Author Topic: Matthew  (Read 2008 times)

Offline Chris79

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Matthew
« on: October 04, 2016, 11:28:47 AM »
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=atl&pkg=mslpaNorm

For those living between West Palm Florida through the outer banks of NC I'd be minding the weather.


Chuikov

Offline NatCigg

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2016, 12:29:04 PM »
latest gfs has it winding up along the Florida coast.  Savannah, GA ... Carolina ... storm surge and waves.

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php

Offline Chris79

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2016, 03:26:01 PM »
The latest Euro, UKMET, NAVGEM, and GFDL are showing landfall between Ft Lauderdale and Ft Pierce. While the GFS, CMC, and HWRF are keeping the cyclone just off shore. One thing I have noticed during the past few days is a steady migration westward of the hurricane models so I suspect Florida may get smacked around a bit.


Chuikov

Offline SIM

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2016, 03:52:56 PM »
Gearing up all over again. Travel teams are being prepped for a late week departure.

This is shaping up to be a busy season..........

Offline Widewing

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2016, 06:40:00 PM »
As of 6 PM Eastern....

My regards,

Widewing

YGBSM. Retired Member of Aces High Trainer Corps, Past President of the DFC, retired from flying as Tredlite.

Offline EskimoJoe

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2016, 07:14:58 PM »
I liked it better when storms were only named after life-ruining wenches.

Stay safe, don't surf in the storm.
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Offline ghi

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2016, 07:33:48 PM »

Offline FBDragon

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2016, 10:24:36 AM »
Yup, I live in Daytona Beach, as of the latest update--- WE"RE SCREWED!!!! I don't know if we'll have a home left after this one. My mobile home is 25 years old so I don't think it's gonna withstand a cat4 hurricane!!!! :bhead :bhead :bhead :pray :pray :pray :pray
Kommando Nowotny
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Offline Randy1

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2016, 10:46:19 AM »
Yup, I live in Daytona Beach, as of the latest update--- WE"RE SCREWED!!!! I don't know if we'll have a home left after this one. My mobile home is 25 years old so I don't think it's gonna withstand a cat4 hurricane!!!! :bhead :bhead :bhead :pray :pray :pray :pray

Normally by now the models start showing some agreement but the last run they are spreading apart.  Where it is going is getting in that best WAG category.

Offline NatCigg

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2016, 12:30:18 PM »
this morning the gfs showed it being blocked by high pressure, retrograding back across Florida.  the model shows a similar situation now.  interesting storm this is.

looks like its going to wash around the Caribbean eating all the warm water energy it can, like pacman.  :cool:

Offline FBDragon

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2016, 10:03:49 AM »
Well it's gotten REAL for us, no joke 135mph winds by tomorrow, we are under a mandatory evacuation now!! We're leaving in just a few minutes!!!!!!
Kommando Nowotny
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To Win The Winter Sky
Gl 1/Jg 11

Offline Randy1

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2016, 12:10:24 PM »
Well it's gotten REAL for us, no joke 135mph winds by tomorrow, we are under a mandatory evacuation now!! We're leaving in just a few minutes!!!!!!

Good luck.  You are wise.

Offline GScholz

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2016, 12:25:45 PM »
Good luck guys. Stay safe.
"With the first link, the chain is forged. The first speech censored, the first thought forbidden, the first freedom denied, chains us all irrevocably."

Offline Shuffler

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2016, 12:39:20 PM »
Two million folks from 3 states. I keep forgetting how small those states are up there.

Last one to come into Texas, many many more folks had to evacuate from just a portion of the coast. All highways were transitioned to outbound.
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Offline mbailey

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Re: Matthew
« Reply #14 on: October 06, 2016, 02:16:40 PM »
Gearing up all over again. Travel teams are being prepped for a late week departure.

This is shaping up to be a busy season..........

Same here....Leaving Monday for Atlanta as a staging area...will be down there Monday night.

Stay safe FBDragon. Ive been to a lot of areas like this, you are more important than anything you own. Fingers crossed you and your home are ok
Mbailey
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