Author Topic: Dogfight : F35 vs F16  (Read 92713 times)

Offline Squire

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #255 on: April 19, 2016, 06:45:35 PM »
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So WVR may be much more likely due to simple fact - crowded air space and close by location. And of course it isn't only specific to Israel but Europe as well. Think Latvia, Ukraine - it is just a matter of crossing the border and you on the other side. So you just wouldn't have time or opportunity for BVR.

No wait...you will ruin everything with a scenario like that. Stick with the program!  :airplane:
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Offline GScholz

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #256 on: April 19, 2016, 06:55:45 PM »
Yes, the Ukraine is an excellent example of a small country... lol. Even in Israel 5 minutes flight time is BVR range. And if you place your air bases at the border... no amount of technology will cure stupid.
« Last Edit: April 19, 2016, 06:58:13 PM by GScholz »
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Offline shift8

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #257 on: April 19, 2016, 08:56:17 PM »
No wait...you will ruin everything with a scenario like that. Stick with the program!  :airplane:

So it is not to say that it is impossible to have a WVR fight. Only that it is far less likely and far less desirable.

Remember that the traditional characteristics of fighters, such as turn rate, are still not valuable in the dogfight sense until a merge happens. A F-35 is still in good shape lobbing Amraams from 3nm. Second, in such tiny scenarios, Air forces are unlikely to simply take off and sprint in a straight line at the other sides fields. It is entirely possible that bases could be inside of SAM coverage for example. In Many cases it will make sense to either put bases further back due to concerns like this, or even flay away from the enemy to gain distance.

Offline Squire

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #258 on: April 19, 2016, 09:09:30 PM »
The size of a state really makes no difference. You could be at war inside the boundaries or a very large state and find yourself in a campaign where there is a lot of concentrated action or you could be in a small state where the fighting is sporadic. International boundaries don't mean a lot once the shooting starts.

The larger the campaign, the more combat planes in the area and the larger the sortie rates are make some kind of WVR engagement that much likely to occur. The chaos of war will ensure it and the analytical-think-tank computer model wars run by conultants on the company dole won't mean much.

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and far less desirable.


What they desire and what they get will be far apart I think.
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Offline Vulcan

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #259 on: April 19, 2016, 09:48:16 PM »
My job is in network security, so I always think of the worst possible scenarios (what if this fails...). I am quite cynical.

What I see with the F-35 program is a house of cards.

I think there is a huge reliance on AWACS and data sharing, what happens if you strip all that electronics infrastructure and support away. How would a pair of isolated F-35s stand against a pair of the latest gen russian aircraft?

The other point that stands out seems to be the never ending software issues the system seems to have. I find it mind boggling. If you recall that air show crash with an early A320, the pilots managed to combine several factors to put it into 'Alpha Protection Mode' without knowing it. If a shooting fight broke out next week, how confident are the operators the software will be bug-free on the battlefield? Is a pilot going to get a "Cannon Licensing Error - Module not licensed please call your Lockheed Sales Representative" in the middle of a fight :)

Offline Toad

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #260 on: April 19, 2016, 10:37:07 PM »


What a typical U.S. centric way of thinking... What you say may be true, except if they happen to be French or German or Canadian or Indian or any other nation regularly participating in Red Flag. They will have no qualms about blowing the whistle,

The French/German/Canadian/Indian pilots will make their case and there will always be some reason why what they saw wasn't what really happened or what is really going to happen after the new software comes out in "two weeks".

Remember the F-16 v F-35 fight? If it doesn't do well at Red Flag the protectors of the F-35 will come up with 101 reasons why the F-35 didn't triumph. Software this, early production that, test setup incorrect, framajammstanner was on the fritz...they'll throw up a huge bullstuff smokescreen.

In the end, no one will be able to prove anything.

The US military services and Lockheed are not about to broadcast the F-35s weaknesses if any are found at Red Flag. They'll find a way to cover it up.

It's what they do.
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Offline shift8

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #261 on: April 19, 2016, 11:01:59 PM »
The size of a state really makes no difference. You could be at war inside the boundaries or a very large state and find yourself in a campaign where there is a lot of concentrated action or you could be in a small state where the fighting is sporadic. International boundaries don't mean a lot once the shooting starts.

