Heh. I remember back in the day a lot of hard core dead-enders swearing they'd never give up their DOS for that new fangled flash-in-the-pan GUI crap. Dumbing down a OS for the sheeple to click on little pictures of things... Bah! Real men use batch files! Heh. Change is always hard.
I don't know about all the privacy stuff (I always suspect that stuff get exaggerated by the tin-foil hat crowd), but I do believe both Mac and Windows DESKTOPS are moving closer to a locked down system where only certified code is able to run. Slowly but surely, desktops will start working more and more like IOS and Metro mobile. There are reasons for this. ITs proven to be very successful compromise that the vast multitude of consumers will accept. Computing has become broadly consumerized to an extent it wasn't in the old PC days where tech enthusiasts didn't mind diking with drivers and config files. The sheeple just aren't going to deal with that. They want something that just works without having to know a book of techy incantations and rituals. A locked down system goes a LONG way to ensuring security and stability. It makes for consumer-safe computing.
How successful has this model proven to be? I read something the other day that was very illustrative:
Revenue from the iPhone (One single product) exceeds the revenue of all divisions of the Microsoft corporations combined. OS's, Office, Games, xBox, etc, combined, less than the revenue from just the iPhone (not even counting the iPad).
Wow. Contemplate that for a while. I assure you Microsoft has.
The billions of sheeple consumers don't want to have to mess with virus scanners and managing device drivers. They want a computing appliance that they can turn on and it just works, like their refrigerator or television set. And the business fact is: there are billions more sheeple consumers than techy nerds who want to dink with computer innards. If you doubt that, take another look at Apple's earnings.
I think MS has totally bought in to these lessons. They are smart enough to see that Apple has stumbled upon a very good model. For all the Apple hating Windows zealots (yeah, I use to be one of those
) hold on to yer arses. Over the next couple of years MS is going to try very hard to look just like Apple.
Did you know MS is opening brick and mortar stores now? Just like Apple? No, really, JUST like Apple:
Typical Apple store -
http://cache.gawker.com/assets/images/7/2011/02/xlarge_applestoredrug.jpgA new MS Store -
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_EbEgBiaLo8s/SwVqecGES3I/AAAAAAAAAEE/qwtNSEE0wNM/s1600/Microsoft+answer+bar.jpg Hope Apple hasn't patented their store design.
Their online app store.....
Apple has become the company MS wants to be when it grows up.
I will give MS this...I think they have made some very smart improvements to the online app store over what Apple does.
And I think they have made some real usability improvements in their Metro UI over the IOS design language.
I'm glad to see that they made the effort to copy-and-improve from Apple rather than just mindlessly ape like....hmm.
I think Win8 will rock on mobile devices. On the desktop? It's......ok. I would have done it slightly differently. I would have let the desktop be a desktop, and have a Metro emulation window you could launch to run your Metro apps from. However, even as it is, I think its a differentiating advantage for the desktop to be able to run the mobile apps. A Macbook can't yet run IOS apps. That gives app developers of properly designed apps a HUGE potential customer base from day one before the first Surface tablet is even sold.
Also, I'm not sure many people are completely aware of Bluestacks:
http://ces.cnet.com/8301-33377_1-57355786/bluestacks-goes-metro-with-windows-8/That has a huge potential of being a major game-changer. From day one, every Metro device will have the entire Android app library at its disposal. Hey Google, hows that open-source working for ya now?
1. That bootstraps a huge library of content from day one while developers are building native apps up to the same level.
2. Things change quick in the mobile world (just ask Blackberry
). These device have about a 2 year lifespan coincident with contract renewal. Especially since many Android phones can't even be upgraded to new versions of the OS. It becomes a lot easier to lure over user to a Windows phone if you can tell them they can bring over their entire library of Android apps they've already invested in. On average, half those users are at that decision point every year. THATS how things change so quickly in the mobile world.
I think think the next 2 years are going to be VERY interesting for both Android and Windows (to a lesser extent Apple).
Wow. Sorry for the wall of text. Too much coffee.
,
Wab