Author Topic: Surprising rise in tax revenue shaves deficit:  (Read 224 times)

Offline Shuckins

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Surprising rise in tax revenue shaves deficit:
« on: July 14, 2006, 03:23:07 PM »
...from an article in the New York Times.

Tax collections are rising steeply, and for many economists, unexpectedly.

Why?  Because of taxes paid by corporations and other big winners.  The gains in tax revenues are eating away at the budget deficit - even in wartime.

Experts say this year's tax receipts should come in about $250 billion higher this year than last, and the deficit should be $100 billion smaller than projected just six months ago.

"The main reason is a big surge in corporate tax receipts, which have nearly tripled since 2003, as well as what appears to be a big rise in individual taxes on stock market profits and executive bonuses." (From the article.)
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As the Laffer Curve predicted long ago, cutting tax rates produces greater tax revenues.  People have a greater incentive to invest if Uncle Sam doesn't get as big a cut of their money.  Taxes in general, as economists have long known, are a brake on the economy.  Want less of something?  Just tax it.

The 2003 tax cuts on corporate dividends had the effect of releasing the brakes on the economy.  Other factors have undoubtedly contributed to the upsurge in the economy, but lower tax rates certainly have to be among the most influential.  (From Democrat-Gazette article)

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What does Thomas Kahn, staff director for the Democrats on the House Budget Committee, have to say about this good news?

"The fact is that revenues are way below what the administration said they would be a few years ago.  The long-term pronosis is still very, very bleak, and the administration doesn't have any kind of long-term plan."  ( New York Times)


As the Democrat-Gazette article stated:  "Every silver lining has a black cloud."

Offline Maverick

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Surprising rise in tax revenue shaves deficit:
« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2006, 06:38:27 PM »
Perhaps he bases the long term prognosis on the assumption of a Democratic victory in the next couple elections.....


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Offline Shuckins

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Surprising rise in tax revenue shaves deficit:
« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2006, 06:47:29 PM »
Heh :D

Offline mietla

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Surprising rise in tax revenue shaves deficit:
« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2006, 07:02:20 PM »
Good news. Now we need to decide how to piss all this surplus away. New giveaway programs are always fun.

Offline Rolex

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Surprising rise in tax revenue shaves deficit:
« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2006, 07:15:57 PM »
But the mid-term to long-term outlook is not sunny.

There is aggressive number fudging going on in the budgetary and debt load calculations. Here are just two examples:

1. Much of the direct war cost is off budget and the ~$1 trillion total public cost isn't factored anywhere. No matter how you slice it or spin it, $5,000 of direct cost and $10,000 of extended total cost per household is a significant amount.

2. The administration is using a projected gasoline price in the $35/bbl range all the way past 2030 for budget projections.

Offline WhiteHawk

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Surprising rise in tax revenue shaves deficit:
« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2006, 09:11:03 PM »
Quote
Originally posted by mietla
Good news. Now we need to decide how to piss all this surplus away. New giveaway programs are always fun.


Ummm, there is no surplus.  The boneheads are patting theirselves on the back for only overspending by 300 billion dollars.  That is the 4th worst deficit in the history of man.