The larger the campaign, the more combat planes in the area and the larger the sortie rates are make some kind of WVR engagement that much likely to occur. The chaos of war will ensure it and the analytical-think-tank computer model wars run by conultants on the company dole won't mean much.
 

What they desire and what they get will be far apart I think.

Yes, if you do nothing to alter the game in your favor. Its just plain bad strategy to design a plane for a type of combat that will result in mutual annihilation 90% of the time. BVR can be controlled and played out like a game of chess. Two planes that come to the merge with HOBS IR missiles with focal plane arrays will almost certainly kill each other.

Offline shift8

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #262 on: April 19, 2016, 11:05:23 PM »
The French/German/Canadian/Indian pilots will make their case and there will always be some reason why what they saw wasn't what really happened or what is really going to happen after the new software comes out in "two weeks".

Remember the F-16 v F-35 fight? If it doesn't do well at Red Flag the protectors of the F-35 will come up with 101 reasons why the F-35 didn't triumph. Software this, early production that, test setup incorrect, framajammstanner was on the fritz...they'll throw up a huge bullstuff smokescreen.

In the end, no one will be able to prove anything.

The US military services and Lockheed are not about to broadcast the F-35s weaknesses if any are found at Red Flag. They'll find a way to cover it up.

It's what they do.

Do you realize that this line of reasoning is the exact same thing you are accusing Lockheed of? You claim (on assumption I might add) Lockheed and the USAF will under no circumstances admit the plane is bad if it is. However by the same token, you render both your own argument and theirs completely moot. Your are hypocritically refusing any explanation the USAF gives UNLESS it equates to "it sucks, we were wrong."

Offline shift8

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #263 on: April 19, 2016, 11:16:08 PM »
My job is in network security, so I always think of the worst possible scenarios (what if this fails...). I am quite cynical.

What I see with the F-35 program is a house of cards.

I think there is a huge reliance on AWACS and data sharing, what happens if you strip all that electronics infrastructure and support away. How would a pair of isolated F-35s stand against a pair of the latest gen russian aircraft?

The other point that stands out seems to be the never ending software issues the system seems to have. I find it mind boggling. If you recall that air show crash with an early A320, the pilots managed to combine several factors to put it into 'Alpha Protection Mode' without knowing it. If a shooting fight broke out next week, how confident are the operators the software will be bug-free on the battlefield? Is a pilot going to get a "Cannon Licensing Error - Module not licensed please call your Lockheed Sales Representative" in the middle of a fight :)
'
The never ending software issues are the result of concurrency and unparalleled scrutiny. You will find that the previous generation of planes had plenty of equally silly issues. Concurrency is the other big factor.

As for two F-35's going toe to toe with say, Su-35's.....the F-35 will walk away with the curb stomp. No AWACS is needed. If you want to compare Pak-Fa to a F-35, that is a much more even contest. But the PakFa is a F-22 "ish" plane. That comparison would be silly.

If you are in a non-stealth plane and go up against a stealth plane in even numbers: you will lose unless you are fighting planes driven by trained monkeys. Due to the difference in RCS, they will see you first. This means that they can position themselves to further reduce your other capabilities, and make detection more or less impossible until it is too late. The first warning you will get is a AMRAAM is the face. AWACS and data sharing just makes this a even more forgone conclusion.

Offline Gman

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #264 on: April 20, 2016, 12:57:08 AM »
Shift8, ever flown in bad weather?  It's pretty common.  How well will the F35 work then, when it has a huge reliance on sensors that are optical in order to keep its radar off and stay stealthy?  Just interested in your opinion of how weather is going to degrade the high card the F35 has in its deck, it's ability to use long range non detectable sensors to get BVR kills.

Making broad sweeping statements such as "Awacs won't be required"...that's getting a tad ridiculous.  How can YOU know that?  Are you privy to all the doctrine planned by the USAF/USN for air combat with the F35?  I somehow doubt the USAF is going to be withdrawing its primary ISR asset from modern battlefields because you think the F35 is so amazing it doesn't need that early warning/intel any longer and go can go toe to toe with gen 4+ peer nation threats without AWACS info and direction.   Let me guess...the 3 "F16 pilots" regularly consulted with. 

