Two things:
They would penetrate both side of a Krupp German steel helmet and the head in between at 600+
Effective out to 1000yds fatal at 2 miles
Sure, on a human being. People are made of meat. Now compare that to an airframe that has much of the vital stuff armored heavier than the aforementioned helmet, and also consider that those guns are firing with an effective crosswind around 300mph a few degrees off of straight ahead. Dispersion is going to be a factor.
in truth they were almost certainly still in the acceleration phase at 200 yards.
No offense but that statement right there tells me you may not have the greatest understanding of how bullets work. The only 'acceleration phase' that happens with a bullet occurs in the barrel it is shot out of. Immediately upon leaving the muzzle, a bullet begins to slow down.
Don't forget, it's mass x velocity ^2. That is to say, a drop in velocity makes a huge difference to the amount of energy a round imparts.
Quick googlage to illustrate,
http://www.sportsmansguide.com/Outdoors/resource/remington_charts/303bribal.htm. Yes, it's a hunting round, but the fine specifics of the military rounds is a quibble, I'm talking about relative power.
A round that leaves the muzzle at around 2460 fps has slowed down to around 1311 fps at 400 yards. Energy has dropped off from 2418 foot-lbs at the muzzle to 687 at 400 yards. That's just over 1/4 of the energy at the muzzle left, and just over 1/3 of the energy it had at 100 yards.
That's a major difference on an armored target. That's handily the difference between full penetration and leaving a dent. Light rifle rounds slow down relatively fast, that's why they work ok in close, and less well the further out you get.
Wiley.