Author Topic: Whistle blowing on Global Warming  (Read 125989 times)

Offline Penguin

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #825 on: January 03, 2010, 03:10:47 PM »
Only one mentioning "politics", is yourself.   

Yes, that is true, but that is what I took from CAP's post.  I was digesting what he said and trying to put it back out in a more formal fashion.  I was worried about this descending into some sort of political debate, which I believe it has.  I was mentioning that about what CAP said.

(Don't know if two posts in a row that have content in them are okay)

-Penguin

Offline fudgums

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #826 on: January 03, 2010, 03:13:40 PM »
Im taking widewing pwn for 500 please
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Offline CAP1

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #827 on: January 03, 2010, 03:24:12 PM »
Great, a new topic for debate!

So here's what I think CAP's getting at (not to put words in your mouth):

1. Certain firms make money from making "green" products
2. They make "donations" to the government who is now giving them help
3. This means that global warming/climate change isn't real

Is that right?

Here's my rebuttle:

1. Yes, that is true, but bigger firms make more money from selling oil, and nobody likes harsh chemicals in their products. This means that we can't tell if environmentally friendly products are being pushed by the government because of a sincere concern for the environment or just another money scheme.

2. I don't know how much, but judging by how long the green advocates have been around, the oil firms' got 'em licked

3. That's just non-sequitur.  Both of the previous points could be true or false, and it wouldn't make a difference to this conclusion.

Just a warning to you guys, we should be pretty careful about this debate because of rule 14: Posting topics or threads which are based on politics, race, or religion is expressly forbidden.

___=applies here

-Penguin

carbon credits.

they're already being traded in chigago. they do nothing to eliminate co2.


follow the money. it's not just firms.
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Offline Masherbrum

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #828 on: January 03, 2010, 03:27:50 PM »
carbon credits.

they're already being traded in chigago. they do nothing to eliminate co2.


follow the money. it's not just firms.

I already gave the answer on the last page.    :rofl    I think I know who's shades account Penguin is. 
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Offline CAP1

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #829 on: January 03, 2010, 03:28:50 PM »
You are asking us to debate with both hands and feet tied behind our backs while you beat us with a cudgel. 

Yes we are, we are ready to prove to you that mankind has warmed the planet, and at the very least enabled its further warming.  My evidence, the giant, gaping hole in the ozone layer that opens up every year over Antarctica, that will allow further warming with less effort.  I have also noticed that all you seem to do is attack the methods of scientists, using quotes from just one person as evidence.  The truth is that there are multiple groups that prove global warming every day.  

You could be absolutely right that those scientists botched their operation.  That does in no way mean that the entire premise of their work (done by other groups scientists as well) is incorrect.  I think that I am getting to the nub of your original post.  You are saying that these scientists have violated codes of ethics and should be imprisoned.  Well, they haven't made money off of it, unless you count nessecities like food, water and shelter.  There has been no academic dishonesty, since all of their research was either original or cited.

Next, we have the premise itself.  In another part of your post you say that people are tired of hearing about this, and that somehow means that it is false.  That is an ad populum fallacy.  The next part of your point is a strawman.  You are saying that there is some secret underground network that is somehow trying to take over the world, for that you have no evidence, and that is merely to fill up your post with; what do you call it?  Bullpucky?

Next, the science, bad or good, came first, the politics came second.  If you are to say that the government has recruited every scientist that is on this issue, you are wrong.  That isn't even close to true, since more of their (the scientist's) grants come from private institutions.  Perhaps a score or so, but that's a drop in the bucket compared to the thousands who are getting their money from private donors.  

You don't have much science supporting your issue, I haven't heard of anyone trying to disprove global warming.  Perhaps that's the agenda, or the more probable answer, a lack of evidence.  The government has a better reason to pushoil rather than these clean energy firms, since they get more money from the former than the latter.  

Also your claim that the earth has stopped warming for, what, 10 years or so?  That's not much compared to the time it has been warming.   Out of 200 years of observation, 10 have an unfavorable outcome that is still in the anomaly range.  

As for the scientists in britain, I can't say much for or against them.  They are doing their thing of which I don't know much about, no comment.

-Penguin






the only thing they botched, was letting their "adjustments" be found out.


they don't prove this is true, they lose grants.

 these "adjustments" put all in their "Camp" in question.


to simplify..........

 your  neighbor john hangs out with a group of kids that've been known to start trouble. they yell obsenities at passers by. they've broken into peoples homes.
 your neighbor bob, hangs out with a pretty straight forward group of kids. they play football, soccer, have snowball fights in the winter, go fishing together, etc.


 which one would you trust?
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Offline CAP1

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #830 on: January 03, 2010, 03:29:47 PM »
Yes, that is true, but that is what I took from CAP's post.  I was digesting what he said and trying to put it back out in a more formal fashion.  I was worried about this descending into some sort of political debate, which I believe it has.  I was mentioning that about what CAP said.

