Originally posted by Charon
Does it make more sense for him to announce he's alive, and show the US campaign as a failure. Or keep everyone guessing and lay low? Any positions?
Charon
It makes more sense for him to stay hidden.
Why?
1) The Yanks will lose focus. Some anti-war type personalities will assume that he is dead and argue along the lines of "The Taliban is routed, Al Queida is without a base and all people responsible for 9-11 is dead, now it is time to leave the past behind us and move on."
2) The Yanks will lose focus. Some pro-war type personalities will assume that he is dead and argue along the lines of "Bin Laden is dead, Al Queida is broken and desillusioned without their spiritual leader. All that remains for us now is mopping up the remnants. Now it is time to move on, to our next target, Iraq".
3) His minions wont believe he's dead until the Yanks show them the body though, he is rapidly approaching mythical status among his peers.
4) Al Queida benefits most from being underestimated. Believing that the Al Queida has lost its leadership will lead to underestimations. Before 9-11 no one believed that such an attack could be carried out by a terrorist organization ( = underestimation). Indeed, the 9-11 attacks would be hard to carry out for any intelligence organization in the world, including the Mossad.
