Author Topic: the future of ?  (Read 1090 times)

Offline Serenity

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #15 on: December 31, 2014, 12:48:27 PM »
Never needed to envision my future Hollywood looked 30 years in the future for me when I was 21.    Flying Delorian's and cars.  Hover boards, self drying clothing, self adjusting footware and the "Café 80's" chain of restaurants.   Now what is really funny....MIAMI NOW HAS A BASEBALL TEAM!   So they got that one right.

It's interesting you have such an optimistic outlook! I envy you. The movie that best painted the picture of the future for me was Idiocracy.

Offline Softail

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #16 on: December 31, 2014, 02:32:26 PM »
Wellll...it was 1985 :-)    The music was louder, the hair was bigger and the clothes were much ....well.....ummmm.....bright er?!?!?  LOL.

To us back then...the future was so bright.....ya gotta wear shades.   :cool:


Offline RotBaron

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #17 on: December 31, 2014, 03:03:40 PM »
I'm in the UK, it was very much still morning. I see sort of what your message is, you're saying we should use future projections of our ambitions, visualised specifically in our minds, in order to help make them a reality. Seems fair enough.

Yes, the market analyst/investment adviser I was referring to was speaking about goals in an indirect way. To his clients he was saying if 'you're planning for college for the kids and they decide not to go they don't get a Ferrari; maybe help them out with first home purchase, or not.

In essence, imo, it's easier to make a path and succeed if I can visualize/picture what that looks like.

For me an example is my retirement; to me that means running my own outfitting/wildlife ranch somewhere in the Rockies. I don't have to know where yet, but if I can picture what it will look like, who is around, how I got there, $, etc., I'll be more likely to succeed.

Implemented on a very small scale, I did this "see it, feel it, do it" with a few players on my little league team that possessed enough attention. They started hitting strikes and getting base hits where before they swing and miss. I asked them to see it in their mind. I believe this concept can be applied to anything.


They're casting their bait over there, see?

Offline FLOOB

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #18 on: December 31, 2014, 05:52:22 PM »
Meth is a hell of a drug.
“Montana seems to me to be what a small boy would think Texas is like from hearing Texans” - John Steinbeck

Offline Lusche

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #19 on: December 31, 2014, 06:41:28 PM »
I believe this concept can be applied to anything.


But not by everyone. :)
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Offline 100Coogn

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #20 on: December 31, 2014, 07:47:11 PM »
Quote
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Offline palef

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #21 on: December 31, 2014, 09:13:21 PM »
I'm not buying that.
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Offline RotBaron

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #22 on: January 01, 2015, 01:48:13 AM »
I'm not buying that.

Don't.

Like I said mediocrity is available to you.

Happy New Year.
They're casting their bait over there, see?

Offline RotBaron

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #23 on: January 01, 2015, 01:49:47 AM »
Meth is a hell of a drug.

Is it Captain Ahab?

I wouldn't know. Btw two meth freaks murdered my brother, thanks for reminding me.

Happy New Year.
They're casting their bait over there, see?

Offline MrRiplEy[H]

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #24 on: January 01, 2015, 02:42:40 AM »
However, the Lithium mining and improper disposal methods will lead to more deaths and environmental dangers than Lead or CO could ever create.

They already got a super efficient carbon nanotube battery working. It charges 100 times faster than a conventional battery and is also at least 100 times more durable. In the next few years they'll hit mass production and that will be the era of the electric motor and internal combustion will become the next steam engine.
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Offline Softail

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #25 on: January 01, 2015, 10:18:53 AM »
They already got a super efficient carbon nanotube battery working. It charges 100 times faster than a conventional battery and is also at least 100 times more durable. In the next few years they'll hit mass production and that will be the era of the electric motor and internal combustion will become the next steam engine.


I think the "few years" is overly optimistic.  It would take decades for the switch to electric vehicles.

Then the question is.....can the Power-Grid handle the added load of 255 MILLION electric vehicles?  
Answer:  No.   You are looking a complete replacement of the entire US electric grid.   6% of all electricity generated is "lost in transmission".   So in reality....you need to generate electricity for 270 MILLION vehicles to handle the switchover to electric vehicles.  That would be equivalent to adding 90 Million houses onto the grid.   An increase of 72% total demand.   Our current power grid would collapse without a total re-design and conversion to high-efficient generation and transmission materials.

Second issue:  65% of the electricity generated in the US is from fossil fuels Coal and Natural Gas.   The immediate impact on the environment would catastrophic to meet the new demand of these eco-friendly, clean running electric cars.  That is just in the US....imagine the rest of the World switching over at the same time.  Wind and Solar wouldn't be able to put a dent in the new levels of electrical demand.  The only alternative would be nuclear.   So now you are truly "Living Under A Dome"   Nuclear cooling towers in every town....just waiting for an Earthquake, Tsunami,  Landslide or mechanical failure not to mention the added radioactive waste generated by building 6 times the number of nuclear reactors we have today!!!      This undertaking alone would take decades of studies, politics and approvals to get done.

Will the dream of Electric cars be realized.  Probably....will it be soon?  I do not believe so.  Barring the outbreak of WWIII it is easily 50 to 100 years in the future.  Think about the cost and effort to replace the existing 65% fossil facilities alone.  Now add another 72% more capacity for all the power generation stations.  Replace/reconfigure EVERY high-power transfer line, every power distribution station in the US and every feed to every town and city in America.

