Arlo I don't think it is an either or thing in that I would agree and enfold what you describe into what I was trying to describe. I am not sure that you can really separate the phenomena of starting with a belief in magical explanations for phenomena and then torturing evidence to maintain that belief despite the evidence on the one hand and the basic human drive to explain things and recognize patterns on the other. Simultaneously this style of cognition both drives scientific/technological development and heavy betting losses at the horse track. The key element missing in the magical thinkers understanding is any real application of the principles of scientific inquiry or even those principles dilute form of common sense. Still, common sense itself should always be suspect as intuition is informed by experience and that is actually very limiting in terms of understanding, at least in my opinion. There was some nice video shot in the ISS about failures of intuition in a zero G environment which really illustrated this for me. Increasingly I believe our brains were built for the wild and have remarkably created all this culture and civilization where some of our most valuable cognitive mechanisms are somewhat sub-optimal.
Clearly I have too much time on my hands avoiding another tenant turnover repaint etc.