: July 17, 2007, 09:02:53 PM »
Looked at another way, one could argue that 4% are very good at showing up when the vulch light is on . . .

Or that 14% are such clueless noobs as to begin shooting from 2.0K out . . .

Hard to draw any real conclusions, but the data is interesting.
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Offline Treize69

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« Reply #6 on: July 17, 2007, 09:03:45 PM »
Might I suggest skinning?

Less disturbing to those around you. :D
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Offline Lusche

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« Reply #7 on: July 17, 2007, 09:08:43 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by E25280

Or that 14% are such clueless noobs as to begin shooting from 2.0K out . . .
 


I can't think of any other way to get a hit percentage of 0.1 %...
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Offline Major Biggles

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« Reply #8 on: July 17, 2007, 09:16:12 PM »
wow, score page says i have 18.14% in fighters atm. i tend to fly a lot of 50 cal armed planes, only shoot under 300 yrds, and usually only take shots in a slight turn, giving me a higher profile, that way a 1/4 second burst will kill pretty much anything.

i also attack bombers in a way that 80+% of my rounds hit them, which must bump my total up a bit, although i haven't killed too many bombers in fighter mode this tour...

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Offline trax1

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« Reply #9 on: July 17, 2007, 09:23:52 PM »
Very interesting statistics, I've followed my hit % over the last few months and I'm almost always around 5-6%, I'm glad to see that this seems to be a threshold for most players to get passed.
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Offline E25280

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« Reply #10 on: July 17, 2007, 09:29:16 PM »
:lol  Ok, you made me look . . .


It is rather curious -- I am a very poor shot, yet my hit% in fighters in the current tour is 11.9%!  :eek: :O :eek:


But what is downright perplexing --- what plane could I possibly have set as a "fighter?" :huh :confused: :huh
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Offline Treize69

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« Reply #11 on: July 17, 2007, 09:32:09 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by E25280
I am a very poor shot


I can attest to that :p

I've been hovering around 13% all month, but I'm usually up around 15-17%. Gunnery been degrading lately, even got to the point where I turned my tracers back on to see where my rounds were going, since it didnt seem to be where I was pointing.
« Last Edit: July 17, 2007, 09:35:44 PM by Treize69 »
Treize (pronounced 'trays')- because 'Treisprezece' is too long and even harder to pronounce.

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Offline Vulcan

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« Reply #12 on: July 17, 2007, 09:48:07 PM »
Unloading 1800 rounds of bb's in the 190A5 probably skews my stats :D

Offline Lusche

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« Reply #13 on: July 17, 2007, 09:49:54 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by Vulcan
Unloading 1800 rounds of bb's in the 190A5 probably skews my stats :D


This is exactly why you have to be careful with interpretation of individual scores :)
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Offline Toad

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« Reply #14 on: July 17, 2007, 09:51:17 PM »
Killing ack while not in attack mode hurts your percentage, correct?

I really don't know because this stuff is pretty immaterial to me.

What counts for the whole game is how many planes with red icons blow up in front of my guns.
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