(Don't know if two posts in a row that have content in them are okay)

-Penguin

i wasn't taking it to politics. re-read, and then follow the money.
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Offline CAP1

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #831 on: January 03, 2010, 03:30:58 PM »
I already gave the answer on the last page.    :rofl    I think I know who's shades account Penguin is. 

is it diehard?
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Offline Widewing

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #832 on: January 03, 2010, 04:30:48 PM »
You are asking us to debate with both hands and feet tied behind our backs while you beat us with a cudgel.

As an American, I think that you will discover that we prefer the Louisville Slugger.
Quote
Yes we are, we are ready to prove to you that mankind has warmed the planet, and at the very least enabled its further warming.  My evidence, the giant, gaping hole in the ozone layer that opens up every year over Antarctica, that will allow further warming with less effort.  I have also noticed that all you seem to do is attack the methods of scientists, using quotes from just one person as evidence.  The truth is that there are multiple groups that prove global warming every day.

Don't even go into that silly argument. For all anyone knows, that hole has been forming for a hundred thousand years. Did CFCs increase its size? Probably, but those chemicals are now universally banned.

I'll repeat this again as you seem to have difficulty wrapping your arms around it. No one has proven, or even come close to proving that humankind's Co2 emission is responsible for previous global warming. I say previous, because the planet is now cooling. Sure sounds like a natural cycle to me, doesn't it?

Now, if you know someone who can prove AGW, please direct them to the University of East Anglia, where a few chaps would gladly give what remains of their testicles to have that information.

Quote
You could be absolutely right that those scientists botched their operation.  That does in no way mean that the entire premise of their work (done by other groups scientists as well) is incorrect.  I think that I am getting to the nub of your original post.  You are saying that these scientists have violated codes of ethics and should be imprisoned.  Well, they haven't made money off of it, unless you count nessecities like food, water and shelter.  There has been no academic dishonesty, since all of their research was either original or cited.

I see, you've seen the bank accounts of these various scientists... You have seen their investment portfolios too, I suppose.  :rolleyes:
Climategate clearly shows dishonesty on several levels. When asked for the raw data they used, guess what? They destroyed it because it occupied to much volume and space. You submit a paper at college. When asked by your professor for the raw data, you tell him that you threw it out because it was cluttering up your flat... Care to guess what your grade will be?
Quote
Next, we have the premise itself.  In another part of your post you say that people are tired of hearing about this, and that somehow means that it is false.  That is an ad populum fallacy.  The next part of your point is a strawman.  You are saying that there is some secret underground network that is somehow trying to take over the world, for that you have no evidence, and that is merely to fill up your post with; what do you call it?  Bullpucky?

It's bulldinkey. You should learn that term as it aptly describes your reasoning.

People ARE tired of scaremongering. Trust me, there will be a backlash.

As to a "secret underground", there's nothing secret about it. The UN has been attempting to usurp national sovereignty for many years. It used the AGW theory to once again attempt to fleece the industrialized world. The AGW scientists were flattered, and more than willing to fraternize. Are you blind?

<snipped rambling>  
Quote
You don't have much science supporting your issue, I haven't heard of anyone trying to disprove global warming.  Perhaps that's the agenda, or the more probable answer, a lack of evidence.  The government has a better reason to pushoil rather than these clean energy firms, since they get more money from the former than the latter.

Utter nonsense. There's a vast amount of science that shows climate change is continuous and cyclic. It has been and will forever remain that way. First, no one has to disprove AGW because it has not been established as fact.

Is any of this sinking in? You claimed, "I am smart, smart like you've never seen from a teenager." So far, I don't see it.

Oh, by the way, a squeaky voice means nothing, ask Mike Tyson.
Quote
Also your claim that the earth has stopped warming for, what, 10 years or so?  That's not much compared to the time it has been warming.   Out of 200 years of observation, 10 have an unfavorable outcome that is still in the anomaly range.

The use of the term "anomaly" is always the last refuge of failure. I see it in engineering constantly. When they can't figure out the cause for a failure, the term anomaly gets tossed out. It's a code word for, "I have no idea why it occurred". That means that the cause is outside the limits of their understanding, or they really don't want to know as it would not be to their advantage to make such a discovery.

What happens when 10 years stretches to 20 years, or 30 years? Still an anomaly?

