Earthquake Prediction

[Grape]

I once read (a while ago) that a scientist was able to predict regional earthquakes (Pakistan's last big one) using the effects of lunar and solar gravitational pull to find the 'spots' on the earth that would be most prone to techtonic slippage. Today I read that there will be a line up of Jupiter, Venus and our own moon over the weekend...Makes me wonder if the earth is going to have a notable quake this weekend? Thoughts?

[MrMeanie]

 

[Tupac]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CArWivYt208&noredirect=1

 

[Tupac]

And of course the remix

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AF_CxVgxSbU

[Jayhawk]

I would imagine that Jupiter and Venis' gravitational pull on earth is fairly negligible.

[Tupac]

The moon has a much greater pull and it circles the globe in a little under 28 days or so.

[Shane]

The moon has a much greater pull and it circles the globe in a little under 28 days or so.

it adds up, and maybe juuuuuust enough to trigger something.

maybe.  all he's saying the probility goes up a wee.

[grizz441]

Sounds to have about as much impact as the wind of a butterfly wing affecting the outcome of a hurricane on the other side of the world.

[Grape]

I like the remix version. 

[Shane]

Sounds to have about as much impact as the wind of a butterfly wing affecting the outcome of a hurricane on the other side of the world.

it does.

 

[curry1]

My dad recently went to a space weather convention in New Orleans.  There he listened to a presentation on how it is actually possible to predict a Tsunami.  When an underwater earthquake leading to a Tsunami happens it pushes up a very large area of water a few feet.  The water moving up effects the atmosphere above all the way to the ionosphere.  The disturbed ionosphere messes with the communications of GPS satellites.  Depending on how and where the communications are being slightly garbled by the moving ionosphere gives you an actual direction and speed of the incoming tsunami.  This data was observed after the recent Tsunami in Japan and the GPS data during the Tsunami's path.  Freaking amazing stuff.

[saggs]

I once read (a while ago) that a scientist was able to predict regional earthquakes (Pakistan's last big one) using the effects of lunar and solar gravitational pull to find the 'spots' on the earth that would be most prone to techtonic slippage. Today I read that there will be a line up of Jupiter, Venus and our own moon over the weekend...Makes me wonder if the earth is going to have a notable quake this weekend? Thoughts?

I believe your talking about Jim Berkland, former USGS geologist. Here's his website and bio.

http://www.syzygyjob.com/index.php?Itemid=27&id=13&option=com_content&task=view

People may think earthquake prediction is all    but his record is pretty dang good. 

Just think about how much water the Moon is pulling around with the tides, and of course it's pulling just as hard on tectonic plates.


Although I would think Jupiter and Venus are way to far away to have any effect.  But I believe the Moon's apogee and perigee most definitely have an effect.  Like I said, look at the tides.

[PFactorDave]

My dad recently went to a space weather convention in New Orleans.  There he listened to a presentation on how it is actually possible to predict a Tsunami.  When an underwater earthquake leading to a Tsunami happens it pushes up a very large area of water a few feet.  The water moving up effects the atmosphere above all the way to the ionosphere.  The disturbed ionosphere messes with the communications of GPS satellites.  Depending on how and where the communications are being slightly garbled by the moving ionosphere gives you an actual direction and speed of the incoming tsunami.  This data was observed after the recent Tsunami in Japan and the GPS data during the Tsunami's path.  Freaking amazing stuff.

Now that is interesting

[ghi]

My dad recently went to a space weather convention in New Orleans.  There he listened to a presentation on how it is actually possible to predict a Tsunami.  When an underwater earthquake leading to a Tsunami happens it pushes up a very large area of water a few feet.  The water moving up effects the atmosphere above all the way to the ionosphere.  The disturbed ionosphere messes with the communications of GPS satellites.  Depending on how and where the communications are being slightly garbled by the moving ionosphere gives you an actual direction and speed of the incoming tsunami.  This data was observed after the recent Tsunami in Japan and the GPS data during the Tsunami's path.  Freaking amazing stuff.

 
Yes amazing stuff, i read about this after Japan earthquake last year,  right now  is "hot" north north of New Zeland.
http://www.ips.gov.au/Images/Satellite/Total%20Electron%20Content/Regional%20Maps/World_tec.gif

http://www.ips.gov.au/Images/HF%20Systems/Global%20HF/Ionospheric%20Map/WorldIMap.gif

[FTJR]

Amazing stuff, but is there an explanation as to how to read the charts? I mean, obviously red means hotzone, but how do they derive this?

Tks