Aces High Bulletin Board
General Forums => The O' Club => Topic started by: RotBaron on December 31, 2014, 03:54:06 AM
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I was listening to Moe Ansari yesterday and something he said bears repeating; it's a semi well kept secret and a tool some of the most successful (at their trades) use from time to time. Usually I can hardly stand much of Ansari (sales pitches, etc.) but this was good.
Hazard a guess? Everyone possesses it; many use it regularly although few in the way Ansari meant.
I'll get back to that at the end.
This time of year I try to look/learn from the past and see what the future looks like. What is even more interesting is looking back over the last two decades. Where will you twenty somethings be 20 yrs from now? What will you have done with your time? When I graduated High School we had yet to use email in school, over that summer of '94 it would become ~ necessity that incoming college freshmen correspond with their schools via email - in somewhat of a blink the world had changed (at least in my eyes). Cell phones; wealthy business people had them; our vocabulary changed a bit too see aforementioned "business people" instead of men...
So what will you make of your time? Regret not and forge ahead! Happy New Year indeed, better stated: Prospero Ano.
Ansari was speaking about wealth management strategy and the integral pieces to it that don't relate specifically to stocks/investing (here, Planning). He asked a simple question, what will it look like when you get there? I've done imagery like this before, the more specific the better. Try it on a small scale at the next task you see challenging and have some apprehension about; imagine yourself succeeding, see it, feel it, then do it; it works. Ignore or challenge negative thoughts.
Good luck if you try. I need to practice it more; not easy, but rewarding.
Ever made a vision board? I was amazed how many things from it appeared in some form or another.
:salute
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Please don't get my thread locked off on a political tangent, the future part is not a ruse to discuss politics in any way.
:cheers:
Happy New Year, stay safe.
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Sorry, what were you selling again?
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I literally understood nothing of that, but then I am hungover
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lol, hung over, what time is it there? East coast I'm hoping.
Maybe read it when you're not or don't.
Mediocrity in life is available to just about everyone.
Palef: "Selling", why would you think I'm selling something?
DO neither OF YOU reflect on your life? sheesh, good grief Charlie Brown.
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:headscratch:
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I'm in the UK, it was very much still morning. I see sort of what your message is, you're saying we should use future projections of our ambitions, visualised specifically in our minds, in order to help make them a reality. Seems fair enough.
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If someone wants to make any ecological predictions they should see the 19th century all over again. The industrialization changed job markets in a huge way, now we're on the brink of the next revolution which is robotic manufacturing. Cheap labour jobs will be extinct in the near future because robots are getting more skilled and cheaper, beating humans in the tasks that were low income factory workers bread and butter previously.
This will also mean crumbling of the Chinese economy, human labour can't compete with automated fabrication even with Chinese salaries. It will be once again cheaper and more efficient to manufacture products closer to the consumers.
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If someone wants to make any ecological predictions they should see the 19th century all over again. The industrialization changed job markets in a huge way, now we're on the brink of the next revolution which is robotic manufacturing. Cheap labour jobs will be extinct in the near future because robots are getting more skilled and cheaper, beating humans in the tasks that were low income factory workers bread and butter previously.
This will also mean crumbling of the Chinese economy, human labour can't compete with automated fabrication even with Chinese salaries. It will be once again cheaper and more efficient to manufacture products closer to the consumers.
What will the consumers be doing for a job
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What will the consumers be doing for a job
nothing, they will be fed poor quality synthetic nutrition, brainwashed into pursuing unfulfilling hobbies and kept in a permanent state of lethargy and ill health to avoid any chance of them rebelling.
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nothing, they will be fed poor quality synthetic nutrition, brainwashed into pursuing unfulfilling hobbies and kept in a permanent state of lethargy and ill health to avoid any chance of them rebelling.
Hey, as lethargic as I am, my hobbies are VERY fulfilling!
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Hey, as lethargic as I am, my hobbies are VERY fulfilling!
You are one of the free thinkers mate. And it's not the future yet, it's what's coming that I see.
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You are one of the free thinkers mate. And it's not the future yet, it's what's coming that I see.
All joking aside, I am honestly terrified to look toward the future. By the standards of my parents' generation, I am lazy, not very hard working, and only moderately intelligent. When I can go out into public and impress people compared to my contemporaries, that SCARES me, because it means we're accepting mediocrity and praising even the slightest step above the bare minimum.
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What will the consumers be doing for a job
Exactly. What did the farmers and handy-men do for a job when mass production started? They either reinvented themselves or went starving.
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Never needed to envision my future Hollywood looked 30 years in the future for me when I was 21. Flying Delorian's and cars. Hover boards, self drying clothing, self adjusting footware and the "Café 80's" chain of restaurants. Now what is really funny....MIAMI NOW HAS A BASEBALL TEAM! So they got that one right.
"A computer in every home." - Bill Gates 1980. Now THAT is visionary....the cost of computer in the 80's was astronomical compared to today. Now people have multiple computers....not just one. This is one of the reasons I jumped into Computer Science in 1982....I believed it was the future...everyone said it would be a Fad but I saw huge potential...and I could write video games like DEFENDER! Never wrote a single game...but am doing some COOL SH*T with them today. :-)
"Apple computers?!?! - 1984" Many said:" They'll never make it." And they almost didn't but they managed a comeback a BIG ONE!