Now, we could use your logic and easily argue that warming was an anomaly as it lasted barely an eye blink relative to man's existence, let alone for any substantial period of time. Besides, the planet always warms in between ice ages....


Temperature cycles over the past 750,000 years


To what do we attribute the Medieval Warm Period?

The fact is that there are no less than three different temperature cycles at work at all times. A 20,000 year cycle, a 400 year cycle and a 40 year cycle. What can lead to severe warming or cooling is that these cycles don't seem to be synchronized.

I would readily agree that during the 1980s and much of the 90s, there was a warming trend. I witnessed it. However, that trend is over and the cycle has shifted the opposite way.

Is man made greenhouse gas contributing to temperature change? It's not impossible. I think any influence would be too small to measure as normal variation is even greater than the potential influence.

The most disturbing factor for me is that a number of people believe that the world's economy should be severely crippled and national sovereignty surrendered based upon an unproven theoretical.


My regards

Widewing
My regards,

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Offline Masherbrum

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #833 on: January 03, 2010, 04:34:37 PM »
Penguin, you might as well have called yourself "Porsche".    :rock
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Offline BiPoLaR

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #834 on: January 03, 2010, 05:02:43 PM »
just checking in to see if we have died yet.
Guess not  :rolleyes:
global warming huh  :lol :rolleyes:
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Offline bj229r

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #835 on: January 03, 2010, 05:03:33 PM »
You are asking us to debate with both hands and feet tied behind our backs while you beat us with a cudgel. 

Yes we are, we are ready to prove to you that mankind has warmed the planet, and at the very least enabled its further warming.  My evidence, the giant, gaping hole in the ozone layer that opens up every year over Antarctica, that will allow further warming with less effort.  I have also noticed that all you seem to do is attack the methods of scientists, using quotes from just one person as evidence.  The truth is that there are multiple groups that prove global warming every day.  

You could be absolutely right that those scientists botched their operation.  That does in no way mean that the entire premise of their work (done by other groups scientists as well) is incorrect.  I think that I am getting to the nub of your original post.  You are saying that these scientists have violated codes of ethics and should be imprisoned.  Well, they haven't made money off of it, unless you count nessecities like food, water and shelter.  There has been no academic dishonesty, since all of their research was either original or cited.

Next, we have the premise itself.  In another part of your post you say that people are tired of hearing about this, and that somehow means that it is false.  That is an ad populum fallacy.  The next part of your point is a strawman.  You are saying that there is some secret underground network that is somehow trying to take over the world, for that you have no evidence, and that is merely to fill up your post with; what do you call it?  Bullpucky?

Next, the science, bad or good, came first, the politics came second.  If you are to say that the government has recruited every scientist that is on this issue, you are wrong.  That isn't even close to true, since more of their (the scientist's) grants come from private institutions.  Perhaps a score or so, but that's a drop in the bucket compared to the thousands who are getting their money from private donors.  

You don't have much science supporting your issue, I haven't heard of anyone trying to disprove global warming.  Perhaps that's the agenda, or the more probable answer, a lack of evidence.  The government has a better reason to pushoil rather than these clean energy firms, since they get more money from the former than the latter.  

Also your claim that the earth has stopped warming for, what, 10 years or so?  That's not much compared to the time it has been warming.   Out of 200 years of observation, 10 have an unfavorable outcome that is still in the anomaly range.  

As for the scientists in britain, I can't say much for or against them.  They are doing their thing of which I don't know much about, no comment.

-Penguin


I made an earlier post which referenced that very thing  http://www.investors.com/NewsAndAnalysis/Article.aspx?id=516286

The ozone hole shows up every year during months of darkness, then shrinks back when sunlight finally arrives. (YEARS went by before it was disseminated to the us mouth-breathers that ozone poofs in absence of sunlight, CFC's aside)  To the extent that CFC's are responsible, they have been measurably decreasing since 2000 or so, due to the ban--which aroused the curiosity of this scientist:

Quote
A peer-reviewed study by a respected Canadian physicist blames the interplay of cosmic rays and chlorofluorocarbons for 20th-century warming. The CFCs are now gone, and so is warming — perhaps for the next 50 years.............Qing Bin-Lu, a professor of physics and astronomy at Canada's University of Waterloo, is a believer in the value of drawing conclusions from observable data and not from selective data fed into computer models that are based on false assumptions and include "fudge factors."

In a peer-reviewed paper published in the prestigious online journal Physics Reports, Lu, who holds a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Newcastle, reports that CFCs, the compounds once widely used as refrigerants, and cosmic rays, which are energy particles originating in outer space, are mostly to blame for climate change, rather than carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions.