The power grid in the US has been put on the political "back shelf" for decades.  Just like the aging road/interstate infrastructure.   We get failing grades on bridges, dams, highways, tunnels, levees, etc.     So even if we do switch over to all-electric vehicles...we won't have sufficient road-ways to drive them on.   I would say "hovercraft" or "flying car" development makes way more sense than electric cars.  Hovercraft/flying cars don't need roads or bridges...so we can tear out most of them and leave some for interstate transfer of goods/people on rail and diesel rigs and personally owned antique gasoline vehicles.  The cost savings from the reduction in road/bridge infrastructure alone would easily pay for development and production costs.

The internal combustion engine has been around for over 100 years....and it has another 100 years to go before people will say...."Remember when......"







« Last Edit: January 01, 2015, 10:24:26 AM by Softail »

Offline Reaper90

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #26 on: January 01, 2015, 10:59:10 AM »
It's interesting you have such an optimistic outlook! I envy you. The movie that best painted the picture of the future for me was Idiocracy.

I'm with you on this. With your previous comment about being scared for the future when you see the level of intelligence and ability of the populace, you're spot on. The older I get, the more pessimistic I get and scared for my children I become. I'm terrified when I think of what the world will be like when they're my age.... our society, over time, has become so dumbed down that it's startling....

George Carlin said, and I repeat it regularly, "Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.”

At this point in my life, nearing my mid 40's, I'm just trying to insulate myself from the effects of other people by becoming as self-sufficient as possible and creating a means to survive and provide for my family when money is near worthless. As sad and paranoid as it sounds, I'm convinced that it's closer than a lot of people believe.
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Offline Serenity

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #27 on: January 01, 2015, 02:30:08 PM »
I'm with you on this. With your previous comment about being scared for the future when you see the level of intelligence and ability of the populace, you're spot on. The older I get, the more pessimistic I get and scared for my children I become. I'm terrified when I think of what the world will be like when they're my age.... our society, over time, has become so dumbed down that it's startling....

George Carlin said, and I repeat it regularly, "Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.”

At this point in my life, nearing my mid 40's, I'm just trying to insulate myself from the effects of other people by becoming as self-sufficient as possible and creating a means to survive and provide for my family when money is near worthless. As sad and paranoid as it sounds, I'm convinced that it's closer than a lot of people believe.

I don't want to be on the tinfoil hat side of things, but I'm quite similar. At 22, I believe I am pretty likely to find myself living in a terrible shell of a world at some point in time. So, I try to learn one new thing a month to use "out in the wild" so to speak, whether it's something simple like fishing (Being the computer generation, I actually didn't grow up fishing. Ever.) or something a bit more random like making rope or using hand tools.

Offline RotBaron

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #28 on: January 01, 2015, 08:17:51 PM »
More succinctly put: it's easy to imagine something you can not do or when under pressure it's sometimes hard not feeling like you might fail or worrying about failing.

The point of this is when you see yourself failing or say to yourself that you can not do that, more than likely you will fail.

So if it's so easy to talk ourselves into failing (seeing it before it happens), why is it so foreign and unbelievable to do the opposite?
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Offline Softail

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Re: the future of ?
« Reply #29 on: January 01, 2015, 08:37:22 PM »
I don't want to be on the tinfoil hat side of things, but I'm quite similar. At 22, I believe I am pretty likely to find myself living in a terrible shell of a world at some point in time. So, I try to learn one new thing a month to use "out in the wild" so to speak, whether it's something simple like fishing (Being the computer generation, I actually didn't grow up fishing. Ever.) or something a bit more random like making rope or using hand tools.

The best thing you can do....is learn how to fix stuff.   I know it sounds crazy....but all the 30 somethings I work with don't know squat about actually FIXING stuff.  Simple stuff too.  Leaky faucets, replacing garbage disposals, light switches, ceiling fans, repair a hole in drywall.  They also don't know how to do  simple maintenance on cars like rotating tires, brakes, plugs, etc.   I guess they stopped teaching "shop" in high schools in the 90's or something.  In shop we made lamps, cast aluminum in green sand molds, made electric motors, built sample house sections with plumbing and electric, poured cement with re-bar, hell...I even made a functioning canon out of two inch steel stock on a lathe.   Yeah...it was supposed to be made from aluminum and not drilled all the way though....oppps.  We welded stuff and learned how to run an oxy acetylene torch.   We built shelves, boxes and the obligator "gun rack" in wood shop.      Hell, I was a MATH major!!!   Still got to do all this.

I've worked as a programmer/sys admin/sys arch  for the last 30 years.  I work with guys who's only tools are Cellphone and a Checkbook.  They've never tiled a shower stall, finished a basement, built a deck or a shed.   They laugh at me because I "waste my time" doing this work myself when I could PAY someone else to do it for me.   Hell, they don't even mow their own lawns!!! 

So my advice again....learn hwt to fix stuff...and make stuff...and fish.. and hunt...and use machinery/tools....and grow plants....And macramé with Paracord :-)     Your plan is a good one....and you will never be "bored"  :D
« Last Edit: January 01, 2015, 08:39:56 PM by Softail »