Albums -> Reel-2-Reel -> 8-Track -> Cassette -> Walkman -> CD -> DiscMan -> MP3 -> IPod -> EVERYTHING IS ON MY PHONE!
\-> BoomBox -> EXTINCTION /
Phone ----------------------------->Cordless Phone----------->Mobile Phone------>cell phone------>/
As for the future......
Bionic limbs (1976 Bionic Man) are real and will get better as they integrate them directly into nerves and eventually the spinal column and brain.
Children WILL have geolocation tracking chips put into them at birth as a "safety" feature.
Gasoline engines will be outlawed for use by the general population especially those in Cities. Rural populations will have to pay a huge TAX in order to keep their archaic machines....again in the guise of Environmental Safety and Earth consciousness. However, the Lithium mining and improper disposal methods will lead to more deaths and environmental dangers than Lead or CO could ever create.
Self flying commercial aircraft will become a reality. Since 99% of all air-accidents have been ruled "Pilot Error" for Safety reasons...pilots will be removed from the controls and computers will be put in their place.
Then there is SKYNET....but hey....drones and computers are kewl so we will leave that one alone :-)
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Never needed to envision my future Hollywood looked 30 years in the future for me when I was 21. Flying Delorian's and cars. Hover boards, self drying clothing, self adjusting footware and the "Café 80's" chain of restaurants. Now what is really funny....MIAMI NOW HAS A BASEBALL TEAM! So they got that one right.
It's interesting you have such an optimistic outlook! I envy you. The movie that best painted the picture of the future for me was Idiocracy.
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Wellll...it was 1985 :-) The music was louder, the hair was bigger and the clothes were much ....well.....ummmm.....bright er?!?!? LOL.
To us back then...the future was so bright.....ya gotta wear shades. :cool:
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I'm in the UK, it was very much still morning. I see sort of what your message is, you're saying we should use future projections of our ambitions, visualised specifically in our minds, in order to help make them a reality. Seems fair enough.
Yes, the market analyst/investment adviser I was referring to was speaking about goals in an indirect way. To his clients he was saying if 'you're planning for college for the kids and they decide not to go they don't get a Ferrari; maybe help them out with first home purchase, or not.
In essence, imo, it's easier to make a path and succeed if I can visualize/picture what that looks like.
For me an example is my retirement; to me that means running my own outfitting/wildlife ranch somewhere in the Rockies. I don't have to know where yet, but if I can picture what it will look like, who is around, how I got there, $, etc., I'll be more likely to succeed.
Implemented on a very small scale, I did this "see it, feel it, do it" with a few players on my little league team that possessed enough attention. They started hitting strikes and getting base hits where before they swing and miss. I asked them to see it in their mind. I believe this concept can be applied to anything.
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Meth is a hell of a drug.
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I believe this concept can be applied to anything.
But not by everyone. :)
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Meth is a hell of a drug.
:noid
Coogan
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I'm not buying that.
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I'm not buying that.
Don't.
Like I said mediocrity is available to you.
Happy New Year.
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Meth is a hell of a drug.
Is it Captain Ahab?
I wouldn't know. Btw two meth freaks murdered my brother, thanks for reminding me.
Happy New Year.
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However, the Lithium mining and improper disposal methods will lead to more deaths and environmental dangers than Lead or CO could ever create.
They already got a super efficient carbon nanotube battery working. It charges 100 times faster than a conventional battery and is also at least 100 times more durable. In the next few years they'll hit mass production and that will be the era of the electric motor and internal combustion will become the next steam engine.
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They already got a super efficient carbon nanotube battery working. It charges 100 times faster than a conventional battery and is also at least 100 times more durable. In the next few years they'll hit mass production and that will be the era of the electric motor and internal combustion will become the next steam engine.
I think the "few years" is overly optimistic. It would take decades for the switch to electric vehicles.
Then the question is.....can the Power-Grid handle the added load of 255 MILLION electric vehicles?
Answer: No. You are looking a complete replacement of the entire US electric grid. 6% of all electricity generated is "lost in transmission". So in reality....you need to generate electricity for 270 MILLION vehicles to handle the switchover to electric vehicles. That would be equivalent to adding 90 Million houses onto the grid. An increase of 72% total demand. Our current power grid would collapse without a total re-design and conversion to high-efficient generation and transmission materials.
Second issue: 65% of the electricity generated in the US is from fossil fuels Coal and Natural Gas. The immediate impact on the environment would catastrophic to meet the new demand of these eco-friendly, clean running electric cars. That is just in the US....imagine the rest of the World switching over at the same time. Wind and Solar wouldn't be able to put a dent in the new levels of electrical demand. The only alternative would be nuclear. So now you are truly "Living Under A Dome" Nuclear cooling towers in every town....just waiting for an Earthquake, Tsunami, Landslide or mechanical failure not to mention the added radioactive waste generated by building 6 times the number of nuclear reactors we have today!!! This undertaking alone would take decades of studies, politics and approvals to get done.
