Hi Pyro!
I have some doubts that is possible to determine the real performances of an aircraft doing simulations starting from knowed parameters, whatever they are.
I work 4 a truck-factory and my job is to simulate the performances & the behaviour of the future vehicles.
I noticed that I can put all the possible and most accurated parameters in the sim-softwares, but when we test the vehicle, the results are always different than the predicted results of the sim, because it is impossible to consider all the variables wich affect the behaviour of a truck.
Ok, planes ar *different* from trucks, even if a 190 is quite similar...

, but the idea remains.
I have the official Macchi 202 Service Manual, wich is the ONLY official manual written by Macchi (a flight manual never existed), and this manual reports absolutely NOTHING about performances, only weights, dimensions, service & maintenance instructions etc.
I never saw the manual of the Air Ministry, but it seems reasonable to me that the data on this manual comes from the tests performed by the Air Ministry, because AFAIK the results of the Air Ministry tests were the only valid 4 the evaluation of an aircraft and the resulting data were the only accepted and ratified as official data (4 example the official max speed of the Mc 205 Veltro is 642km/h because this was the lowest max speed obtained during the test).
I think that is reasonable that official data of whatever plane have to come first than the simulations.
v-twin
ps: I apologize 4 my bad english, hope I was able to explain my thougts