Lu puts the start of the cooling trend at 2002 and writes that "the observed data show that CFCs conspiring with cosmic rays most likely caused both the Antarctic ozone hole and global warming. These findings are totally unexpected and striking, as I was focused on studying the mechanism for the formation of the ozone hole, rather than global warming."

From 1850 to 1950, Lu notes, the recorded CO2 level increased significantly because of the Industrial Revolution; the global temperature stayed constant or rose only 0.1 degree Celsius.

"Most remarkably, the total amount of CFCs, ozone-depleting molecules that are well-known greenhouse gases ... decreased around 2000," Lu said. "Correspondingly, the global surface temperature has also dropped. In striking contrast, the CO2 level has kept rising since 1850 and now is at its largest growth rate."

Other reputable scientists have also predicted decades of cooling ahead to, er, varying degrees and for varying reasons. Earth's climate is affected by many things and is more complicated than the CRU computer models.
(On the one hand, he's saying CO2 didnt cause global warming, but on the other hand, he implies the warming trend which ended a decade ago was attributed to CFC's, which ARE man-made....eh)
Quote
The most important ocean cycle is the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO). Professor Easterbrook notes that in the 1980s and 1990s it was in a warming cycle, as was the earth. The global cooling from 1940 to 1975, which had some warning of an ice age, coincided with a Pacific cooling cycle.

"The PDO cool mode has replaced the warm mode in the Pacific Ocean, virtually assuring us of three decades of global cooling," said Easterbrook.

Such solar and ocean cycles explain why the Earth can cool and polar ice thicken even as carbon dioxide levels continue to increase.

We will leave it to better minds to decide for what reason and for how long the earth is cooling. We have some global warming to shovel.
As for politics, MMGW is nothing BUT, and has always been, IMO. Ask someone who they voted for, and you'll know whether they believe in it or not.
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Offline MORAY37

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #836 on: January 03, 2010, 06:43:31 PM »
Methane is a more important facet, than CO2.   But keep it on the down low.  

Without a doubt.  1000%. But CH4 is no longer on the down low.  It's bubbling out of hydrate form all over the world. Alaska, Siberia, North Sea...





I sincerely hope that slight downturn at the end continues.....truly.

2 whole pages of battling a kid, and Widewing has yet to reply to my rebuttal.  I guess he'd rather attack a kid.  <shrug>  Regards.
« Last Edit: January 03, 2010, 06:47:13 PM by MORAY37 »
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Offline Ghosth

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #837 on: January 03, 2010, 07:19:11 PM »
I was wondering when the methane locked into the worlds oceans would come up.



Pulls up chair, anyone taking bets? I've got $1,000 on Widewing please.

Offline Widewing

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #838 on: January 03, 2010, 07:24:32 PM »

2 whole pages of battling a kid, and Widewing has yet to reply to my rebuttal.  I guess he'd rather attack a kid.  <shrug>  Regards.

See, there you go again, inventing things that do not exist. What's your standard for "attack", disassembling a written argument? You consider it an attack when the argument falls apart?

By the way, there was nothing to rebut, except the ongoing mantra of "you are wrong", blah blah ad nauseum. Anyone can read the exchange and see what was said and what was meant. Well, almost anyone.... I'll let the debate speak for itself.

Do you really believe that Penguin is a kid? Now I understand why you are a fervent believer in AGW. A 9.75 on the 10 point gullibility scale.
<edit for typo>

My regards,

Widewing
« Last Edit: January 03, 2010, 07:33:51 PM by Widewing »
My regards,

Widewing

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Offline Holden McGroin

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Re: Whistle blowing on Global Warming
« Reply #839 on: January 04, 2010, 12:28:24 AM »
My evidence, the giant, gaping hole in the ozone layer that opens up every year over Antarctica, that will allow further warming with less effort.  

Quote from: [url=http://www.theozonehole.com/fact.htm
http://www.theozonehole.com/fact.htm[/url]]Global warming and the ozone hole.  The ozone hole is a completely different phenomenon to global warming, however there are links between them.  The ozone hole is caused by ozone depleting chemicals in the atmosphere, which have been produced by industry, for example CFCs.  One link is that CFCs are also 'greenhouse gasses'.  Enhanced global warming is a probable consequence of increasing amounts of 'greenhouse  gasses', such as carbon dioxide and methane, in the atmosphere.  Although the surface of the earth warms, higher up the atmosphere cools, thus increasing the area where stratospheric clouds can form.  This makes a larger area susceptible to ozone depletion and provides another link between the two issues.

According to the above link, MMGW is a driver of ozone depletion, not the other way around.
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