If you don't mind, who exactly are these pilots, what squadron do they fly with, etc?  If these F16 pilots are constantly going to be your fall back position for defending any of your theories, the least you can do is identify them, or at least where they are operating at the moment, and how you know and consult exactly "three" of them, and so forth.  It's not classified information or anything.  Gscholz has identified how he met the pilot he's getting his information from.  I've done the same, name, rank, and experience.  If you're going to make statements based on information you're claiming they've told you, the least you can do is identify who is giving you that info.

Again, my friend since grade school is now a Major, up for light Colonel now, and running the fighter test establishment for the RCAF, responsible for all new tactics, training, systems, weapons and employment, all of it.  Many thousands of hours+ total, 2500 alone in the legacy Hornet, Gripen, F16 and Superhornet tours, and several months training at the F35 international training center in the USA.  Jason Paquin, first picture that comes up with google, many more on his FB page airborne and at various fighter ex places and so on.

https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/3122983832/d65192b53da2ffaddecd3a810c717909.jpeg

How about casting some light on your 3 F16 contacts regularly consulted with and giving you all this positive F35 information.
« Last Edit: April 20, 2016, 01:12:57 AM by Gman »

Offline LCADolby

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #265 on: April 20, 2016, 02:21:43 AM »
This entire thread is pure speculation and conjecture by all parties.
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Offline shift8

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #266 on: April 20, 2016, 03:55:51 AM »
Shift8, ever flown in bad weather?  It's pretty common.  How well will the F35 work then, when it has a huge reliance on sensors that are optical in order to keep its radar off and stay stealthy?  Just interested in your opinion of how weather is going to degrade the high card the F35 has in its deck, it's ability to use long range non detectable sensors to get BVR kills.

Making broad sweeping statements such as "Awacs won't be required"...that's getting a tad ridiculous.  How can YOU know that?  Are you privy to all the doctrine planned by the USAF/USN for air combat with the F35?  I somehow doubt the USAF is going to be withdrawing its primary ISR asset from modern battlefields because you think the F35 is so amazing it doesn't need that early warning/intel any longer and go can go toe to toe with gen 4+ peer nation threats without AWACS info and direction.   Let me guess...the 3 "F16 pilots" regularly consulted with. 

If you don't mind, who exactly are these pilots, what squadron do they fly with, etc?  If these F16 pilots are constantly going to be your fall back position for defending any of your theories, the least you can do is identify them, or at least where they are operating at the moment, and how you know and consult exactly "three" of them, and so forth.  It's not classified information or anything.  Gscholz has identified how he met the pilot he's getting his information from.  I've done the same, name, rank, and experience.  If you're going to make statements based on information you're claiming they've told you, the least you can do is identify who is giving you that info.

Again, my friend since grade school is now a Major, up for light Colonel now, and running the fighter test establishment for the RCAF, responsible for all new tactics, training, systems, weapons and employment, all of it.  Many thousands of hours+ total, 2500 alone in the legacy Hornet, Gripen, F16 and Superhornet tours, and several months training at the F35 international training center in the USA.  Jason Paquin, first picture that comes up with google, many more on his FB page airborne and at various fighter ex places and so on.

https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/3122983832/d65192b53da2ffaddecd3a810c717909.jpeg

How about casting some light on your 3 F16 contacts regularly consulted with and giving you all this positive F35 information.

So you misunderstood my statement about AWAC's. I meant to imply that a F-35 could fight without AWAC's, not that it is not a tactical requirement in general. Just like any other fighter, the F-35 can do combat on its own if it needs to. Far more so, since it has better sensors etc.

As for bad weather, Radar works just fine in bad weather. The F-35s radar is LPI, so it isnt going to need to fly around with it radar off all the time. 2nd, there is DAS. IR works in bad weather as well. Whatever limitations theses systems have, I'd imagine that the plane with the newest and most sophisticated systems will have the better SA. Every fighters performance is degraded if you throw a work case scenario at it, I might add. So too would it be with the ability to dogfight.......

You are being somewhat unreasonable regarding my sources. I didn't, and most likely would not have, brought them up until eagle jumped in here and started using his position to strong arm the discussion. In that context I brought them up merely to demonstrated that my opinion does not exist in a vacuum. They are hardly my only source of information, it is hard to believe you are not being disingenuous when you insinuate that I ever implied that. There is plenty of available information on much of what has been discussed here. Some of the information his behind some rather hefty paywalls. In addition of peer-review papers, and other documents, there is a whole host of information I have scoured through. This includes talking to engineers etc.