Will the dream of Electric cars be realized. Probably....will it be soon? I do not believe so. Barring the outbreak of WWIII it is easily 50 to 100 years in the future. Think about the cost and effort to replace the existing 65% fossil facilities alone. Now add another 72% more capacity for all the power generation stations. Replace/reconfigure EVERY high-power transfer line, every power distribution station in the US and every feed to every town and city in America.
The power grid in the US has been put on the political "back shelf" for decades. Just like the aging road/interstate infrastructure. We get failing grades on bridges, dams, highways, tunnels, levees, etc. So even if we do switch over to all-electric vehicles...we won't have sufficient road-ways to drive them on. I would say "hovercraft" or "flying car" development makes way more sense than electric cars. Hovercraft/flying cars don't need roads or bridges...so we can tear out most of them and leave some for interstate transfer of goods/people on rail and diesel rigs and personally owned antique gasoline vehicles. The cost savings from the reduction in road/bridge infrastructure alone would easily pay for development and production costs.
The internal combustion engine has been around for over 100 years....and it has another 100 years to go before people will say...."Remember when......"
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It's interesting you have such an optimistic outlook! I envy you. The movie that best painted the picture of the future for me was Idiocracy.
I'm with you on this. With your previous comment about being scared for the future when you see the level of intelligence and ability of the populace, you're spot on. The older I get, the more pessimistic I get and scared for my children I become. I'm terrified when I think of what the world will be like when they're my age.... our society, over time, has become so dumbed down that it's startling....
George Carlin said, and I repeat it regularly, "Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.”
At this point in my life, nearing my mid 40's, I'm just trying to insulate myself from the effects of other people by becoming as self-sufficient as possible and creating a means to survive and provide for my family when money is near worthless. As sad and paranoid as it sounds, I'm convinced that it's closer than a lot of people believe.
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I'm with you on this. With your previous comment about being scared for the future when you see the level of intelligence and ability of the populace, you're spot on. The older I get, the more pessimistic I get and scared for my children I become. I'm terrified when I think of what the world will be like when they're my age.... our society, over time, has become so dumbed down that it's startling....
George Carlin said, and I repeat it regularly, "Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.”
At this point in my life, nearing my mid 40's, I'm just trying to insulate myself from the effects of other people by becoming as self-sufficient as possible and creating a means to survive and provide for my family when money is near worthless. As sad and paranoid as it sounds, I'm convinced that it's closer than a lot of people believe.
I don't want to be on the tinfoil hat side of things, but I'm quite similar. At 22, I believe I am pretty likely to find myself living in a terrible shell of a world at some point in time. So, I try to learn one new thing a month to use "out in the wild" so to speak, whether it's something simple like fishing (Being the computer generation, I actually didn't grow up fishing. Ever.) or something a bit more random like making rope or using hand tools.
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More succinctly put: it's easy to imagine something you can not do or when under pressure it's sometimes hard not feeling like you might fail or worrying about failing.
The point of this is when you see yourself failing or say to yourself that you can not do that, more than likely you will fail.
So if it's so easy to talk ourselves into failing (seeing it before it happens), why is it so foreign and unbelievable to do the opposite?
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I don't want to be on the tinfoil hat side of things, but I'm quite similar. At 22, I believe I am pretty likely to find myself living in a terrible shell of a world at some point in time. So, I try to learn one new thing a month to use "out in the wild" so to speak, whether it's something simple like fishing (Being the computer generation, I actually didn't grow up fishing. Ever.) or something a bit more random like making rope or using hand tools.
The best thing you can do....is learn how to fix stuff. I know it sounds crazy....but all the 30 somethings I work with don't know squat about actually FIXING stuff. Simple stuff too. Leaky faucets, replacing garbage disposals, light switches, ceiling fans, repair a hole in drywall. They also don't know how to do simple maintenance on cars like rotating tires, brakes, plugs, etc. I guess they stopped teaching "shop" in high schools in the 90's or something. In shop we made lamps, cast aluminum in green sand molds, made electric motors, built sample house sections with plumbing and electric, poured cement with re-bar, hell...I even made a functioning canon out of two inch steel stock on a lathe. Yeah...it was supposed to be made from aluminum and not drilled all the way though....oppps. We welded stuff and learned how to run an oxy acetylene torch. We built shelves, boxes and the obligator "gun rack" in wood shop. Hell, I was a MATH major!!! Still got to do all this.
I've worked as a programmer/sys admin/sys arch for the last 30 years. I work with guys who's only tools are Cellphone and a Checkbook. They've never tiled a shower stall, finished a basement, built a deck or a shed. They laugh at me because I "waste my time" doing this work myself when I could PAY someone else to do it for me. Hell, they don't even mow their own lawns!!!
So my advice again....learn hwt to fix stuff...and make stuff...and fish.. and hunt...and use machinery/tools....and grow plants....And macramé with Paracord :-) Your plan is a good one....and you will never be "bored" :D
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I have never quite gotten the art of tiling, mudding or plastering down good, or half good for that matter :(
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A bum for every median for every intersection.
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I hate purple people!! :furious , ironically i am filled of that purple elixir :D