Putin is a putz, but he is not stupid. He has about 5 or 6 scenarios already scripted out and will react to the actions of the US and NATO. HE knows he cannot take on NATO head-to-head, plus it does not gain him anything to do that. Russia can become a global economical power if they play their cards right. They still have a lot of internal issues and need to fix those before they come out and play with the big boys. They will push and prod, but they wont be looking for a true adversary to fight.
Russia military leaders, they remind me of a 16 years old bully in a elementary school playground.
As far a the country Russia is concerned, remember that the actions of a country's government is not necessarily the will of it's people.
Sort of like our country, the United States.