how accurate could an unguided projectile be over that distance?
2009 PDF above says impact is @ mach 5, and 5 out of 6 minutes in trajectory are spent above sensible atmosphere, and that that mitigates jamming - ie the round has at least some self-guiding and has a whole 6 minutes to work corrections with.
Circular error probability (CEP) is predicted to be approximately 5 m, based on
anticipated projectile technology advances.
That's roughly car-sized error margin. From hundreds of miles away, with jam/intercept-proof Mach 5 impactor.
..
y, the high-altitude flight profile and steep attack angle of EMRG projectiles provide
greater flexibility to attack targets effectively in mountainous terrain by using projectiles that are
practically invulnerable to enemy counterattack. It is impractical for the enemy to engage EMRG
projectiles as they descend into the target area. Theprojectile’ssmall size and extremely high
velocity present a very difficult target and an unfavorable geometry to enemy defensive systems.
In addition, the large number of EMRG projectiles will likely overcome any enemy defensive system.
Future EMRG system development could enable an unprecedented capability to place
rounds in a pre-determined pattern to dramatically increase target lethality over a wide range of
potential threats.