 

As for those pilots, I am not going to disclose names. These people have been kind enough to answer my many questions, and I am not about to start throwing their names around the internet. Nor will I pester them for permission, as Im not about to bother them over some forum discussion. I very much like getting info from them, and do not want them to see me as an annoyance.  One of them is a member of a online squadron I fly in, and he flew in desert storm. One is a fairly public figure who currently who flew F-16's back in the 1990's and his main job was A2A. And the third is a rather new acquaintance who has flown in at least 2 red flags and currently instructs. While I was in the Navy, I also had access to the pilots on board my ship at the time. If that is not enough information for you, then I cant help you ethically. I don't know, nor do I care to know, the names of your sources. Ill take your word for it, as I already have. Not to mention that it is essentially beyond a doubt that the overwhelming professional opinion in agreement with me. And Im not talking only pilots. That includes generals, engineers, think tanks etc.

The general assumption that dog fighting will always be a thing is not a reasonable position. And is this position that seems to be the basis for many peoples arguments not only here, but in general. Some of you speak of the merge as if it some kind of scientific law.

It is not a question of IF dog fighting will eventually go away, but WHEN. WHEN is a simple matter of WHEN weapons systems and sensors are up to the task. The subject of this discussion should be IF that has happened. Not this nonsensical faux military science that is based in layman witticisms. The nature of warfare is always changing. Air warfare has only be around for about 100 years. Missile combat for even less than that. Look at how much other types of combat have changes over the centuries. Air war has changes a ton just even over its short history. We went from biplanes to Mach 2 jets for heavens sake.  (and Gman, I am not talking about you here. This is more a general impression of the F-35 debate as a whole)

Remove the F-35 in general for a second here.

This argument is more about BVR and stealth, which are the two main things the F-35 philosophy relies upon. Both of these things are the focus of every major AF in the world. BVR has only been become a larger and larger part of air warfare. Since even the F-15 Eagle, BVR has been a major and primary focus. Then the F-22 and so on. Even nations that cannot in reality afford to make stealth jets are attempting to do so. If stealth and BVR are so crap, it sure seems odd that everyone seems to want more of them. Money talks.

Did any of you even watch the video I posted? (aside from GMan, as he posted the paper its based on some time ago)




« Last Edit: April 20, 2016, 04:09:23 AM by shift8 »

Offline Toad

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #267 on: April 20, 2016, 08:15:31 AM »
You claim (on assumption I might add) Lockheed and the USAF will under no circumstances admit the plane is bad if it is.

You think the US military services/Lockheed will specifically identify the strengths and faults of the F-35 as delineated at Red Flag for the potential adversaries of the aircraft?

Really? 

I don't.
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Offline GScholz

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #268 on: April 20, 2016, 10:42:17 AM »
A modern AESA radar is in itself very stealthy. AESA baseband software provides a near-continuous phase shift, which allows the beam to retain shape as it moves. This generates much smaller side lobes than older PESA radars. AESA has the capability of spreading its frequencies across a wide band even in a single pulse, and changing those frequencies with every pulse. The enemy's ability to detect the radar "chirp" is even further reduced by adding noise and pulse compression to the signal itself, camouflaging it as background noise. Anyone old enough to have used radios which do not automatically squelch noise knows just how noisy an environment the RF spectrum is. Only the AESA radar system which sent out the chirp knows what noise pattern to look for in a return signal. As the range to a target closes the radar will automatically reduce power every time the pulse sweeps over that target to avoid standing out against the background noise.

It is pretty clear from reading the replies in this thread that people just don't realize how advanced these systems have become, and how computer power has revolutionized warfare.

This is what an enemy RWR detects. Just noise.




After the return signal is processed by the AESA radar.


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Offline GScholz

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Re: Dogfight : F35 vs F16
« Reply #269 on: April 20, 2016, 10:50:00 AM »
Our potential enemies are also developing and fielding AESA radars. That means that in the near future the airborne radars of the air forces of industrialized nations will be all but undetectable. The old joke is that using radar is like using a flashlight at night. You can only see what's in the flashlight's cone, but everyone else can see you. Now the game is changing to where everyone has undetectable flashlights and the only way to hide is being low observable.
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